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A New Serving of Good News from the Alabama News Center

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Fri, 01/22/2016 - 11:49

In the midst of this bad weather, how about a dose of good news? Here is some from the past week from our friends at Alabama NewsCenter.

Nick Saban and the Alabama Crimson Tide found on the streets of Jerusalem

Is Nick Saban knocking on Bear Bryant’s door?

Jacksonville State’s John Grass recognized as FCS 2015 AFCA National Coach of the Year

Order on the court as SEC teams are finding success in a different sport

Yorozu breaks ground on $100 million auto supplier plant in Jasper

Southwest Alabama needs nearly 5,000 skilled workers, survey reveals

Worthington Industries eyes Alabama facility for $8.5 million investment, consolidation

Alabama-made Honda Ridgeline tackles pickup market high and low

Austal is cruising with a spike of shipbuilding activity in Mobile

Freedom Soap takes a pure path to being an Alabama Maker

Hope finds a home at Brother Bryan Mission in Alabama Bright Lights

Code.org, A+ College Ready and Alabama Department of Education aim to elevate computer science graduates

Familiar Alabama face Tommy Dewey joins CBS drama series ‘Code Black’ tonight

Helena’s Rebecca Luker returns to her role in Broadway’s ‘The Secret Garden’

Enjoy the best boat show, intrigue your inner artist, run for a reason in this edition of Can’t Miss Alabama

Birmingham honors Martin Luther King Jr.

Martin Luther King’s vision shared at Unity Breakfast

Alabama Power employees join others in remembering Martin Luther King

Southern Company subsidiary in Alabama awarded grant to lead advanced nuclear technology development

Renew Our Rivers enters its 17th year in Alabama

Alabama Power begins operating under new Martin Dam license today

Saw’s BBQ pork-stuffed tater is on the menu in 100 Dishes to Eat in Alabama Before You Die

Heavy hitters of Alabama commercial real estate to lead ACREcon 2016 panel discussion

Emerging trends: Alabama commercial real estate industry predictions for 2016

Alabama’s most improved housing markets during November

Alabama foreclosure rate drops again in November

Cullman December homes selling at brisker pace

Dothan December home sales up 17 percent over 2014 numbers

Categories: Weather

Mid-Morning Update

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Fri, 01/22/2016 - 10:27

Here is a mid-morning update.

The forecast remains unchanged:

At this hour, light to moderate rain is pushing northeastward across North and Central Alabama. The surface low (1006mb) is just east of Birmingham. The rain is heaviest and most widespread north of the low in the US-278 corridor curving down into East Alabama round Anniston.

Another batch of moderate rain is pushing ENE across Perry, Dallas, Autauga, Montgomery and Elmore Counties.

Here is the radar with surface temperatures and snow reports.

Lots of schools are dismissing early. Marion County will shut down at 11 a.m. Pickens County and Fort Payne Schools at 11:30. Cullman County at noon. Haleyville, Winston Co and Lamar Co at 11:30. Jasper City at 12:30. Check with your school system.

NORTH ALABAMA AND MISSISSIPPI
Temperatures are in the upper 40s and 50s southeast of I-59, with middle 40s east of I-65 over North Alabama. Readings have already fallen into the 30s over Northwest Alabama. It is 37 at Haleyville. It is already below freezing over northern Mississippi, with 32 at Batesville. There is 2 inches of snow on the ground at Oxford. There is 7 inches on the ground at Little Rock.

The heavier precipitation that produced this snowfall has diminished considerably in the past two hours.

While the snow over northern Mississippi has tapered off, snow is wrapping around the low back over western Tennessee and some of this will work its way into northern Mississippi and Northwest Alabama this afternoon.

Rain should change to light snow at Muscle Shoals and down through Franklin and Marion and Lamar Counties within the hour. Sleet and snow is already being reported in northern Lauderdale County. This part of Northwest Alabama could see up to 2 inches of snow.

The band of snow should reach Tuscaloosa by noon-12:30 and Jasper around 1 p.m.

It should reach the Birmingham and Cullman areas around 2 p.m. as a rain/snow mix and changeover to all snow. Temperatures should still be above freezing in the Birmingham area though and travel problems will be limited.

As for accumulations further south in places like Tuscaloosa, Birmingham and Anniston, it will take heavier snow bands to produce those. Snow was falling at Starkville but having a hard time sticking because it was light in nature and the ground is warm. This will be the story until temperatures come down and you get some heavier areas of snow.

