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Showers and Warmth Continue

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sun, 10/12/2014 - 07:03

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

As we gear up for the approach of a very dynamic system late Monday and early Tuesday, we will be staying warm and unsettled with scattered showers a possibility through Monday. Highs today should be in the lower and middle 80s with a mix of sun and clouds and those scattered showers. That frontal boundary will gradually wash out over the next 24 hours as a deep trough takes shape just to our west.

A strong impulse coming out of the Rockies will dig a deep trough into the Central US generating a surface low over Oklahoma that will move to the northeast into the Great Lakes by Tuesday afternoon. The strong southerly flow will bring good low level moisture northward from the Gulf of Mexico. That along with strong low level jet will set the stage for the development of strong to severe thunderstorms over a large portion of the Lower and Middle Mississippi River Valley Monday and into early Tuesday. For Central Alabama, it looks like the main threat for strong to severe storms will come in the 9 pm Monday to noon Tuesday time frame. Shear valleys are sufficient to support rotating storms so there is a risk of tornadoes along with damaging thunderstorm wind.

This dynamic system should move through Central Alabama by early Tuesday afternoon with the severe weather risk shifting into Georgia for Day 3 or Tuesday. Some clearing may occur but it looks like there could be some wrap around cloudiness into Wednesday before we see a return to full sunshine.

This system won’t be tapping into any really cold air but we should cool down nicely with lows on Wednesday and Thursday morning dipping into the 40s with afternoon highs in the lower 70s. That will certainly feel nice.

The weather pattern remains fairly active for October with another trough forecast to come across the Great Lakes on Friday. But this system appears to stay well north of us thanks in part to weak ridging following the strong system Monday and Tuesday. This next system will probably drag a front into the eastern US late in the week, however, it looks like we don’t see any significant moisture return, so we should stay dry for the latter part of the week and into next weekend. That will be great for Friday night high school football and college games on Saturday.

In the tropics, Fay transitioned from a sub-tropical storm into a tropical storm yesterday and was brushing by Bermuda this morning. Fay will continue into the North Atlantic on an east to northeast track. Another area of disturbed weather just to the east of the Lesser Antilles shows some potential for development, but this system appears likely to recurve into the Atlantic away from the southern US just as Fay has done.

Beach visitors will have to contend with showers today and Monday along with some risk for severe storms on Monday into the first half of Tuesday. Lows will be in the lower 70s and highs in the lower 80s. After Tuesday, the weather turns dry along the coast with highs around 80 and lows in the lower 60s. Water temperatures were running in the middle 70s along the Alabama coastal area.

Looking into voodoo country, October appears to remain more active than we usually expect for this, the driest month of the year for Central Alabama. The GFS continued to show another deep trough over the eastern third of the country around the 21st/22nd time frame which would spell another round of rain and storms. The good news is that there does not appear to be any sign of any extreme temperature changes for Week 2.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

James Spann will have the next Weather Xtreme Video here on Monday morning. Check back here for updates on this evolving weather system. Have a great day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

October 12 Weather Xtreme Video

Weather Xtreme Video - Sun, 10/12/2014 - 06:49
October 12 Weather Xtreme Video
The ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is a detailed weather discussion for Alabama and the Southeast U.S. which goes beyond the normal stuff you see on TV! From... From: abc3340 Views: 1275 6 ratings Time: 07:41 More in News & Politics
Categories: Weather

Severe Storms Possible Tomorrow Night

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sun, 10/12/2014 - 06:34

Here is a look at the Alabama severe weather situation Monday night. A strong upper trough will approach from the west, providing very good dynamic support for the attendant cold front.

The Storm Prediction Center has almost all of Alabama in the standard severe weather “slight risk” for tomorrow night, with higher probabilities over the far western part of the state.

Forecast surface based instabilities are not especially impressive, with CAPE (convective available potential energy) values generally under 1,000 j/kg. The one parameter that does stand out is the low level jet (the winds near 5,000 feet off the ground), which will exceed 50 knots over the northern half of the state.

TIMING: While scattered storms could break out tomorrow afternoon, the core severe weather threat will come from roughly 6:00 p.m. tomorrow through 3:00 a.m. Tuesday. Approximate timing for the main line of storms…

West Alabama: 8pm to 11pm
I-65 Corridor/Central Alabama: 11pm to 3am
East Alabama: 3am to 6am (storms should be slowly weakening at this time)

THREATS: The primary threat will come from damaging straight line winds within the QLCS, or squall line. However, there will be sufficient bulk shear for a few small, short lived embedded tornadoes within the line. Thunderstorm winds could be sufficient to knock down trees and power lines during the night. Rain amounts should average 1/2 to 1 inch, but that won’t be enough to create signifiant flooding issues, most likely.

