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Hot and Dry Again Today

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - 1 hour 42 min ago

Middle to upper 60s are common this morning in the I-59/20 Corridor, but you don’t have to drive far to find 50s again, including the 59F at 5 a.m. at Cullman. The cooler spots over North Alabama are in the 50s again thanks to a very dry airmass over Alabama.

Sunday was a hot and dry day across Central Alabama with near total sunshine and highs in the middle 90s. Afternoon readings ranged from 95F at Anniston and Calera to 96F at Birmingham to 98F at Tuscaloosa.

HOT AND DRY WEATHER CONTINUES: Not only have showers and storms been hard to come by for the past few days across Central Alabama, but so have clouds. You will see more cumulus clouds today across the area today, but showers and storms will be basically non-existent. Any that do manage to form will be lonely and isolated. Here is the simulated radar reflectivity from the HRRR model for this afternoon:

Highs today will be a degree or two hotter than those of yesterday, averaging between 95-98F. Look for them to go another degree hotter on Tuesday as we continue to bake.

HERE COMES ANOTHER FRONT: By Wednesday morning, a cool front will be languishing near Louisville KY, contemplating a run at the Gulf Coast. It will wait for a cluster of approaching upper level disturbances to carve the trough over the eastern United States deeper. This will provide the impetus for it to push through much of the state of Alabama again. We will be pulling for the European model to win out this weekend. Its solution pushes the front all the way through the area by late Friday, giving us over an inch of rain by Saturday morning and providing some cooler temperatures in the 80s. We will be pulling for you!

GULF COAST WEATHER: The coming week will be another beauty with the front remaining offshore until is washes out. Only widely scattered showers and storms will be in the picture until next Saturday, when the next front will try to visit the beach like this last one. Water temperatures continue to be in the upper 80s. Seas will be running around 1 foot until later in the week when the storms increase. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

WEATHERBRAINS: No live show tonight. The show that will be released into the wild tonight was recorded ten days ago. It features a great interview with Rebecca Brandes-Gratz, the Author of “We’re Still Here Ya Bastards: How the Citizens of New Orleans Rebuilt Their City After Hurricane Katrina”. Check out the show at www.WeatherBrains.com.

We continue with our abbreviated video schedule today and tomorrow. James returns Wednesday. Have a great Monday and try to stay cool!

Categories: Weather

Nice Mornings, Hot Afternoons

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sun, 08/02/2015 - 08:28

Apologies for the delay in the video this morning, and the quality, I got the blue screen of death on the laptop this morning and had to get the old one going this morning that doesn’t have all the bells and whistles of the new one.

A very nice start to our Sunday across Central Alabama as most locations our into those soothing 60s continuing to give us that hint of fall. It will be another day featuring plenty of sunshine, few clouds, almost no chance of rain, low humidity, but hot temperatures. Highs this afternoon will once again climb well into the 90s with most spots across Central Alabama in the mid-90s.

ON THE MAPS: To the west of Alabama there remain an upper-level ridge. Across the eastern portions of the U.S., we are beginning to see another trough develop over Canada and it will be sliding down the eastern side of the ridge and will begin to bring us that northwesterly flow aloft that we have seen much of the summer, but mid-week, the trough is expected to be over much of the eastern half of the country and will help enhance our rain chances.

MONDAY/TUESDAY: These two day will continue to feature mainly sunny, hot, and for the most part dry conditions as the lower dew points will remain in place. Heights over the state will begin to increase and that will allow afternoon highs to increase as well. We are expecting to go from the mid-90s into the upper 90s in many spots. However, by late Tuesday, we should begin to see southerly flow return at the surface and that will allow moisture to return to Alabama by midweek.

SECOND HALF OF WEEK: From Wednesday through Friday, we are going to showers and storms become more prominent across Alabama. The upper-level trough and higher moisture levels will allow for more typical summer weather across the state. With the return of moisture that means humidity levels will be on the rise as well. For these days, expect scattered showers and storms mainly in the afternoon and evening hours. With the better rain chances will we will see highs back around the 90 degree mark.