That should happen this evening in areas east of I-65 as the big winter storm ramps up for the East Coast. Snow should wrap back down into areas east of I-65 after 6 p.m. and intensify. Areas north of I-20 and east of I-65

The NWS maintains a winter weather advisory for Pickens, Tuscaloosa, Jefferson, Shelby, Talladega, Clay and Randolph Counties and points north across the state. 1/4 to 1.5 inches of snow is expected in some locations in the advisory area, depending on where the snow bands fall.

QUICK ROUND UP AROUND THE REGION

…Nice snow in Nashville already. 3.5 inches reported in Belle Meade. 5 inches in East Nashville, and still snowing.

…Snow has been light in the Memphis area. 1 inch reported in Millington with 2-3 inches in Atoka.

…Not much over northern Mississippi, just that 2 inch report from Oxford .

…Already 6 inches this morning near Roanoke and Blacksburg in Virginia.

Categories: Weather

Rain Changing To Light Snow Today

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Fri, 01/22/2016 - 07:32

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY: No changes in the “winter weather advisory” from the National Weather Service offices in Birmingham and Huntsville; it is in effect basically for areas north of a line from Tuscaloosa to Calera to Roanoke. Remember, for the Birmingham NWS office the criteria for an advisory is snow 1/4″ to 2″.

RIGHT NOW: Showers, and even a few thunderstorms, continue over Alabama at daybreak…

Temperatures are generally in the low 50s, and as we have discussed in recent days, they will go the wrong way today. We fall through the 40s, and wind up in the 30s this afternoon as cold air rushes into the state. Dynamic cooling from the very deep upper trough will also be a factor.

RAIN TO SNOW: We have adjusted the timing a bit on the projected change from rain to light snow based on radar trends; snow should begin to fall up in the Shoals area of far Northwest Alabama around 8:00 a.m. The rain/snow line will work eastward during the day as temperatures fall.

IMPORTANT NOTES….

*Temperatures are not expected to drop below freezing until tonight. Initially during the day, roads will be just wet with temperatures in the mid to upper 30s. The possible exception is far Northwest Alabama, where icy travel could begin around Muscle Shoals by afternoon. Slick spots are possible on roads tonight, especially after 9:00 (for places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden).

*Slick spots/icy patches will remain possible through about mid-morning tomorrow; conditions will improve by midday tomorrow as temperatures rise into the mid to upper 30s.

*Much of the snow will come in the form of convective showers, much like rain showers on summer afternoons. This means the distribution will not be even, and snow amounts will vary greatly. Some will get nothing, others will see the ground go white very quickly. No way of resolving where the heavier snow showers develop. For most of North/Central Alabama, some will see 1 inch, others will see nothing, and most will see something in between.

*As the cold core upper trough swings through here late today and tonight, expect a surprise or two; these things are always interesting and can do things you don’t expect.

NORTHEAST OF ALABAMA: A major winter storm will unfold, with a blizzard warning up for the Washington/Baltimore area…

Travel will become difficult, and in many areas impossible, in the heavier snow zones later today and tonight.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Tomorrow will be breezy and cold with a few lingering morning snow flurries; we won’t get of of the 30s. Sunday morning will be cold with a low in the lower 20s, but we rise to near 50 degrees by afternoon with a good supply of sunshine.

NEXT WEEK: Monday will be dry and warmer… some places could reach 60 degrees. Then, showers are possible Tuesday thanks to a passing cold front, followed by colder air Wednesday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

We will have frequent updates through the day on the blog… stay tuned!

Categories: Weather

Quick Look

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Fri, 01/22/2016 - 06:37

Here is a quick look at the updated thinking on Alabama’s weather today. Temperatures won’t go below freezing until tonight, most likely after 9 p.m. But, we have adjusted the timing on the change from rain to light snow.

The light snow will be in the form of snow showers, meaning distribution will not be very even; some will get nothing, but in other places the ground will become white. For most of North/Central Alabama, amounts will be under 1″. A full blog discussion and Weather Xtreme video will be posted shortly.