CALL TO ACTION: Since this will be a late night/pre-dawn event, everyone will need to have a properly programmed weather radio, with good batteries installed in case of a power outage, available in your home so you won’t miss any warning that is issued. And, of course, good smart phone apps are another great way of receiving warnings. Apps like WeatherRadio, and MyWarn work very well.

AFTER THE STORMS: Much cooler air invades Alabama; highs drop into the 60s Wednesday, and lows will be in the upper 40s and low 50s…

Brian Peters will have a full weather discussion, and a new Weather Xtreme video shortly. Stay tuned…

Categories: Weather

Severe Thunderstorm Warning Cullman County until 9PM

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sat, 10/11/2014 - 20:25

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
CENTRAL CULLMAN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 900 PM CDT

* AT 824 PM CDT…DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR DODGE CITY…OR 10 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CULLMAN…AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
CULLMAN…HANCEVILLE…GOOD HOPE…HOLLY POND…DODGE CITY…GARDEN
CITY…WALTER…PHELAN…BREMEN AND LOGAN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS…DESTRUCTIVE HAIL…
DEADLY LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION…MOVE TO
AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY
RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER
COVERS THE ROAD.

Categories: Weather

Early Afternoon Update

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sat, 10/11/2014 - 12:32

A mix of sun and clouds this afternoon, and it remains very warm and muggy across the state. It is October, but the weather feels more like August. We should see highs in the 80s again today, with even a few locations to the south seeing 90s.

As we look at the radar, we are seeing a few showers and some storms developing across central portions of the state. Storms have developed along the Interstate 20 corridor on the eastern side of the state. There are some storms developing down towards the Interstate 85 corridor as well.

As we head through the afternoon, we can expect to see more of the same, as showers and storms will be developing. No organized severe weather is expected today in the state, but there could be an isolated severe storm or two later this afternoon. As we have seen the past few days, storms could certainly pack a punch as they will be producing tremendous amounts of lightning, heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and some hail. Not everyone will see the rain today, and the better chance for rain remains north of the I-20 corridor.

Categories: Weather

Drought Conditions Persist

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sat, 10/11/2014 - 11:28

A quick look at the latest drought monitor issued earlier this week, continues to show just how dry it has been across the state lately. Over 75% of the state remains abnormally dry, with moderate drought conditions affecting much of the central part of the state, as well as southeastern portions of the state. There is even an area of severe drought conditions affecting Clay and Tallapoosa counties.

Rains the last couple of days, as well as the rain forecast the impact the state the next several days, will only help conditions. October is statistically the driest month of the year for Alabama, so any rain we can get this time of year, is great news. Hopefully, when the next drought monitor is issued Thursday, we will see improving conditions across the state.

Click image to enlarge.

Categories: Weather

Unsettled Weather Through Tuesday

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sat, 10/11/2014 - 07:51

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

October of 2014 is not living up to the typical characteristics of an October as the weather pattern remains quite unsettled for the next several days. Radar this morning showed showers across the northern third of Alabama along a stationary frontal boundary. Showers will be ending temporarily from the west this morning before additional showers affect us this afternoon.

For those heading to football games, rain gear is probably a good idea for the games. Auburn takes on the Mississippi State Bulldogs in Starkville (2:30 pm kickoff). The sky will be mostly cloudy with a kickoff temperature near 80 degrees; there is a good chance of showers or thunderstorms during the game. Temperatures will fall into the lower 70s by the final whistle.

Alabama is on the road as they play Arkansas at Fayetteville (5:00 pm kickoff). Showers and storms are possible. The temperature will be in the upper 50s all day and will drop into the lower 50s by the fourth quarter.

UAB Blazers host North Texas (2:30 pm kickoff) at Legion Field. The sky will be mostly cloudy with showers and storms possible, and temperatures will fall from near 82 degrees at kickoff to around 74 by the fourth quarter.