AT THE BEACH: Highs along the coast have been ranging from 88-93 degrees, and that will continue into the week ahead. However, like clockwork each day, showers and storms will develop during the afternoon, which may run you in from the beach for a little while. Nevertheless, there will still be ample sunshine, and great weather to work on those tans. Seas are going to be running 1-2 feet, and the rip current threat is low along the Alabama Coast. However, the rip current threat is moderate along the Northwest Florida Coast, so use a bit more caution if getting in the waters in Florida the next few days. Water temps are in the mid-80s at most locations along the northern Gulf Coast. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here . The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

SPC OUTLOOK: An “Enhanced Risk” of severe thunderstorms is forecast today and tonight as severe storms are expected across the Great Lakes region today. This may include one or two organized storm clusters capable of generating swaths of potentially damaging wind gusts, in addition to severe hail, and perhaps a couple of tornadoes.

TOPIC TROPICS: For the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico, tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days as the basin remain very quiet.

WEEKEND SNEAK PEEK: The more active weather pattern appears to stick around for both days next weekend. That means hot and humid conditions with highs in the lower 90s. Also, we will see our daily dose of afternoon showers and storms, which is nothing too unusual this time of year.

LONG RANGE MODEL ENSEMBLE: As we continue to head through the month of August, the weather looks to stay hot. Now August is known for hot weather, but average highs this time of year for Central Alabama are usually in the lower 90s. Over the next two week, model data output shows that we can expect above average temperature through at least the middle of August.

Categories: Weather

Sunny, but Hot

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sat, 08/01/2015 - 14:59

We continue to see ample sunshine and nearly clouds free conditions because of the drier air that remains in place across the state.

This afternoon we are seeing lots of 90s on the maps across the state. Dew points this afternoon are in the lower 60s which is making the heat much more tolerable.

Radars across the state are clear, and though the chance for rain is not zero, I think most locations will be staying dry today, except for portions of Southeast Alabama.

FOR TONIGHT: A clear and pleasant night is ahead. After seeing those highs in the 90s today, once the sun sets, the temps will be heading down quickly because of the dry air. We are once again, expecting that hint of fall by tomorrow morning as most locations across Central Alabama will see lows in the 60s as we look at forecast model output below.

SUNNY SUNDAY: It will be a rinse and repeat kind of forecast the next few days. Tomorrow will feature an abundance of sunshine, and after starting the day in the 60s, we are forecasting highs to once again return to the mid-90s for many spots across Central Alabama. This dry spell shows how efficiently the dry air heats up and cools off, by the wide diurnal temperature range we are seeing each day.

Categories: Weather

How Low?

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sat, 08/01/2015 - 08:11

The 67F at the Birmingham Airport this morning is not close to a record, but we will take it as it represents a low that ranks in the coolest 15% of August 1st in the Birmingham climate period of record.

POSITIVELY FALLISH: Don’t get to say that too any times across Alabama in early August. 55F at Fort Payne and 59 at Cullman are the coolest first order station reports we can find this morning.

DON’T GET USED TO IT: It won’t last very long, as is often the case. By this afternoon, temperatures will be in the lower to middle 90s with all the dry air in place, and lows tonight will have a hard time dropping below 70F.

DID SOMEONE SAY DRY? The evening balloon sounding at Birmingham last night registered a preciptable water value of 0.67 inches. This is the third lowest July value ever observed in Central Alabama. Compare this to the Wednesday evening value of 2.03 inches, which is in the 90% percentile for July values here. Showers and storms on Friday were limited to Southeast Alabama, which was still in the moisture along and ahead of the front. You CAN get used to that, because It will be nearly impossible to scare up even an isolated shower north of US-80/I-85 through Sunday. And the rain chances Monday and Tuesday will be less than 10 percent in this area as well.