Categories: Weather

Watch County Notification

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Fri, 01/22/2016 - 02:50

This is the text of a severe warning from the National Weather Service for part of the AlabamaWX.com coverage area. Standby for more details to be added to this post by our meteorologists.
WWUS64 KBMX 220749
WCNBMX

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
149 AM CST FRI JAN 22 2016

ALC109-220900-
/O.CAN.KBMX.TO.A.0007.000000T0000Z-160122T0900Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED TORNADO WATCH 7 FOR
THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ALABAMA THIS CANCELS 1 COUNTY

IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA

PIKE

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…TROY.

$$

Categories: Weather

Watch County Notification

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Fri, 01/22/2016 - 00:59

This is the text of a severe warning from the National Weather Service for part of the AlabamaWX.com coverage area. Standby for more details to be added to this post by our meteorologists.
WWUS64 KBMX 220558
WCNBMX

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1158 PM CST THU JAN 21 2016

ALC001-085-101-220700-
/O.CAN.KBMX.TO.A.0007.000000T0000Z-160122T0900Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED TORNADO WATCH 7 FOR
THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ALABAMA THIS CANCELS 3 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL ALABAMA

AUTAUGA LOWNDES MONTGOMERY

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…FORT DEPOSIT…LOWNDESBORO…
MONTGOMERY AND PRATTVILLE.

$$

ALC109-220900-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.A.0007.000000T0000Z-160122T0900Z/

TORNADO WATCH 7 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 3 AM CST FRIDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ALABAMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 1 COUNTY

IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA

PIKE

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…TROY.

$$

Categories: Weather

Watch County Notification

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Thu, 01/21/2016 - 23:55

This is the text of a severe warning from the National Weather Service for part of the AlabamaWX.com coverage area. Standby for more details to be added to this post by our meteorologists.
WWUS64 KBMX 220454
WCNBMX

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1054 PM CST THU JAN 21 2016

ALC047-220600-
/O.CAN.KBMX.TO.A.0007.000000T0000Z-160122T0900Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED TORNADO WATCH 7 FOR
THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ALABAMA THIS CANCELS 1 COUNTY

IN CENTRAL ALABAMA

DALLAS

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…SELMA.

$$

ALC001-085-101-109-220900-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.A.0007.000000T0000Z-160122T0900Z/

TORNADO WATCH 7 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 3 AM CST FRIDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ALABAMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 4 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL ALABAMA

AUTAUGA LOWNDES MONTGOMERY

IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA

PIKE

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…FORT DEPOSIT…LOWNDESBORO…
MONTGOMERY…PRATTVILLE AND TROY.

$$

Categories: Weather

Late Night Look at Storm Impacts

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Thu, 01/21/2016 - 23:36

Here is the official NWS forecast for total snowfall from the National Digital Forecast Database.

Click image to enlarge

The Blue Ridge Parkway looks like it will be Ground Zero for this winter storm with 25-30 inches of snow between now and Sunday. A blizzard warning is in effect for the Blue Ridge.

A secondary maximum will be over the Gauley Mountains of West Virginia where the forecast is for 30 inches of snow in Pocahontas County.

Let’s go area by area and see the main impacts:

BOSTON
Almost no snow. It will be windy though. Gale watches are in effect in the harbors along the Connecticut and Rhode Island coasts.

NEW YORK CITY
Right on the borderline, as always seems to be the case. There is considerable disagreement among the models. A blizzard watch has been issued for much of eastern Pennsylvania, northern Delaware, much of New Jersey, the NYC area and Long Island. Official snow forecast is 9 inches. Winds could gust to 45 mph. A coastal flood watch is in effect Saturday night.

PHILADELPHIA
15 inches of snow expected. Blizzard watch in effect. Snow most of the day on Saturday.

WASHINGTON DC
Blizzard warning in effect. Snow accumulations of more than two feet, with snow developing Friday morning and continuing through Saturday night. Winds could gust to 50 mph. Could be the second biggest snowfall in D.C. history.

CHARLOTTE
Could be in for a crippling ice storm with sleet and freezing rain through much of the day Friday. 0.4 inches of ice accretion and 1-2 inches of sleet by Friday night with another .1 inch of ice. Half an inch of ice can cause huge problems.

KENTUCKY
Will be hard hit with 8-12 inches of snow across a wide area. Over 6 inches in Louisville and nearly 11 inches in Lexington. Over a foot of snow in eastern Kentucky. Winter storm warnings are in effect.

