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Interesting Weather along the Beaches

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sat, 03/22/2014 - 14:19

The weather is certainly terrific today, not just here in Central Alabama, but also along the beaches of the northern Gulf Coast. A lot of springbreakers are enjoying the sand and sun, with even some brave souls getting in the water which is still a frigid 61 degrees. Looking at the sky cam shot from Pensacola, it appears to be a great day at the beach, but we need to take a closer look at a few things.

As we look at the latest satellite image for the region, we are seeing a mix of sun and clouds for most areas. As a meteorologist looking at this image, my eyes were drawn to the very insignificant gray area along the Alabama Coast, I have circled the area in green. I said to myself, that looks like there could be some fog or low clouds along the Alabama coast,  and that could really ruin someone’s day at the beach if that is the case. I started pulling up the sky cams along the Gulf Coast, and sure enough, it remains very cloudy and foggy along the beaches of south Baldwin County.

Here is the sky cam from Gulf Shore early this afternoon. It is quite a different image compared to what we are seeing on the Pensacola sky cam. Such a short distance between these two locations, but certainly a major difference in the weather. The low clouds and fog are just affecting Gulf Shores and Orange Beach, while the rest of the northern Gulf Coast is severe clear. Compared to the rest of the area, it is not a great day at the beach. Hopefully heading through the rest of the afternoon, the low clouds and fog will move out and allow for some rays of sun to make it through.

Categories: Weather

Update Just Before Noon

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sat, 03/22/2014 - 11:35

Saturday is turning out to be a pretty nice day across Central Alabama. The satellite view shows some altocumulus clouds around 10 to 12 thousand feet over the Tennessee River Valley with a blanket of thin cirrus clouds between 20,000 and 35,000 feet over much of the rest of the state. Radar showed a few showers across the northwestern counties of Alabama, but any rainfall there was light.

Those cirrus clouds were filtering the sun a bit, however, temperatures had climbed to near the 70-degree mark just before noon. Temperatures across the Tennessee River Valley with the mid deck of clouds were about 7 to 10 degrees cooler as those clouds blocked a bit more of the warming sunshine.

Looks like the the forecast for today is on track as temperatures should warm into the lower and middle 70s across Central Alabama. The cold front to the north of us will slowly inch our way, so tomorrow should be a mostly cloudy day with showers and patchy areas of rain off and on along with noticeably cooler temperatures. Western Kentucky was in the 40s near noon, and that chillier air should settle into Central Alabama with highs Sunday only in the upper 50s and lower 60s.

There was a 103 degree difference in the highest and lowest temperatures across the continental US between yesterday afternoon and this morning. The high temperature for Friday was 92 at Dryden, TX, while the low temperature this morning was -11 at Waskish, MN.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

A Mild Saturday

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sat, 03/22/2014 - 07:52

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

It appears that Central Alabama will have one more relatively nice Spring day to enjoy today even as clouds and moisture increase. Radar showed a few showers in the vicinity of Memphis this morning along an approaching front, however, I believe we’ll see a mostly dry day with the greatest threat for any small showers across the Tennessee River Valley. But overnight and into Sunday, the front will drop into our area as moisture levels increase, so it looks like widespread showers for Sunday. The upper short wave over the Great Lakes will give us a glancing blow, so while showers will occur, rainfall amounts are not expected to be especially heavy with amounts of one third to half an inch possible in some of the heavier showers. We might hear a little thunder, too, but I’m not expecting any severe weather threat for Central Alabama.

The upper level flow at 500 millibars goes nearly zonal for the Southeast US so the front is expected to push down to the Gulf Coast Monday allowing us to dry out with showers prevalent further to the south. But a strong, fast moving short wave moving out of South Central Canada will drop into the southern Appalachians on Tuesday bringing us another shot of cold air. This wave and the associated front have been showing without much moisture, so I doubt that we see any significant threat for any showers, but that does not mean that we can’t see some isolated showers Monday night and into the early hours of Tuesday. But keep the winter coats handy, because Tuesday and Wednesday will remind us that we can still see cold weather even if we are into official Spring season. Highs Tuesday and Wednesday are not expected to get out of the 50s and we are likely to see some frost on Wednesday morning with lows dropping to near 30 which means some locations getting into the 20s.