The unsettled weather continues into Sunday though it looks like showers will be somewhat less numerous than today. By Monday a very dynamic weather system aloft is forecast to bring a deep trough along with a closed low across the Central Plains with a large area of potentially severe weather from the Lower Mississippi River Valley into Ohio and Indiana. CAPE values are forecast to be into the 1000-2000 j/kg range and shear values will also be sufficient for the possibility of tornadoes. It does look like the system will produce a squall line that will move through Central Alabama late Monday and early Tuesday with damaging wind likely.

The upper low and trough will move by quickly on Tuesday so look for rapid clearing and much cooler temperatures by Wednesday morning with readings down into the 40s. Wednesday should be a great day with highs into the lower 70s.

The main westerlies stay north of us through the end of the week and into next weekend so we should have dry weather with seasonal temperatures – lows in the 50s and highs in the middle and upper 70s.

Subtropical storm Fay is churning in the Atlantic and not expected to affect the US. Bermuda is under a tropical storm warning as the storm passes just southeast of the island. Two other areas of disturbed weather were noted in the South Atlantic but neither is likely to become a storm in the next couple of days. The disturbance just east of the Leeward Islands is forecast to move into an area more conducive for development early next week. Forecasts indicate that the system should recurve east of the Bahamas.

Looking briefly into voodoo country, the weather stays unsettled with yet another deep trough forecast over the eastern third of the country around the 20th and 21st. And by the end of the month, the GFS suggests a closed low near the Four Corners area which could keep the Southeast in a wet pattern.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

I expect to have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted by 8 am or so on Sunday. Check back here for later updates on the weather situation. Enjoy the day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

October 11 Weather Xtreme Video

Weather Xtreme Video - Sat, 10/11/2014 - 07:50
October 11 Weather Xtreme Video
The ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is a detailed weather discussion for Alabama and the Southeast U.S. which goes beyond the normal stuff you see on TV! From... From: abc3340 Views: 471 4 ratings Time: 07:28 More in News & Politics
Categories: Weather

Areal Flood Advisory Jefferson County

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Fri, 10/10/2014 - 20:21

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN…
SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN ALABAMA…
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…VESTAVIA HILLS…MOUNTAIN BROOK…
HUEYTOWN…HOOVER…HOMEWOOD…FAIRFIELD…BIRMINGHAM…BESSEMER…

* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT

* AT 811 PM CDT…STORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUE MOVING
EASTWARD ACROSS JEFFERSON COUNTY. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES SHOW ONE
TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
COUNTY. AN ADDITIONAL ONE INCH IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT HOUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS…AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS…
HIGHWAYS…STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

Categories: Weather

Storms Approaching Birmingham Metro

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Fri, 10/10/2014 - 19:24

Strong storms blowing into the Birmingham area currently. These storms are not severe, but they are producing gusty winds, frequent lightning, torrential rain, and likely some hail.

These storms continue to race off towards the east and should last only thirty minutes or so, before passing by your location. These storms will impact the major roadways including Interstate 65, 20/50, and 459. These storms will be causing delays with the high school games, but these games should be able to continue after a delay.

These storms are slowly weakening, but will continue to push through the Birmingham Metro.

Categories: Weather

Severe Thunderstorm Warning Walker County until 7PM

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Fri, 10/10/2014 - 18:08

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
WALKER COUNTY IN ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT

* AT 605 PM CDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A LINE OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
SMITH DAM TO OAKMAN…AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
CORDOVA…DORA…SUMITON…PARRISH…LYNNS PARK…GORGAS…SIPSEY
AND GORGAS STEAM PLANT.

THIS INCLUDES…
US 78 EXIT NUMBERS 52 THROUGH 78…

WINDS OF 60 TO 70 MPH WILL BREAK LARGE TREE LIMBS AND CAUSE SOME
DAMAGE…ESPECIALLY TO SMALLER STRUCTURES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

FOR YOUR PROTECTION…MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF
YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER…
CALL 1-800-856-0758 OR TWEET YOUR REPORT USING HASHTAG ALWX

Categories: Weather

Some Strong Storms

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Fri, 10/10/2014 - 17:59

We are watching a line of strong storms affecting North-Central Alabama this evening. This line of storms stretches from Cullman, down to Jasper, then to Fayette.

None of these storms are currently severe, but they are packing a punch as they produce very heavy rainfall, gusty winds, frequent and dangerous lightning, as well as some hail.

These storms are moving towards the east, and if they hold together, could affect the Birmingham Metro around 7PM. They will not last very long, but they could delay some of the high school football games around the area this evening.