TENNESSEE/MISSISSIPPI
Heaviest snow in western Tennessee, with nearly six inches possible in Memphis and 7 inches in Jackson TN. 3-8 inches across the entire state of Tennessee. Up to five inches over northwestern Mississippi south of Memphis. 1-5 inches of snow across the northern third of Mississippi.

ALABAMA
1/2-3 inches of snow, with the heaviest amounts over Northwest Alabama. Winter weather advisories are in effect.

GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA
1-3 inches across northern Georgia and upstate South Carolina, except for higher amounts in the mountains of northern Georgia and the foothills of South Carolina.

Categories: Weather

Tornado Watch Trimmed; Wintry Mix in Arkansas

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Thu, 01/21/2016 - 22:51

GFS snowfall forecast valld for Saturday noon.

Perry, Hale and Marengo counties have been removed from the tornado watch.

Lots of rain but no strong storms over the northern two thirds of Alabama this evening.

No warnings in effect anywhere in the country right now.

The watch remains in effect until 3 a.m. for the following counties are still in the watch: Autauga, Dallas, Lowndes, Montgomery and Pike

Moderate rain continues across much of Central Alabama. There is some embedded thunder and lightning, especially over Walker, Fayette, Tuscaloosa and Pickens Counties. The rainfall is being enhanced by a strong southerly low level jet on the front side of the developing mid-level low centered over the Arkansas/Louisiana border. Rainfall rates are generally less than one half inch per hour, but the heavier cells are between one half and one inch. Local flooding could be a problem.

Mixed wintry precipitation is occurring at this hour over Arkansas and northern Louisiana, a sign of things to come. A mix of snow, sleet and freezing rain is falling in these areas. Snow rates could increase as colder air moves in at the surface and colder air aloft even leads to some thundersnow. It is 33F with light freezing rain in Little Rock.

We are beginning to pore through model data from the evening runs tonight. So far, the 4km NAM is in and it looks pretty much the same, except maybe a little slower. It puts more emphasis on convective snow showers on Saturday for widely scattered pockets of 1-2 inch snowfall amounts.

The GFS is out to 42 hours right now and it still shows snow starting during the day. It shows 1/2-1 inch in some areas by midnight tomorrow night.

Categories: Weather

Watch County Notification

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Thu, 01/21/2016 - 22:34

This is the text of a severe warning from the National Weather Service for part of the AlabamaWX.com coverage area. Standby for more details to be added to this post by our meteorologists.
WWUS64 KBMX 220333
WCNBMX

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
933 PM CST THU JAN 21 2016

ALC065-091-105-220445-
/O.CAN.KBMX.TO.A.0007.000000T0000Z-160122T0900Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED TORNADO WATCH 7 FOR
THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ALABAMA THIS CANCELS 3 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL ALABAMA

PERRY

IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA

HALE MARENGO

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…DEMOPOLIS…GREENSBORO…LINDEN…
MARION…MOUNDVILLE AND UNIONTOWN.

$$

ALC001-047-085-101-109-220900-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.A.0007.000000T0000Z-160122T0900Z/

TORNADO WATCH 7 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 3 AM CST FRIDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ALABAMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 5 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL ALABAMA

AUTAUGA DALLAS LOWNDES
MONTGOMERY

IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA

PIKE

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…FORT DEPOSIT…LOWNDESBORO…
MONTGOMERY…PRATTVILLE…SELMA AND TROY.

$$

Categories: Weather

Watch County Notification

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Thu, 01/21/2016 - 21:41

This is the text of a severe warning from the National Weather Service for part of the AlabamaWX.com coverage area. Standby for more details to be added to this post by our meteorologists.
WWUS64 KBMX 220240
WCNBMX

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
840 PM CST THU JAN 21 2016

ALC063-119-220345-
/O.CAN.KBMX.TO.A.0007.000000T0000Z-160122T0900Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED TORNADO WATCH 7 FOR
THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ALABAMA THIS CANCELS 2 COUNTIES

IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA

GREENE SUMTER

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…EUTAW…LIVINGSTON AND YORK.

$$

ALC001-047-065-085-091-101-105-109-220900-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.A.0007.000000T0000Z-160122T0900Z/

TORNADO WATCH 7 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 3 AM CST FRIDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ALABAMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 8 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL ALABAMA