WHEN RETURNETH THE RAIN? Scattered showers and storms will return to their rightful places in the firmament over Alabama by Wednesday as an upper level trough approaches from the northwest. It will take nearly three days for it to traverse an arc just to our north. As it does it will slowly push a front toward us again. On Wednesday, it will be near Louisville. By Friday, it will have only traveled 175 miles or so to be near Chattanooga. That’s worse than the rate of travel on I-65 after a summer beach week. It will slowly elevate our rain chances into the weekend.

GULF COAST WEATHER: The weather along the beautiful beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida will be schizophrenic over the next few days with higher rain chances from Destin to the east. Lesser chances will be observed in places like Dauphin Island, Gulf Shores and Pensacola. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner <a href=”http://www.alabamawx.com/?page_id=74617″>here</a>. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

WEATHERBRAINS:. We had a great visit with retired NWS Meteorologist in Charge Craig Edwards this week on WeatherBrains. Craig is the on site meteorologist for the Minnesota Twins and was one of the best guests in the show’s history. The Panel was all ears! Check out the weekly netcast that’s all about weather at www.WeatherBrains.com. You can also subscribe on iTunes. You can watch the show live at <a href=”http://live.bigbrainsmedia.com/”>live.bigbrainsmedia.com</a> You can also see the show on the James Spann 24×7 weather channel on cable or directly over the air on the dot 2 feed.

Categories: Weather

Rare July Front

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Fri, 07/31/2015 - 06:49

Don’t look now, but the models were right. Whoever said that they would believe it when they saw it is having to believe it this morning. A rare July cool front actually made it through Central Alabama. It is pushing offshore of the northern Gulf Coast this morning. In its wake, dewpoints are in the low 60s in many spots in North Alabama and will fall back into the upper 50s today. That will make for magnificently low humidities across the area today.

MOSTLY DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Precipitable water values that were well over two inches just a couple of days about under 1.5 inches today.

Understand the chance of a shower is not zero, but most of North Alabama will be dry through Sunday. Today will actually be fairly pleasant for the last day of July; we project a mostly sunny sky with a high in the low 90s, and lower humidity levels making the heat a little more tolerable. Any showers or storms will be confined mostly to South Alabama.

FALLISH? We are expecting temperatures to drop down into the mid 60s early tomorrow, and some of the normally cooler pockets across North Alabama might be close to 60 for a little hint of fall. Then, for the weekend the sky will stay mostly sunny tomorrow and Sunday with highs up in the mid 90s. Scattered showers and storms will remain over far South Alabama; the chance of any one spot getting wet tomorrow and Sunday over the northern third of the state is only 2 percent.

NEXT WEEK: Not much change Monday and Tuesday, but showers and storms could increase later in the week around Thursday with a surface front approaching from the north. Highs will hold in the 90s.

AT THE BEACH: Not much change; about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily on the Gulf Coast from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores through early next week, with an occasional passing storm a good possibility. Highs on the coast will hold in the upper 80s, with mid 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICS: A weak surface low east of Georgia is moving northeast in the Atlantic, and development is not expected. A tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic, southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, is disorganized, but some slow development is possible over the next few days as it moves to the west. Dry air will hinder things, however.

Categories: Weather

Showers/Storms South Of I-20

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Thu, 07/30/2015 - 15:19

DRIER AIR MOVING INTO NORTH ALABAMA: As expected, dew points are falling across the northern part of Alabama this afternoon as drier air moves into the state. Scattered showers and thunderstorms have formed, but they are mostly south of I-20 (Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Anniston).

Showers and storms across Central and South Alabama will settle down later tonight once the sun goes down.

TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Understand the chance of a shower is not zero, but most of North Alabama will be dry. Tomorrow will actually be fairly pleasant for the last day of July; we project a mostly sunny sky with a high in the low 90s, and lower humidity levels making the heat a little more tolerable. Any showers or storms will be confined mostly to South Alabama.

We are expecting temperatures to drop down into the mid 60s early Saturday, and some of the normally cooler pockets across North Alabama might be close to 60 for a little hint of fall. Then, for the weekend the sky will stay mostly sunny Saturday and Sunday with highs up in the mid 90s. Scattered showers and storms will remain over far South Alabama; the chance of any one spot getting wet Saturday and Sunday over the northern third of the state is only 2 percent.