We should be dry Wednesday and Thursday, but moisture will be increasing to our west on Thursday ahead of yet another trough moving through the Mississippi River Valley on Friday and Saturday. Friday and Saturday will see scattered showers once again as this trough pushes another cold front through the area. Looks like Saturday will start with showers with showers ending during the day as the system progresses eastward. Temperatures should recover after the midweek chill down so that highs climb back to around 70 by Friday with lows mainly in the 40s.

Looking out into voodoo country and the pattern remains active with a continuation of a series of upper level disturbances that keep the eastern US on a roller coaster of weather with temperatures up and then down and rain chances every four days or so.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Ashley Brand J. B. Elliott Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

It was a hoot filling in for Charles yesterday on the Midday News and having the opportunity to speak with Sherri Shepherd from The View who paid us a visit. I told her that until yesterday my favorite View person was Whoopi Goldberg, but now that I’ve met her, she’s number one and Whoopi has moved to second!! And I didn’t even do a “selfie.” I expect to have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted by 8 or so on Sunday morning. Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

March 21 Weather Xtreme Video - Afternoon Edition

Weather Xtreme Video - Fri, 03/21/2014 - 15:42
March 21 Weather Xtreme Video - Afternoon Edition
The ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is a detailed weather discussion for Alabama and the Southeast U.S. which goes beyond the normal stuff you see on TV! From... From: abc3340 Views: 670 2 ratings Time: 06:20 More in News & Politics
Categories: Weather

One More Mild Day For Alabama

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Fri, 03/21/2014 - 15:39

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

THIS AFTERNOON: A very comfortable afternoon; one of the warmest places in the state is Montgomery; they have reached 75 degrees; Birmingham reports 71 at 3:00p CT. High cirrus clouds have advanced into the state, but the low levels remain dry, and there is no rain on radar. The high clouds, which are ice crystals, have produced nice sky optics today; many have noticed a 22 degree halo around the sun…

WEEKEND CHANGES AHEAD: Tomorrow still looks relatively dry. We can’t rule out a shower, especially over the Tennessee Valley of far North Alabama, but a pretty decent part of the day should be rain-free. The sky will be generally cloudy, although we could see some filtered sunshine, and the high will be in the low to mid 70s.

The high resolution NAM model suggests the primary window for the widespread rain will come from about 12:00 midnight tomorrow night through 12:00 noon Sunday. Rain amounts of 1/2 inch are likely; no severe weather threat, and probably very little thunder.

Sunday will be considerably cooler with a high in the 50s. The sky should clear late Sunday afternoon or Sunday night as drier air works into the state, and Sunday night will be pretty chilly. The 12Z GFS is printing a low of 34 degrees for Birmingham at daybreak Monday, meaning some of the colder pockets around here could see a light freeze.

NEXT WEEK: Monday will be cool and dry with a mix of sun and clouds and a high around 60 degrees. A rapidly deepening low off the Atlantic coast Tuesday will pull down colder air; Tuesday will be breezy and colder with a partly sunny sky; not sure we get out of the 50s, and some communities near the Tennessee border could hold in the 40s all day. The last few global model runs have kept the rain shield with the Atlantic low east of Alabama.

A late season freeze is likely early Wednesday morning… we project a low between 25 and 29 degrees for most of North/Central Alabama. Growers need to be aware of this potential. We begin to warm up Thursday with a high back in the 60s, and some rain is possible by Friday or Saturday (March 28/29).

See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Tomorrow will be dry, but mostly cloudy on the Gulf Coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. Showers and thunderstorms are likely Sunday, with a few lingering showers possible into Monday. Then, the weather should be dry Tuesday through Thursday of next week with mostly sunny days and fair nights.