AUTAUGA DALLAS LOWNDES
MONTGOMERY PERRY

IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA

PIKE

IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA

HALE MARENGO

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…DEMOPOLIS…FORT DEPOSIT…
GREENSBORO…LINDEN…LOWNDESBORO…MARION…MONTGOMERY…
MOUNDVILLE…PRATTVILLE…SELMA…TROY AND UNIONTOWN.

$$

Categories: Weather

Tornado Watch for SW Parts of Central Alabama

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Thu, 01/21/2016 - 19:55

IN ALABAMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 10 COUNTIES:

Autauga, Dallas, Greene, Hale, Lowndes, Marengo, Montgomery, Perry, Pike, Sumter

Unstable air moving northward tonight in the warm sector of a surface low now located over South central Amississippi will combine with favorable low level shear tonight to produce a good possibility of tornadoes, including a moderate probability of significant (EF2 or greater) tornadoes in the watch area.

Categories: Weather

Watching Severe Storms to the West, Winter Weather Advisories Issued Here

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Thu, 01/21/2016 - 18:23

Click image to enlarge.

A very powerful storm system is starting to come together this afternoon over the Gulf Coast Region. It will go onto become a historic storm for the Mid-Atlantic States, with a side swath of 18-24 inch snows from the Smoky Mountains of North Carolina through Roanoke VA and up I-81 through the Shenandoah Valley. The Blue Ridge Parkway will be buried in snow.

The surface low (1006mb) is located between Vicksburg and Jackson MS. The very deep upper trough extends from Minneapolis to Kansas City to Dallas at this hour. Upper winds ahead of the trough are diverging, or spreading apart, and this leads to rising motion.

Ahead of the surface low, a stationary front extends across South Central Mississippi, Alabama and Georgia. To the south of the front, temperatures are in the 60s with 70s over southern Louisiana.

The warm, moist air, aided by daytime sunshine that broke out, is combining with colder air aloft to produce moderate instability.

Current watches and warnings at 515 p.m.

Thunderstorms have broken out in this warm, moist airmass and have been very organized, with significant amounts of wind shear (50-60 knots). They have been severe, with numerous reports of hail. Wind damage has been reported near Alexandria LA and near Natchez MS. The storms have been prolific hail producers as well, with numerous reports of 1-1.75 inch hail across a long swath from near De Ridder LA to near Jackson MS.

A possible tornado was reported at 430 pm in Copiah County Mississippi. A tornado watch remains in effect for much of eastern Texas, Louisiana and southern Mississippi. More tornado watches will be issued later this evening into Southwest Alabama.

Now, as the storms approach the stationary front, they become elevated, meaning that their bases are well above the surface. This means that the rotation will likely stay aloft as well, and the tornado threat should diminish. But large hail will still be a threat.

ALABAMA TIMING AND IMPACT
These storms are moving ENE at 35-40 mph. They will reach western Alabama between 730 and 830 p.m. For areas south of a line from Aliceville to Moundville to Selma and points south, the storms could produce isolated severe weather reports. Further south, south of a line from Butler to Monroeville could produce more significant severe weather. Damaging winds and hail will be the highest threats, but there is a decent chance of a tornado in Southwest Alabama in counties like Choctaw, Clarke, Monroe, Escambia, Washington, Mobile and Baldwin.

Moderate to heavy rain will start overspreading West Alabama between 7-8 p.m. and will continue until after midnight. 1 to 2 inch rainfall amounts will be widespread. There is a flash flood watch for the Tennessee Valley.

BLOCKBUSTER STORM

Winter weather advisories, winter storm watches and warnings and a blizzard warning!

This system will explode as impressive energy aloft helps to intensify the as it makes the turn up the East Coast later tonight. The blizzard watch has been upgraded to a blizzard warning for the D.C area, where up to 25 inches could fall inside the Beltway. If that happens, it could be the 2nd biggest snowstorm in the history of our nation’s capital. It certainly looks like it will easily be a top five storm.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ISSUED IN ALABAMA

As the big storms winds up and heads northeast, colder air will be drawn into Alabama and will combine with a large reservoir of leftover moisture over the southeast. The best accumulations of snow will extend across northern Tenenssee and Kentucky, wrapping back into northern North Carolina and up through West Virginia, Virginia, Maryland and the rest of the Mid-Atlantic.

But here in Alabama, we expect ¼ to 1 inch of snow across much of North Central Alabama, with some dustings as far south as Clanton or perhaps Montgomery. The Tennessee Valley could see 2-3 inches.