NEXT WEEK: Not much change Monday and Tuesday, but showers and storms could increase later in the week around Thursday with a surface front approaching from the north. Highs will hold in the 90… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Not much change; about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily on the Gulf Coast from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores through early next week, with an occasional passing storm a good possibility. Highs on the coast will hold in the upper 80s, with mid 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICS: A weak surface low east of Georgia is moving northeast in the Atlantic, and development is not expected. A tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic, southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, is disorganized, but some slow development is possible over the next few days as it moves to the west. Dry air will hinder things, however.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be taking a few days off… Bill Murray will cover the Weather Xtreme video production through early next week… enjoy tomorrow and the weekend!

Categories: Weather

Drier Air Arrives Tonight

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Thu, 07/30/2015 - 06:18

SURFACE FRONT ON THE WAY: Note we don’t call them “cold fronts” in late July in Alabama, but a surface boundary will drop into North Alabama today, and accordingly we believe the highest coverage of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon will be south of I-20 (south of a line from Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Anniston). Chance of any one spot getting wet today in that part of the state will be about one in three, but the odds are much lower north of Birmingham, where dew points will begin to fall this afternoon as the drier air arrives. Most communities will see a high up in the mid 90s again today.

TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: The GFS is suggesting dew points will drop into the upper 50s as far south as Birmingham tomorrow, and this dry means showers will be few and far between across the northern half of the state; scattered storms will be primarily over the southern quarter of Alabama. We reach the mid 90s tomorrow, but the lower humidity levels will make the heat a little more tolerable.

Some North Alabama communities could reach the mid 60s early Saturday morning for a little touch of fall.

Then, for the weekend, not much change. Mostly sunny days and fair nights for the northern half of the state with only a very small risk of any one spot seeing a shower or storm. Scattered storms remain possible across South Alabama. Highs stay in the 90s.

NEXT WEEK: Showers remain very isolated over North/Central Alabama Monday and Tuesday, with a slow increase in coverage over the latter half of the week as deeper moisture returns. Highs will stay in the 90s next week, which is what we expect in early August in Alabama. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily through the weekend on the Central Gulf Coast with a passing thunderstorm from time to time. Highs on the coast will be in the upper 80s, with mid 90s just a few miles inland. Sea water temperatures remain in the mid 80s. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICS: A disturbance east of Jacksonville, Florida will move northeast, and no development is expected. And, out in the far East Atlantic, a tropical wave emerged off the coast of Africa yesterday… just a small chance of slow development in coming days as it moves westward. Dry air will be a problem for this wave.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Big Storms Across Alabama

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Wed, 07/29/2015 - 15:51

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today**

RADAR CHECK: Strong to severe storms have been moving southward across much of Alabama today, with strong gusty winds, very frequent lightning, and torrential rain.

These showers and storms will die down once the sun goes down later this evening.

TOMORROW: A surface boundary will push into North Alabama, and it could trigger a few storms, but not as many as today, and the more numerous ones will be south of I-20. Where they do form, however, they could be strong, as SPC maintains a “marginal” severe weather threat for much of the state. The high tomorrow afternoon should be in the mid 90s.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Dry air slips into the northern half of the state, meaning these three days will be mostly dry with only a very small risk of any one spot seeing a shower or storm. We expect mostly sunny days, fair nights, and slightly lower humidity values. The best chance of scattered storms over the weekend will be over the southern quarter of the state. Highs will remain in the mid 90s, but the lower dew points will make the heat a little more tolerable.

And, the first part of next week looks mostly rain-free with mostly sunny weather continuing Monday and Tuesday; just a slight risk of any one spot getting a storm.