Highs on the immediate coast will be in the 60s, and nights next week will be pretty chilly with lows down in the 40s by Wednesday and Thursday morning. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this afternoon is 63 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the kids at Sycamore Elementary in Talladega County, and the third graders at Chelsea Park Elementary in Shelby County. Be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM at 5:00 and 6:00 this evening on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted bright and early Monday morning by 7:00 a.m…. Brian Peters will have the video updates here tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Categories: Weather

March 21 Weather Xtreme Video - Morning Edition

Weather Xtreme Video - Fri, 03/21/2014 - 06:10
March 21 Weather Xtreme Video - Morning Edition
The ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is a detailed weather discussion for Alabama and the Southeast U.S. which goes beyond the normal stuff you see on TV! From... From: abc3340 Views: 846 3 ratings Time: 05:59 More in News & Politics
Categories: Weather

Colder Air Returns By Sunday

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Fri, 03/21/2014 - 06:09

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

DELIGHTFUL DAY AHEAD: We are starting this day with some places below freezing; John Talbot, our Skywatcher at Concord, just west of Birmingham, reports 31 degrees just before daybreak. But, with very dry air in place and a strong March sun, we will warm into the 72 to 75 degree range this afternoon. You won’t need the jackets for long today.

WEEKEND WEATHER CHANGES: Tomorrow will be another mild day with highs back in the low to mid 70s; the sky will be generally cloudy however as a cold front will push down into North Alabama by afternoon. While I can’t rule out a shower around here tomorrow, the best chance during the day will come over the far northern counties of the state near the surface front.

Rain becomes likely late tomorrow night (especially after midnight) into the day Sunday. It won’t rain all day Sunday, but no doubt it will be wet at times. And, the weather turns colder. We won’t get out of the 50s Sunday with a cool north wind of 10-18 mph. Rain amounts of 1/4 to 1/2 inch are likely. No severe weather, and probably no thunder. Just good ole fashioned rain.

NEXT WEEK: A surface low will form east of Jacksonville Monday night in the Atlantic. The exact position and depth of this low will determine if it can spread moisture and some rain back into Alabama; the latest global model runs keep the bulk of the rain east of Alabama. At this point Monday looks mostly dry and cool; maybe even some sun at times during the day.

We will mention a chance of some light rain Monday night and Tuesday morning mainly for Northeast Alabama; looks like a majority of the state will be dry. Colder air will move into the state Tuesday with a brisk north wind as the Atlantic low deepens and moves northeast; parts of North Alabama won’t get out of the 40s Tuesday with chilly north wind of 10-20 mph.

MID-WEEK FREEZE: We project lows in the 24-30 degree range early Wednesday morning, so growers beware. Another freeze is possible early Thursday morning as well, then a warming trend begins Thursday afternoon.

The 00Z GFS shows a cold front in here late next week with potential for showers and thunderstorms on Friday (March 28). Doesn’t look like a severe weather threat, however.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights on the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores through tomorrow. Then, showers are possible Sunday, with rain more widespread Monday. The rain could be heavy Monday over the Florida Panhandle, in fact. The rest of next week, Tuesday through Friday, should be dry but pretty cool for late March. Temperatures could reach the 40s at night on the Gulf Coast at mid-week.

Afternoon highs on the immediate coast will remain mostly in the low to mid 60s; sea water temperatures are in the 58-62 degree range. That cool ocean water limits the ability for the air to really warm up.

WEATHER RADIO PROGRAMMING: We will be on the road over the next several weeks programming weather radio receivers. The first stop will be at the Publix in Alabaster next Wednesday; we will be there from 3:30 until 6:30 p.m… if you need help, come see us.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Busy day ahead; I have weather programs at Sycamore Elementary in Talladega County, and then at Forest Oaks and Chelsea Park Elementary Schools in Shelby County. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon…. enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

March 20 Weather Xtreme Video - Afternoon Edition

Weather Xtreme Video - Thu, 03/20/2014 - 15:41
March 20 Weather Xtreme Video - Afternoon Edition
The ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is a detailed weather discussion for Alabama and the Southeast U.S. which goes beyond the normal stuff you see on TV! From... From: abc3340 Views: 630 4 ratings Time: 06:52 More in News & Politics
Categories: Weather

Into The 70s Tomorrow

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Thu, 03/20/2014 - 15:37

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SPRING IS HERE: The weather doesn’t get much better on this first “official” day of spring. The sky is sunny across Alabama with temperatures around here in the 60s; we have low 70s over the southern half of the state.

We rise into the 72-75 degree range tomorrow afternoon with a sunny sky.