The NWS in Huntsville has issued a winter weather advisory starting at noon tomorrow for their northwestern counties (Colbert, Franklin, Lauderdale, Lawrence, and Limestone) and at 6 p.m. tomorrow for their northeast counties (Cullman, De Kalb, Jackson, Madison, Marshall, and Morgan). The advisories currently go until early Saturday morning.

The NWS in Birmingham has issued winter weather advisories starting at noon tomorrow and lasting until 6 a.m. Saturday for Blount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Clay, Cleburne, Etowah, Fayette, Jefferson, Lamar, Marion, Pickens, Shelby, St. Clair, Talladega, Tuscaloosa, Walker and Winston Counties.

Categories: Weather

Heavy Rain/Strong Storms, Then Snow

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Thu, 01/21/2016 - 15:46

**No Weather Xtreme video today; I did an extended live video on Facebook you can watch here**

RAIN AND STORMS TONIGHT: A heavy rain/thunderstorm event will unfold across Alabama over the next 12-18 hours; rain amounts of 1 to 2 inches are likely, and severe storms are possible, especially over the southwest part of the state. A tornado watch is in effect for parts of Mississippi and Louisiana until 10p CT…

An “enhanced” severe weather risk continues over Southwest Alabama, with the standard “slight” risk as far north as Greene, Hale, and Perry Counties for tonight…

The core severe weather threat will be in the broad zone from Demopolis and Greensboro to Mobile and Atmore; some storms in that region could produce high winds, and an isolated tornado or two is very possible. The main threat for Alabama will come from about 6:00 p.m. through 3:00 a.m.

The severe weather threat for Tuscaloosa is marginal, and no severe storms are expected for Birmingham, Anniston, or Gadsden.

TOMORROW: Temperatures will fall during the day as a surface low pulls away from Alabama; we start the day in the 50s, and wind up in the 30s by mid to late afternoon. And, as the cold air rushes into the state, the lingering rain will change to light snow. NWS offices in Huntsville and Birmingham are now in the process of issuing “winter weather advisories” for the northern half of the state for tomorrow afternoon and tomorrow night.

The heaviest snow is likely over the northwest corner of the state, elsewhere light amounts are likely. Since much of this wintry precipitation will fall in the form of snow showers, amounts will vary a good bit. Snow showers are like rain showers on summer afternoons; it can be very much hit and miss. Some communities will wind up with little if any snow; others will see the ground white. Generally speaking, amounts across North/Central Alabama will be in the 1/4 to 1 inch range.

TRAVEL: Icy spots could develop around the Shoals area tomorrow afternoon, but for most of the state the core risk of slick spots due to snow will come after 9:00 p.m. Temperatures probably won’t drop below freezing for places like Birmingham/Tuscaloosa/Anniston until after midnight tomorrow night.

NORTHEAST OF ALABAMA: This will be a blockbuster, high impact snow storm for much of WV/VA/MD… with very significant icing possible in North Carolina where freezing rain will be more of a concern. Travel in these areas will become difficult, if not impossible by tomorrow afternoon and tomorrow night.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be breezy and cold with a mix of sun and clouds and a risk of morning flurries; we won’t get out of the 30s. Then, on Sunday, after a low well down in the 20s, we rise to near 50 degrees by afternoon with a good supply of sunshine.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today visiting with the students at Floyd Elementary in Gadsden… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Early Afternoon Notes

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Thu, 01/21/2016 - 14:06

Thunderstorms (non-surface based) are moving over north-west Alabama at this hour. They are not severe, but do have some small hail and lightning. Some light rain extends from Bibb County up through Shelby County.

The surface low that will become our historic East Coast storm has formed northwest of Houston. Showers and thunderstorms are occurring across eastern Texas and western Louisiana. A tornado watch is in effect for much of Louisiana and eastern Texas. There are two tornado warnings for areas southeast of Lufkin and a couple of severe thunderstorm warnings as well. CAPE values are approaching 2000 joules in that area and wind shear values are very high as well. Temperatures are in the middle and upper 70s in the Houston area with dewpoints in the middle and upper 60s.

The SPC has an enhanced severe weather risk from Houston to Jackson to Mobile, including areas from Choctaw through Clarke and Monroe Counties on south to the coast. A slight risk extends up to Greene, Hale and Perry Counties, or just south of Tuscaloosa. The best chances for severe weather tonight will be over Southwest Alabama.