Elsewhere across Central Alabama, there are a few other storms affecting Shelby and Perry counties as well as Cleburne County in East Alabama. Storms should persist the next few hours, but should begin to slowly weaken once the sun sets.

Categories: Weather

Severe Thunderstorm Warning Cullman County until 4:45 PM

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Fri, 10/10/2014 - 16:03

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
CENTRAL CULLMAN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 445 PM CDT

* AT 402 PM CDT…DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NESMITH…OR
9 MILES WEST OF CULLMAN…AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
CULLMAN…HANCEVILLE…GOOD HOPE…DODGE CITY…BALDWIN…
VINEMONT…CRANE HILL…WALTER…PHELAN AND LOGAN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS…DESTRUCTIVE HAIL…
DEADLY LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION…MOVE TO
AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY
RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER
COVERS THE ROAD.

Categories: Weather

October 10, 2014 Weather Xtreme Video - Afternoon Edition

Weather Xtreme Video - Fri, 10/10/2014 - 15:47
October 10, 2014 Weather Xtreme Video - Afternoon Edition
The ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is a detailed weather discussion for Alabama and the Southeast U.S. which goes beyond the normal stuff you see on TV! From... From: abc3340 Views: 437 2 ratings Time: 07:14 More in News & Politics
Categories: Weather

Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Fri, 10/10/2014 - 15:46

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: A classic case of “scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms” across the great state of Alabama this afternoon…

Showers are moving northeast, and should settle down later tonight.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Not much change in the overall weather tomorrow and Sunday. Mixed sun and clouds, highs in the low to mid 80s, and the risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms in the moist airmass over the state. While the best chance of a shower or storm will come during the afternoon and evening hours, we can’t rule out a nighttime or morning shower as well. Some of the afternoon storms that form will be strong.

SEVERE WEATHER MONDAY NIGHT? A vigorous weather system will bring the risk of a line of strong to severe thunderstorms to Alabama early next week. A deep upper trough will support a surface low that will run from northern Arkansas to near Chicago. We expect a line of severe storms in here Monday night with potential for damaging winds, and maybe even an isolated small tornado or two. The low level jet (winds around 5,000 feet off the ground) will feature a core of 60-70 knots over North Alabama, and it won’t take too much to get some of that down to the surface.

The latest (12Z) GFS is a tad faster, suggest the main window for the line of storms to be from about 7:00 p.m. Monday through 4:00 a.m. Tuesday. Ahead of the storms, Monday will be warm and windy with a high in the 80s.

Much cooler and drier air will follow the storms Tuesday, and the rest of the week looks great with sunny pleasant days and clear cool nights. We should drop into the 40s by early Wednesday and Thursday morning.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school games tonight; scattered showers and storms are possible during the games, especially during the first half. Temperatures will fall through the 70s.

Tomorrow, Auburn will take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs in Starkville (2:30p kickoff). The sky will be partly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 84 degrees; a passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game. Temperatures will fall to near 80 degrees by the final whistle.

Alabama will be on the road as well; they play Arkansas at Fayetteville (5:00p kickoff). The weather will be cool and wet with rain and storms likely…. temperatures will hover in the mid to upper 50s during the game. Take the rain gear.

UAB will celebrate homecoming tomorrow; the Blazers host North Texas (2:30p kickoff) at Legion Field. The sky will be partly sunny, and temperatures will fall from near 84 degrees at kickoff to around 80 by the fourth quarter. We can’t rule out a passing shower or thunderstorm, but rain will not be widespread.

NATIONAL SHRIMP FESTIVAL: Delightful weather for the big event at Gulf Shores through Sunday. Mostly sunny warm days, fair nights. Highs in the 80s, lows in the 60s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the my Weather Xtreme video here by Monday morning at 7:00 a.m…. Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Categories: Weather

October 10, 2014 Weather Xtreme Video - Morning Edition

Weather Xtreme Video - Fri, 10/10/2014 - 06:20
October 10, 2014 Weather Xtreme Video - Morning Edition
The ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is a detailed weather discussion for Alabama and the Southeast U.S. which goes beyond the normal stuff you see on TV! From... From: abc3340 Views: 878 4 ratings Time: 09:20 More in News & Politics
Categories: Weather

Big Changes Early Next Week

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Fri, 10/10/2014 - 06:16

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

WARM THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Alabama’s weather won’t change much through the weekend; an upper ridge will keep highs in the 80s through Sunday, and there will be sufficient moisture for the daily risk of scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and storms mainly along and north of I-20. The southern half of Alabama will remain warm and mostly dry.