FOR THE WEEKEND: The day Saturday will looks mild, and mostly rain-free; with a mix of sun and clouds we will reach the mid 70s; the NAM is printing a high of 77 degrees for Birmingham Saturday afternoon. But, much cooler air invades the state Sunday as a front sags down into South Alabama. Sunday will be cloudy with periods of rain; afternoon temperatures won’t get out of the 50s along and north of I-20, but South Alabama could still see low 70s below the surface front.

The rain on Sunday won’t be too heavy or continuous, but no doubt it will rain at times during the day.

NEXT WEEK: Interesting developments with the 12Z run of the GFS. It now suggests that Monday will be generally cool and dry; clouds stick around, but little rain. Still doubtful we get out of the 50s. Then, a strong wave of low pressure forms in the Northeast Gulf of Mexico on the old front, and spreads rain into Alabama Monday night into early Tuesday morning.

To make it really fun, the GFS hints that snow could fall over far Northwest Alabama in colder air early Tuesday. We won’t buy into this solution for now… the ECMWF is very similar, but thermal fields on that model suggest just a cold rain.

The rain ends by midday Tuesday, but the day will be cloudy and cool with a high only in the low to mid 50s; some North Alabama communities will hold in the 40s all day Tuesday.

LATE SEASON FREEZE: Still looks like a freeze is likely early Wednesday morning for much of North and Central Alabama with lows down in the 20s. Needless to say, it is way too early to be planting anything that might be damaged by freezing temperatures. Sharp cold snaps with frost are pretty much to be expected here into early April.

See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights on the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores through Saturday. Then, showers are possible Sunday, with rain more widespread Monday. The rain could be heavy Monday over the Florida Panhandle, in fact. The rest of next week, Tuesday through Friday, should be dry but pretty cool for late March. Temperatures could reach the 40s at night on the Gulf Coast at mid-week.

Afternoon highs on the immediate coast will remain mostly in the low to mid 60s; sea water temperatures are in the 58-62 degree range. That cool ocean water limits the ability for the air to really warm up.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the 6th graders at Centre Middle School… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

Your Weekly U.S. Drought Monitor Update

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Thu, 03/20/2014 - 13:03

Not much change in the drought conditions across a majority of the U.S. The worst conditions remain west of the Mississippi River, as portions of Texas, Oklahoma, Colorado, Nevada, and California remain in exceptional drought conditions. There is little to no relief in sight and conditions are likely to get worse before they have a chance to get better.

No part of Alabama is currently experiencing drought conditions, but we continue to see the Abnormally Dry conditions in three areas of the state. These conditions continue across northwestern parts of the state where they are affecting portions of Limestone, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Colbert, Franklin, and Marion counties.

For East-Central Alabama, the abnormally dry conditions still include portions of Talladega, Coosa, Tallapoosa, Randolph, Cleburne, Clay, Chilton, Dallas, Autauga, and Elmore counties.

Abnormally dry conditions persist across the Wiregrass Region as well, affecting locations in Pike, Crenshaw, Coffee, Geneva, Covington, Escambia, Conecuh and Baldwin counties.

Overall, for the entire state the abnormally dry conditions have remained the same in the amount of area they cover. Last week it was at 18.48% of the state, this week it remained at 18.48%. The rainfall we’ve had the last week as help slow down the spread of dry conditions. Last week had an increase of nearly 10% coverage, while there was no change from last week to this week.

Click image to enlarge.

Categories: Weather

Spring has Arrived

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Thu, 03/20/2014 - 11:57


Photograph by Kathy Bell, owner of kbella photography.

Today is the vernal equinox, which means we have equal daylight and darkness, twelve hours of each, as the sun is directly over the equator. It is also the official first day of spring. Spring arrived here in Alabama at 11:57 AM CDT. Hooray!!!

I, like many people out there are so excited to see the winter of 2014 come to an end. It certainly has been cold, snowy, and icy, and one of the worst winters we have experienced in quite some time across the eastern half of the U.S. Though we will still have several cool snaps ahead, the worst of the winter is behind us.

Since spring does start today, the weather will cooperate the next few days. It will certainly feel like spring, before we cool back off over the weekend and into next week.