Rainfall amounts will be significant tonight, with widespread 1 to 2 inch amounts across Central Alabama.

Winter storm watches and warnings cover areas all around Alabama, but not in our state, at least yet. The best chances for snowfall will be to our northwest in the deformation zone around the strengthening low pressure system. Memphis is expecting 5-7 inches of snow starting before sunrise tonight. Nashville is expecting 2-4 inches.

Blizzard warnings are in effect for our nation’s capital where as much as 12-20 inches of snow is expected.

Here in Alabama, morning runs of the major models are still saying the same thing as far as snow for us in our state. The 4km NAM shows widespread amounts of less than one half inch with a few scattered pockets of 1/2-1 inch amounts and isolated spots of 2 inch amounts. As always with this type event, there will almost always be a few delighted people who get 1-2 inches of snow. Otherwise, a dusting is about all you can expect.

The GFS looks similar.

Categories: Weather

Storms, Colder, Then Some Snow

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Thu, 01/21/2016 - 07:38

MUCH TO DISCUSS: We will be very busy in the weather office over the next 48 hours as a very robust weather system swings through the eastern half of the nation.

TODAY: A surface low, the initiation of what promises to be a blockbuster eastern U.S. snow storm, forms over Texas north of Houston, with a warm front extending eastward along the Gulf Coast. That warm front will lift slowly northward, and we will mention a chance of showers during the day. Temperatures rise into the 50s this afternoon.

SEVERE WEATHER RISK TONIGHT: The surface low moves northeast into Mississippi… and the guys at SPC have defined an “enhanced” severe weather threat for Southwest Alabama tonight, with the standard “slight risk” up into Sumter, Greene, and Hale Counties of West Alabama.

PLACEMENT: It sure seems like the best combination of instability and shear will be over Southwest Alabama tonight. I would suggest the main severe weather threat will come in the broad area from Demopolis to Mobile, with a much smaller risk as far north as Tuscaloosa. The risk of severe weather for Birmingham, Anniston, and Gadsden is very low tonight as the air there will be stable.

TIMING: The core severe weather threat will come from about 9:00 p.m. through 6:00 a.m.

MODES: While strong straight line winds and hail are the main threats, we sure can’t rule out a tornado or two, especially over far Southwest Alabama (closer to Mobile).

RAIN AMOUNTS: Rain totals of at least one inch are likely tonight, with isolated amounts approaching two inches. I don’t think it will be enough for flooding issues.

COLD AIR RETURNS TOMORROW: Temperatures will be going the wrong way. We will be in the 50s around sunrise, but after that we fall through the 40s, reaching the 30s by late afternoon with a gusty northwest wind. Periods of rain will continue through the day as the cold air rolls in.

SNOW TOMORROW NIGHT: As cold air deepens, the rain will change over to light snow across the northern half of Alabama on the back side of the departing surface low.

TIMING: The change will begin over the far northwest counties in the 3-6 p.m. time frame, but for most of the state snow won’t begin until after 6:00 p.m. It might be after 10:00 p.m. before you see snow flakes over East Alabama.

AMOUNTS: All guidance continues to suggest any accumulation will be pretty light across our state. Best chance of seeing an inch of snow will be over the Tennessee Valley of far North Alabama, and over the eastern counties.

Understand we will be dealing with convective type snow showers tomorrow night, and distribution won’t be especially even. But, generally speaking, amounts across North/Central Alabama will be under one inch, and in some cases, no accumulation at all.

IMPACT: Temperatures are expected to generally remain above freezing through midnight tomorrow night, so for now we expect no impact from the light snow during the day tomorrow, or early tomorrow night. But, after midnight tomorrow night into Saturday morning, temperatures will drop to near freezing, and there could be a few icy patches. Due to strong wind and the light nature of the snow, the overall travel impact in Alabama looks relatively low for now. But again, if you are driving early Saturday morning be aware of the potential for a few slick spots.

REMEBER: This forecast can, and probably will change, so check the blog often for updates and revisions.

TO THE NORTHEAST: Parts of WV/VA/MD will be buried; some spots will see two feet of snow, and blizzard conditions are likely around Washington and Baltimore tomorrow night into Saturday. Travel in the core of the storm will become difficult, if not impossible. The snow will also impact cities like Philadelphia, New York City, and Boston.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be cold and breezy with a mix of sun and clouds and a risk of lingering morning snow flurries; we won’t get out of the 30s. Then, on Sunday, after starting the day in the low 20s we rise to near 50 degrees with a good supply of sunshine.