GULF COAST WEATHER: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily through the weekend from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach, but you will have to deal with a few passing thunderstorms from time to time. Highs on the immediate coast will stay in the upper 80s, with mid 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: A tropical wave has emerged off the coast of Africa in the far East Atlantic; no development expected over the next few days as it moves to the west.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Severe Thunderstorm Warning : Pickens County

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Wed, 07/29/2015 - 15:46

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
SOUTHWESTERN PICKENS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 430 PM CDT

* AT 343 PM CDT…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
ETHELSVILLE…OR 8 MILES NORTH OF PICKENSVILLE…MOVING SOUTH AT 25
MPH.

HAZARD…60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE…RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT…EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS…SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
ALICEVILLE…CARROLLTON…PICKENSVILLE…MCMULLEN…BEVILL LOCK AND
DAM…GARDEN…GAINESVILLE LAKE CAMPGROUND…GEORGE DOWNER
AIRPORT…PINE GROVE…DILLBURG…COCHRANE AND OWENS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

Categories: Weather

Severe Thunderstorm Warning : Lamar/Pickens Counties

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Wed, 07/29/2015 - 15:19

The storm over Lamar County is moving south, and capable of producing damaging winds. Also, it is putting out a remarkable amount of cloud to ground lightning…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
SOUTHERN LAMAR COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…
NORTHWESTERN PICKENS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 400 PM CDT

* AT 317 PM CDT…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF VERNON…MOVING SOUTH AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD…60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE…RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT…EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS…SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
VERNON…REFORM…MILLPORT…CARROLLTON…PICKENSVILLE…KENNEDY…
ETHELSVILLE…CODY…PINE GROVE…HIGHTOGY…NORTH PICKENS
AIRPORT…MCSHAN…FOREST…MELBORNE…SHAW…STAR AND OWENS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

Categories: Weather

Severe Thunderstorm Warning : Jefferson/Shelby

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Wed, 07/29/2015 - 14:39

The storm moving the southern part of the Birmingham metro could produce winds of 50 mph or higher…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA…
SHELBY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 315 PM CDT

* AT 237 PM CDT…SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM BIRMINGHAM TO NEAR WESTOVER…MOVING SOUTH AT 30
MPH.

HAZARD…60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE…RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT…EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS…SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
BIRMINGHAM…HOOVER…VESTAVIA HILLS…ALABASTER…BESSEMER…
HOMEWOOD…PELHAM…MOUNTAIN BROOK…HELENA…HUEYTOWN…
IRONDALE…CALERA…FAIRFIELD…CHELSEA…MONTEVALLO…
COLUMBIANA…WILSONVILLE…MIDFIELD…BRIGHTON AND INDIAN SPRINGS
VILLAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

Categories: Weather

Storms More Numerous Today

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Wed, 07/29/2015 - 06:30

RADAR CHECK: We have a few showers and storms on radar early this morning across Central Alabama… moving to the southeast.

When you see early morning storms in summer, that is a pretty good sign the atmosphere is unstable and not capped, and that often means scattered to numerous showers and storms later in the day during the peak of the daytime heating process. The chance of any one spot seeing a storm today is about 50/50, and some of them could be strong. SPC maintains a “marginal” severe weather risk for much of Alabama today…

The prime risk will come from “wet microbursts”, or local areas of strong straight line winds. And, of course, all summer storms pack gobs of lightning. Most communities will see a high in the low to mid 90s today with a mix of sun and clouds.

TOMORROW: A surface boundary (notice we don’t call them “cold fronts” in late July) will move down into North Alabama, and will probably trigger more thunderstorms. I don’t think the coverage of the storms will be as high as today, but where they do form, they could be strong again, and SPC maintains a “marginal” severe weather threat for much of the state tomorrow. The high tomorrow afternoon will be in the mid 90s with a mix of sun and clouds.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Drier air will filter into the northern half of Alabama, meaning slightly lower humidity levels, slightly cooler nights, and very few showers on these three days. The best chance of scattered storms will be over the southern third of the state. Highs will be in the 90s, but many North Alabama communities will enjoy lows in the 60s over the weekend because of the drier air and lower dew points.