Categories: Weather

March 20 Weather Xtreme Video - Morning Edition

Weather Xtreme Video - Thu, 03/20/2014 - 05:58
March 20 Weather Xtreme Video - Morning Edition
The ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is a detailed weather discussion for Alabama and the Southeast U.S. which goes beyond the normal stuff you see on TV! From... From: abc3340 Views: 705 4 ratings Time: 05:07 More in News & Politics
Categories: Weather

Tons O’ Sun

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Thu, 03/20/2014 - 05:57

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

DRY AIR: We expect sunshine in full force across Alabama today and tomorrow as the warming trend continues. We project a high in the mid 60s today, followed by mid to mid 70s tomorrow. Delightful weather for the beginning of spring; the vernal equinox is today at 11:57 a.m. CT. This is the day the sun is directly over the equator, and we have approximately 12 hours of daylight and 12 hours of darkness.

WEEKEND WEATHER CHANGES: The weather stays mild Saturday, and it still looks a large part of the day will be dry. The high will be up in the mid 70s with a mix of sun and clouds, and for now we will mention only a small risk of a shower. Showers become more likely late Saturday night as a cold front pushes through.

Sunday will be cloudy, cool, and wet at times. Doubtful we get out of the 50s with cold air advection. It won’t rain all day, and the rain won’t be especially heavy… amounts will be around 1/4 inch.

NEXT WEEK: The front will remain nearly stationary over South Alabama, and Monday will be cloudy and cool with daytime temperatures only in the 50s. And, it looks like we will need to hang on to some risk of light rain over the southern two-thirds of the state.

A stronger cold front moves in here early Tuesday morning, and it should set the stage for a significant late season freeze by early Wednesday. Sure looks like we are headed for the 20s…

A warming trend begins later in the week Thursday afternoon. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Look for sunny days and fair nights from Panama City west to Gulf Shores through Saturday. The sky will be mostly cloudy Sunday and Monday with occasional showers. Then, dry weather Tuesday through Friday of next week.

The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this morning is 61 degrees; highs on the immediate coast will be in the low to mid 60s through the weekend, but 70s are likely just a few miles inland.

It is important to note that next week will feature rather chilly nights on the coast; lows will drop into the 40s for mid-week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be doing a weather program this morning at Centre Middle School in Cherokee County; be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Dry Through Friday; Warmer

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Wed, 03/19/2014 - 12:53

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today due to travel; I am at the University of Georgia where I will be speaking this evening**

SUN AND CLOUDS: Another day with a mix of sun and clouds across Alabama. Today most of the sun is over East and South Alabama…

Nothing on radar, and temperatures are generally in the 50s at early afternoon. Where the sun is out, highs will be in the low 60s; where clouds are in place, these communities will hold in the 50s.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: Drier air will mean sunshine in full supply both days. The high tomorrow will be in the 65-68 degree range, and we reach the low to mid 70s Friday.

OUR WEEKEND: Saturday continues to look mild and mostly rain-free with a high in the low to mid 70s. I can’t rule out a shower in a few spots, but much of the day should be dry.

Sunday will be cloudy, cooler, and wet at times with periods of mostly light rain; many North Alabama communities won’t get out of the 50s, while South Alabama will see a high in the low to mid 70s again. The rain won’t be especially heavy, and there is no risk of severe weather.

NEXT WEEK: Monday will be pretty cool for late March; some places over North Alabama could hold in the 40s all day. Some rain is possible, but most likely over the southern counties. The sky should clear on Tuesday, with mostly rain-free weather for the rest of the week with a slow warming trend.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Expect sunny days and fair nights through Friday from Panama City to Gulf Shores. Just a small risk of a shower Saturday, with showers becoming more likely Sunday and especially on Monday. Then, the rest of next week looks rain-free with mostly sunny days. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab remains at 59 degrees this afternoon, so highs on the immediate coast will have a hard time getting past the mid 60s due to the cool ocean. Highs will be in the 70s just a few miles inland tomorrow through Sunday.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

March 19 Weather Xtreme Video - Morning Edition

Weather Xtreme Video - Wed, 03/19/2014 - 05:56
March 19 Weather Xtreme Video - Morning Edition
The ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is a detailed weather discussion for Alabama and the Southeast U.S. which goes beyond the normal stuff you see on TV! From... From: abc3340 Views: 782 2 ratings Time: 05:39 More in News & Politics
Categories: Weather

Warming Trend Through Friday

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Wed, 03/19/2014 - 05:56

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

TRENDING WARMER: We are projecting a high in the mid 60s across North/Central Alabama today… still below the average high of 67, but close. Clouds persist over East Alabama at daybreak, but for most communities we project a mix of sun and clouds today.