We do note SPC has a low end five percent severe weather possibility defined over North Alabama today and tonight, so where storms do form they could be strong.

NEXT WEEK: A long wave, vigorous upper trough will impact our state early next week, setting up the potential for strong to severe storms by Monday night. A deep surface low will be over Arkansas late Monday, with a tight pressure gradient in place across the state. This means Monday will be warm, breezy day before the storms arrive.

The main limiting factor for severe weather is the lack of surface based instability (CAPE values under 750 j/kg), and the lack of dry air in the mid levels. But, we all know we can have some pretty rough storms around here in the cool season even with marginal surface based CAPE values.

The low level jet (around 5,000 feet) will be screaming, with winds in excess of 60 knots forecast over North Alabama.

The latest GFS runs suggest a squall line will move through the state with potential for damaging straight line winds, and maybe even an embedded tornado since low level bulk shear values will very high. The main window for this line will come from about 9:00 p.m. Monday through 6:00 a.m. Tuesday. We will keep a close eye on model runs over the weekend and make adjustments in this forecast as needed.

Cooler, drier air will follow the storms Tuesday, and we should drop into the 40s by Wednesday and Thursday morning. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school games tonight; widely scattered showers and storms are possible from Birmingham north during the games, with dry conditions south of Birmingham. Temperatures will fall through the 70s.

Tomorrow, Auburn will take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs in Starkville (2:30p kickoff). The sky will be partly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 84 degrees; a passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game. Temperatures will fall to near 80 degrees by the final whistle.

Alabama will be on the road as well; they play Arkansas at Fayetteville (5:00p kickoff). The weather will be cool and wet with rain and storms likely…. temperatures will hover in the mid to upper 50s during the game. Take the rain gear.

UAB will celebrate homecoming tomorrow; the Blazers host North Texas (2:30p kickoff) at Legion Field. The sky will be partly sunny, and temperatures will fall from near 84 degrees at kickoff to around 80 by the fourth quarter. We can’t rule out a passing shower or thunderstorm, but rain will not be widespread.

NATIONAL SHRIMP FESTIVAL: Delightful weather for the big event at Gulf Shores through Sunday. Mostly sunny warm days, fair nights. Highs in the 80s, lows in the 60s.

TROPICS: A disturbance northeast of Puerto Rico is getting better organized, and could become a tropical storm, or a sub-tropical storm over the weekend. It will recurve harmlessly into the open Atlantic and is no threat to land. The rest of the Atlantic basin is very quiet.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be at a UAB safety fair today on their campus… and tonight I will be speaking at an event at the Cullman Civic Center. But I will have time to crank out an afternoon Weather Xtreme video; it will be posted here by 4:00… enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Warm Days; Scattered Storms

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Thu, 10/09/2014 - 15:12

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today… I am live at the site of the Pig Iron Barbecue challenge at the Hoover Met on ABC 33/40 at 4, 5, and 6:00**

WARM WEATHER CONTINUES: Alabama’s weather will remain unseasonably warm through the weekend with highs in the 80s. And, the air will be moist and rather unstable, so each day we will have the risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms. They will be more numerous along and north of I-20 (Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Anniston), and mainly during the afternoon and evening hours.

If you are south of I-20, the weather will be generally rain-free through Sunday with very warm afternoons.

EARLY NEXT WEEK: Models continue to show a setup for potentially severe thunderstorms across Alabama Monday night into early Tuesday morning, with a deep upper trough moving in from the west, and a surface low forming northwest of the state…

The latest data from the GFS hints the main risk of strong to severe thunderstorms will come from about 4:00 p.m. Monday through 4:00 a.m. Tuesday. And, a setup when all modes of severe weather are possible, including a few tornadoes. But, remember this event is still several days away and things could change. The good news is that it looks like beneficial rain will be possible, with some places seeing over one inch of rain. Then, cooler and drier air returns Tuesday night though mid-week.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school games tonight; a few isolated showers are possible during the first half, otherwise mostly fair with temperatures falling through the 70s. Then, tomorrow night, widely scattered showers and storms are possible from Birmingham north during the games, with dry conditions south of Birmingham. Temperatures will fall through the 70s.