The weather for the first few days of next week looks pretty calm with only isolated storms… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily on the coast from Gulf Shores east to Panama City Beach through the weekend, with a passing storm from time to time. Highs on the coast will be in the upper 80s, with mid 90s inland. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 85 degrees. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICAL WEATHER: The Atlantic basin remains very quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend. The peak of the season usually comes in August and September, and it ends on the last day of November.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

Categories: Weather

Severe Thunderstorm Warning : Randolph County

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Tue, 07/28/2015 - 17:48

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
CENTRAL RANDOLPH COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 630 PM CDT

* AT 545 PM CDT…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER WEDOWEE…
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

HAZARD…60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE…RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT…HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE
TO ROOFS…SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
ROANOKE…WEDOWEE…LAKE WEDOWEE…MALONE…CRYSTAL LAKE…
DICKERT…OFELIA…TENNANT…ROCK STAND AND R.L. HARRIS DAM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM…AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

Categories: Weather

Severe Thunderstorm Warning : Calhoun/Cleburne/Talladega

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Tue, 07/28/2015 - 17:18

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
SOUTH CENTRAL CALHOUN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA…
SOUTHWESTERN CLEBURNE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA…
NORTHEASTERN TALLADEGA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 600 PM CDT

* AT 515 PM CDT…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER BLUE
MOUNTAIN…OR OVER ANNISTON…MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD…60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE…RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT…EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS…SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
ANNISTON…OXFORD…COBB TOWN…SAKS…FORT MCCLELLAN…WEST
END-COBB TOWN…WEAVER…MUNFORD…HOBSON CITY…OXFORD LAKE…BLUE
MOUNTAIN…ANNISTON REGIONAL AIRPORT…MOUNT CHEAHA…BYNUM…
CHALAFINNEE…JENIFER…CHOCCOLOCCO…DEARMANVILLE…CAMP MAC AND
HOLLIS CROSSROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

Categories: Weather

Another Hot & Humid Day

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Tue, 07/28/2015 - 06:01

James is in St. Louis on this Tuesday, so we will operate with an abbreviated video schedule today. Just one Weather Xtreme video today. We will return to regular schedule tomorrow when James gets back.

FOR YOUR TUESDAY: It will be very similar to Monday across the state. Highs today will climb well into the 90s and there will be a mix of sun and clouds. As we saw yesterday, a weak moisture axis along the Intestate 20 corridor allowed shower and storms to develop and they produced heavy rainfall across the Birmingham Metro. The Birmingham Airport received 1.26″ of rain yesterday, while other portions of the Metro area stayed dry. The moisture axis shifts a little farther south today, so the main convection is expected to be between the Intestate 20 and Interstate 85 corridors. These storms will be only heat relief today, so if you see the rain, consider yourself lucky.

TODAY’S SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK: Our friends at the SPC have issued a “slight” risk of severe storms today across the Upper Midwest, which is surrounded by the standard “marginal” risk that includes the rest of the Upper Midwest, Great Lakes, and Central Plains. There is also a “marginal” risk for much of New England. The main threat will come from damaging winds, and hail but a few tornadoes may be possible with the storms in the Midwest. For Alabama, we are highlighted in a general thunderstorm outlook, which is what we expect most days this time of year.

TOPIC TROPICS: We are still watching a a broad area of low pressure along the west coast of Florida just north of Tampa. We know from history, that the longer an area of low pressure sits somewhere, the better the chances of it developing. However, the NHC is not expecting any tropical cyclone development over the next 48 hours. Of course, we will be watching to see if this by chance becomes Danny later this week, but as of now, the NHC is not overly concerned. This feature and the associated unsettled weather are making for rather wet weather across much of the Florida Peninsula this week…Stay tuned!!!