A surface front will pass through, but the moisture is razor thin, and we do not expect any rain with this feature.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: These two days will feature sunshine in full supply; the high tomorrow will be in the mid 60s, follow by low 70s Friday. Nights will stay cool with early morning lows around 40 degrees.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Models continue to trend drier for Saturday, and it sure looks like much of the day will be dry. There will be cloudy periods, and just a slight risk of a shower… Saturday’s high will be in the low to mid 70s.

Sunday will be cloudy and cooler with some risk of light rain; a surface front will ease down into Central Alabama, and the northern counties of the state won’t get out of the 50s. The rain Sunday won’t be especially widespread or heavy, and there is no risk of severe weather. South Alabama will stay mild with a high in the low 70s Sunday afternoon south of the front.

NEXT WEEK: The best chance of rain in Alabama Monday will come over the southern half of the state. Around here the sky will be generally cloudy with a high in the 50s. Then, the rest of the week looks cool and dry with temperatures below average; highs in the low to mid 60s, with lows in the 30s and low 30s. We might make a run at a late season freeze early Wednesday morning (yes, it is still too early to plant).

GULF COAST WEATHER: Sunny days, fair nights through Saturday from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. Just a few widely scattered showers Sunday, then a better chance of rain at times Monday. Then, the rest of next week is looking dry.

The sea water temperature this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is a cool 59 degrees, so highs on the immediate coast will be only in the low 60s… expect low to mid 70s inland later this week and over the weekend.

See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be speaking to the local chapter of the American Meteorological Society at the University of Georgia this evening; won’t be able to produce an afternoon video today due to travel, but I will post forecast notes by 4:00 p.m. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

March 18 Weather Xtreme Video - Afternoon Edition

Weather Xtreme Video - Tue, 03/18/2014 - 15:51
March 18 Weather Xtreme Video - Afternoon Edition
The ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is a detailed weather discussion for Alabama and the Southeast U.S. which goes beyond the normal stuff you see on TV! From... From: abc3340 Views: 424 1 ratings Time: 05:32 More in News & Politics
Categories: Weather

Clearing In Progress; Warming Trend Ahead

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Tue, 03/18/2014 - 15:42

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

THIS AFTERNOON: The sky has become sunny over parts of West and South Alabama, and the clearing will continue this evening statewide as drier air takes over.

Where the clouds are still hanging tough, temperatures are only in the 50s.

REST OF THE WEEK: Our weather will be dry and warmer. A deep low pressure center will pass well to the north of Alabama, and the trailing front will have no real impact on our weather; the sky should be partly sunny with a high in the upper 60s. Look for sunshine in full supply Thursday and Friday; the high Thursday will be in the upper 60s, followed by mid 70s Friday.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Yes, there is a chance of rain, but nothing really heavy or widespread. A surface front will sag southward into Alabama over the weekend; a few showers are possible with the front especially Saturday night and Sunday over the northern half of Alabama, but rain amounts should be 1/4″ or less, and the rain certainly won’t be continuous. A reasonable chance that a big part of the day Saturday will be dry.

We reach the low 70s Saturday, but colder air filters into the state following the front Sunday. Some communities over far North Alabama might have a hard time getting out of the 40s Saturday, but South Alabama will enjoy highs in the low to mid 70s; it will be a pretty tight thermal gradient.

For the I-20/59 corridor (Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, Gadsden)… the high Sunday should be in the 56-60 degree range with a cloudy sky.

NEXT WEEK: Some lingering rain is possible over South Alabama Monday, but we will be dry and cool statewide Tuesday and Wednesday.

AT THE BEACH: Expect mostly sunny days and fair nights through Friday along the coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. Just a small risk of a shower Saturday, then showers will become more likely Sunday and Monday. Following that, the rest of next week looks generally rain-free.