On Saturday, Auburn will take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs in Starkville (2:30p kickoff). The sky will be partly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 85 degrees; a passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game. Temperatures will fall to near 80 degrees by the final whistle.

Alabama will be on the road as well; they play Arkansas at Fayetteville (5:00p kickoff). The weather will be cool and wet with rain and storms are likely…. temperatures will hover in the mid to upper 50s during the game. Take the rain gear.

UAB will celebrate homecoming Saturday; the Blazers host North Texas (2:30p kickoff) at Legion Field. The sky will be partly sunny, and temperatures will fall from near 85 degrees at kickoff to around 80 by the fourth quarter. We can’t rule out a passing shower or thunderstorm.

NATIONAL SHRIMP FESTIVAL: Delightful weather for the big event at Gulf Shores Thursday through Sunday. Mostly sunny warm days, fair nights. Highs in the 80s, lows in the 60s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Warms Days; A Few Scattered Storms

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Thu, 10/09/2014 - 06:09

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

HIGHS STAY IN THE 80s: An upper ridge building into Alabama from the southwest will keep us unseasonably warm through the weekend, with temperatures almost ten degrees above average for mid-October. And, like summer, the air will be moist and somewhat unstable, meaning we will have some risk of scattered showers and storms on daily basis. The best chance of them will be along and north of I-20 (Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Anniston), and during the afternoon and evening hours.

ON THE MAPS: A surface boundary will be lifting northward today as a warm front, and then tomorrow a cold front will sag southward into Tennessee. This should mean the most numerous showers and storms over the next few days will be close to the Tennessee border, with the activity becoming more widely spaced as you work your way to the south. For places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, and Anniston, the chance of any one spot seeing a shower is about one in three each day through Sunday, with higher odds to the north.

NEXT WEEK: A long wave upper trough is forecast to develop west of our state, and as that approaches showers and storms become more widespread statewide early in the week; the 00Z GFS hints the main rain event will come late Monday, Monday night, into Tuesday morning, with potential for over one inch statewide. Also, we could very well be dealing with strong to severe thunderstorms since this system will have excellent upper support, and a surface low just northwest of Alabama.

A nice surge of cooler, drier air follows the rain for Tuesday night and Wednesday. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school games tonight; a few isolated showers or storms are possible during the first half, otherwise mostly fair with temperatures falling through the 70s. Then, tomorrow night, widely scattered showers and storms are possible from Birmingham north during the games, with dry conditions south of Birmingham. Temperatures will fall through the 70s.

On Saturday, Auburn will take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs in Starkville (2:30p kickoff). The sky will be partly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 85 degrees; a passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game. Temperatures will fall to near 80 degrees by the final whistle.

Alabama will be on the road as well; they play Arkansas at Fayetteville (5:00p kickoff). The weather will be cool and wet with rain and storms are likely…. temperatures will hover in the mid to upper 50s during the game. Take the rain gear.

UAB will celebrate homecoming Saturday; the Blazers host North Texas (2:30p kickoff) at Legion Field. The sky will be partly sunny, and temperatures will fall from near 85 degrees at kickoff to around 80 by the fourth quarter. We can’t rule out a passing shower or thunderstorm.

NATIONAL SHRIMP FESTIVAL: Delightful weather for the big event at Gulf Shores Thursday through Sunday. Mostly sunny warm days, fair nights. Highs in the 80s, lows in the 60s.

TROPICS: NHC is monitoring a disturbance north of the Leeward Islands; it has some potential for slow development this weekend and early next week, but it will most likely recurve into the Atlantic if anything happens to form there.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Busy day ahead… I will be at the annual community awareness day in downtown Birmingham this morning, then I will be live from the Pig Iron BBQ event at the Hoover Met on ABC 33/40 at 4, 5, and 6:00… then I will be at the “Hoops on the Haasephalt” event at UAB this evening that is the basketball season kickoff event. Not sure I will have time to post an afternoon video, but I will have forecast notes here by 4:00. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

October 9, 2014 Weather Xtreme Video - Morning Edition

Weather Xtreme Video - Thu, 10/09/2014 - 06:09
October 9, 2014 Weather Xtreme Video - Morning Edition
The ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is a detailed weather discussion for Alabama and the Southeast U.S. which goes beyond the normal stuff you see on TV! From... From: abc3340 Views: 841 6 ratings Time: 06:53 More in News & Politics
Categories: Weather