AT THE BEACH: For today, expect fantastic beach weather to continue. It will be another hot day with afternoon highs climbing into the lower 90s, but just a few miles inland, highs will climb into the mid and upper 90s. Rain chances will remain rather low today, but an isolated storm or two will be possible, but most of the beaches will stay dry today. After today, the weather will begin to change some as rain chance will be increasing some and those isolated storms become more numerous and scattered. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here . The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

WEDNESDAY-FRIDAY: Rain chance will be in the way up for the second half of the week. We are forecasting hot & very humid days, highs in the low to mid 90s, and the risk of scattered showers and storms, mostly during the afternoon and evening hours. We do expect an increase in the number of showers and storms by Thursday, as a surface front approaches the state and then stalls out somewhere likely near the Interstate 85 corridor. This front will be enhancing the uplift across the region and this will certainly help for more widespread shower and thunderstorm activity. By Friday, we should see a bulk of the convection pushing towards the south. QPF output over the next five days has much of Central Alabama receiving anywhere from one half to one inch of rain.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Depending how far south the boundary makes it will determine the weather for your location this weekend. Model data shows the boundary stalling out near the Interstate 85 corridor. To the north of the boundary, dry and sunny weather, while along and south of the boundary, expect rainy conditions. A summer frontal boundary is hard to forecast for the Deep South this time of year as they are rare and because we are not exactly sure how far south it will make it. Going with model persistence, expect more sun than clouds for North-Central Alabama and highs should be in the lower 90s.

James will be back with the regular morning and afternoon videos on Wednesday. Stay cool!

Categories: Weather

WeatherBrains 496: Kernal Panic

WeatherBrains - Mon, 07/27/2015 - 21:27

WeatherBrains Episode 496 is now online (July 27, 2015). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Tonight’s Guest WeatherBrain has done more since he retired that many people do during their careers.  He was with the NWS 34 years and retired as the MIC at the Twin Cities office. He has provided weather on NPR, written a book, “Nature’s Messenger”, and has served as the first on-site meteorologist for a major league baseball team. Craig Edwards, welcome to the show!

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

      • Changing social media landscape
      • J. B. audio clips
      • Astronomy Outlook with Tony Rice
      • and more!

Our email bag officer is continuing to handle the incoming messages from our listeners.

From The Weather Center:

WeatherBrains 101: Professor Peters is taking a few weeks off but will return soon!

Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

Web Sites from Episode 496:

Craig Edwards Book

To subscribe to the brand new SkyWritings, an email newsletter from the WeatherBrains gang, click HERE.

Picks of the Week:

Rick Smith – DUAL POL Radar detects crickets

Bill Murray – NHC Blog Post on Future of Tropical Cyclone Warnings

John Scala – DSCOVR Earth Image

James Spann – 5 Weird Disasters in 60 seconds

Kevin Selle – Chester Lampkin Blog

SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Dr. John Scala, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

Categories: Weather

Classic Mid-Summer Weather

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Mon, 07/27/2015 - 06:26

AT DAYBREAK: It is a warm, humid Monday morning across the great state of Alabama; sunrise shot below comes from the Gilmer Dairy Farm in Lamar County…

Temperatures are in the 70s, and project a high back in the mid 90s for most communities today, with a partly sunny sky and the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. Chance of any one spot getting wet later today is about one in three… very classic weather for late July in Alabama.

REST OF THE WEEK: Not much change. Hot, humid days, highs in the low to mid 90s, and the risk of scattered showers and storms, mostly during the afternoon and evening hours. We do expect an increase in the number of showers and storms by Thursday and Friday as a surface front approaches North Alabama and stalls out somewhere around here.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The GFS suggests the stalled front will be across Central Alabama, with drier conditions for the northern counties Saturday and Sunday. But, surface fronts have a very hard time making it that far south in early August, so I will “believe it when I see it”… we will broad brush the weekend forecast with partly sunny, hot days and the risk of an afternoon thunderstorm in scattered spots. Looks like highs Saturday and Sunday will be in the low 90s… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny weather today and tomorrow on the coast from Gulf Shores west to Panama City Beach… then for Wednesday through Friday about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day with scattered thunderstorms possible. Highs on the immediate coast will hold in the upper 80s, with low to mid 90s inland. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 80 degrees. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICS: Broad low pressure is over the Florida Peninsula where showers and storms are likely today, but tropical development is not expected there, or anywhere else across the Atlantic basin this week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Only one Weather Xtreme video today and tomorrow due to travel (I will be in St. Louis)… Meaghan Thomas will be filling in for me on ABC 33/40 News this evening at 4, 5, 6, and 10:00… enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

I-59 Showers

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sun, 07/26/2015 - 14:25

The semi-permanent subtropical high over the Atlantic Ocean that we usually see near Bermuda in mid-summer is displaced to the east on this July Sunday. There is a surface high over the Atlantic to the east of New England. That high is ridging down the East Coast of the U.S.. There is a trough of low pressure eating into the southwestern side of the high.