The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this afternoon is a cool 58 degrees, so highs on the immediate coast will be only in the 60-63 degree range each day. But, inland, highs will reach the 70s later this week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes for the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
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I enjoyed my first turkey hunting experience this morning with Scott Cherones down in Chilton County…

And, thanks to the Tuscaloosa Rotary Club for their hospitality this afternoon as well. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Afternoon Sun and Not as Cold

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Tue, 03/18/2014 - 06:03

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

Low clouds and fog blanketed much of Central Alabama this morning, though as you will see from the Skycam network, there was a good deal of variability to the fog. The fog should dissipate by mid morning around 9 or 10 am, but the clouds should stick around for much of the morning. Clouds will begin to break up this afternoon from west to east and we should see some sun for the afternoon hours. And it will not be as cold today as it was yesterday as the daytime highs should recover into the lower 60s, still a little below the typical highs for this time in March which are around 67 degrees.

The next several days should be rain free and warmer as the upper air pattern becomes less amplified and we go into a nearly zonal flow pattern across the Southeast US. A fast moving short wave trough will cross the Ohio River Valley and Great Lakes from Wednesday into Thursday dragging a weak cold front into the area Wednesday. While we are likely to see a mix of sun and clouds, it does not look like we’ll see enough moisture return to bring any showers with the dissipating front.

A surface high pressure system will settle into and across the Southeast on Thursday and Friday. Rain chances do come up as we head into the weekend as the primary westerlies remain well to our north. However, the upper trough moving through New England is likely to drag a frontal zone into the Southeast on Saturday and Sunday. The frontal zone will be a focus for some showers, but this does not appear to be a big rain event. The problem is that the frontal zone will weaken and washout somewhat but with no upper air push to it, it will stick around until another impulse moves through the Great Lakes on Tuesday bringing another good shot at rain but finally pushing the frontal zone into the Gulf and Atlantic.

Rainfall for the next five days appears light after the reasonably heavy rains of the last couple of days. And there is no reason to expect any severe weather threats for the next five days.

The pattern remains active peeking out into voodoo country with a nice trough moving through the eastern US around the 30th with yet another fairly sharp trough expected around the 3rd of April. This latter trough appears to be strong and could be responsible for some type of severe weather situation. This is voodoo country, but it is also early April which does put us in the heart of severe weather season. We’ll keep an eye on it and see how it evolves with future model runs.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Ashley Brand J. B. Elliott Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

James Spann is off on some turkey hunting adventure this morning, so I’m filling in for him on this edition of the Weather Xtreme Video. He is expected to be back this afternoon with the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video unless the turkeys capture him and hold him for ransom! Enjoy the day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

WeatherBrains 425: Space Special

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Tue, 03/18/2014 - 05:05

WeatherBrains Episode 425 is now online (March 17, 2014). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Tonight’s Guest WeatherBrain is the Senior Reviews Editor for Ars Technica. He is the author of a recent article about a potential rescue of the Space Shuttle Columbia which was destroyed on re-entry in 2003. So please welcome Lee Hutchinson to WeatherBrains.

Our Guest Panelist is Hayden Nix, the President of East Mississippi Chapter of the NWA/AMS. He is also in charge of the upcoming Southeast Severe Storms Symposium at Mississippi State University.

Our email bag officer is continuing to handle the incoming messages from our listeners.

From The Weather Center:

WeatherBrains 101: You’ve probably heard of fractals, but have you heard of fractus clouds? Often referred to as an accessory cloud, fractus clouds often look mean though they rarely are and can be especially helpful to storm spotters when watching for telltale signs of rotation. So in this episode of 101 we take a look at these special clouds.

TWIWH: Bill Murray looks back at the week of March 17th.

Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

Web Sites from Episode 425:

Mississippi State University Severe Weather Symposium

Apollo 12 reenactment

Picks of the Week:

Nate Johnson – Journalists Need To Think More Critically About Weather maps

Bill Murray – Central Alabama NWA Chapter First Award at Central Alabama Regional Science and Engineering Fair Winners Caroline Borden/Jaylan Jacobs

James Spann – NCEP El Nino Forecast

SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like JB Elliott, Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, and Aubrey Urbanowicz. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

Categories: Weather