Over Alabama, you can see the effects of the trough, which contains drier air, extending into Southeast Alabama. The rest of the state has fairly normal summer time moisture over it.

As a result, in all parts of the state expect for the Wiregrass of Southeast Alabama, a beautiful field of fair weather cumulus clouds have formed. Temperatures are hot, in the 90s at all first order observing stations across the state except over the higher elevation of Northeast Alabama. It is 82F at Fort Payne and 86F at Valley Head. Readings range from 90F at Auburn and Alexander City to 96F at Huntsville. It was 91F at Calera and Birmingham and 94F at Anniston and Tuscaloosa.

The cooler temperatures over Northeast Alabama are thanks to developing showers and thunderstorms. At 2:20 p.m., showers covered much of DeKalb County in northeast Alabama and were developing around Decatur. We still expect a fairly good coverage of showers and storms within about a 120 mile wide band on either side of I-59. The chance you will get a cooling shower is about 1 in 3 this afternoon. They will die out quickly after sunset.

Showers should be few and far between tomorrow and Tuesday, but will start to increase again by midweek. Temperatures will continue to be summerlike with highs in the 90s and lows in the 70s.

Categories: Weather

A Hot July Sunday

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sun, 07/26/2015 - 10:37

Sorry for the scheduling mishap this morning that has made us late, but here is your Weather Extreme video and narrative for Sunday, July 26th.

Saturday was a dry day across Central Alabama with very few isolated light showers. I finally got a reprieve after eight consecutive days of rainfall in Vestavia Hills and was able to stain my deck. Moisture has returned today and there should be enough around to scare up a few widely scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon, despite the presence of high pressure at the surface and aloft. High temperatures this afternoon will top out well into the middle 90s with a few upper 90s thrown in for effect.

Not much change in the thinking this morning about how the week will go. The GFS is still bullish on the idea of increased showers and storms by next weekend as a front drifts down into Alabama, producing over 2 inches of rain for the area. The European does not buy this wet concept for Central Alabama, spotting out only .4 inches of rain.

One interesting development in the Euro output is the development of a surface low over northern Florida that retrogrades, or moves westward, back along the north Gulf Coast. That could spell more showers and storms for beachgoers along the beautiful beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida, but it remains to be seen if that will pan out.

It will be just a tad hotter than normal this week across Central Alabama, with highs in the middle and upper 90s. Heat index values could flirt with heat advisory levels through midweek, but nothing we aren’t used to here in Alabama. Temperatures will back off a bit by the weekend, especially if the GFS is right about the rainfall.

James will be back with the next edition of the Weather Xtreme video on Monday.

Have a great Sunday and try to stay cool!

Categories: Weather

Mid-Summer Saturday

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sat, 07/25/2015 - 13:58

The weather is hot and humid today. We are seeing mainly sunny conditions, and all locations across Central Alabama are seeing temperatures in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Drier air continues to settle into the state from the north, for this reason, most locations will stay dry. We are seeing a few a showers and storms on the radar this afternoon, mainly over South Alabama, but overall, it is just a typical late July Saturday across the state.

Heading into the evening and overnight hours, expect fairly balmy and humid conditions. Any storms that develop will wind down once the sun sets this evening and we should see overnight lows into the mid-70s.

Expect plenty of sunshine on Sunday and a very hot day as the ridge continues to strengthen. Rain chances are lower tomorrow and we will see highs into the mid-90s with even some upper 90s in some locations of the state. It should be a great day to hit the local waterways or a pool to cool off.

Categories: Weather
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