NEXT WEEK: A cold front will bring a chance of showers Tuesday, followed by cooler air Wednesday. No sign of any winter weather mischief for now… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I have a weather program this morning at Floyd Elementary in Gadsden… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Strong Storms, Colder, Some Snow

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Wed, 01/20/2016 - 16:25

VERY ACTIVE WEATHER: Rain is still falling this afternoon across parts of Central Alabama, mainly south of I-20. Otherwise, it is a cloudy and cold day. Temperatures are barely above freezing across Northeast Alabama, where some light icing has been reported. Photo below is from Lookout Mountain near Fort Payne… via @rolltide23

The sky will stay cloudy tonight, with some patchy light rain possible.

We have two issues we will focus on this afternoon….

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT TOMORROW AFTERNOON/TOMORROW NIGHT: SPC has adjusted the “Day Two” convective outlook, and the standard “slight risk” of severe storms now extends northward to Tuscaloosa, with a “marginal” risk to Birmingham…

The primary threat of severe storms will come from about 4:00 p.m. tomorrow to midnight tomorrow night. The main risk will come from hail and strong, perhaps damaging straight line winds, but an isolated tornado can’t be completely ruled out. Higher tornado probabilities exist to the west over South Mississippi.

This is a very dynamic weather system, and we will watch radar trends very closely tomorrow afternoon and tomorrow night. Rain amounts of around 1 inch are likely.

A RISK OF SNOW FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT: As the surface low pulls northeast, away from Alabama, much colder air will drop into the state Friday with a gusty north wind. We start the day in the 50s at daybreak, then we fall through the 40s during the midday hours, reaching the 30s by mid to late afternoon.

Lingering light rain on the back side of the departing low will turn to light snow; the change will initially happen over Northwest Alabama, and it could happen as early as 12:00 noon near the Mississippi border across counties like Lamar, Marion, Franklin, Colbert, and Lauderdale. This is where some communities could see over 1 inch of snow; to the west most of North Mississippi is under a winter storm watch, where 4 inches of snow is possible.

For most of North/Central Alabama, the change from rain to snow will come between 3:00 and 6:00 p.m. And, temperatures won’t drop below freezing until after 6:00, so we do not expect any travel impact during the day Friday, with the possible exception of far Northwest Alabama (Lamar, Marion, Franklin, Colbert, and Lauderdale Counties).

Light snow/snow flurries will continue Friday night, and some light accumulation is possible as far south as I-20. We will project amounts under 1 inch, probably closer to 1/4 inch, for places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, and Anniston. The European model seems to have a good grasp on this potential…

There could be a few slick/icy spots Friday night and Saturday morning due to light snow and sub freezing temperatures over the northern half of Alabama, especially along and north of I-20. While I don’t think this will be an especially high impact event, anyone that needs to travel Friday night needs to be aware of the potential for some ice/snow issues.

As is the case with any winter weather situation, please keep up with the latest blog posts for forecast changes…

MAJOR EAST COAST SNOW STORM: A blizzard watch is in effect for Washington D.C. for Friday/Saturday; still looks like some spots across KY/WV/VA/MD will see two feet of snow from this blockbuster system. The snow will ultimately impact larger cities like Baltimore, Philadelphia, New York City, and Boston. Travel around Washington and Baltimore will become difficult, if not impossible Friday and Saturday. Expect major airport delays across the eastern third of the U.S.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be breezy and cold with a mix of sun and clouds along with a risk of morning snow flurries; we won’t get out of the 30s. Then, on Sunday, after a low down in the low 20s, we rise to near 50 degrees with a good supply of sunshine.

NEXT WEEK: Some light rain will return Monday night and Tuesday thanks to an approaching cold front, and we see evidence of a warmer period toward the end of January and the first of February. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the 2nd graders at Bluff Park Elementary School in Hoover… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m….

Categories: Weather

Snow Potential Late Friday/Friday Night

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Wed, 01/20/2016 - 10:15

Let’s take a closer look at the situation for Alabama….

Friday will be a day with falling temperatures as the deepening surface low moves northeast, away from us. We should begin the day in the 50s, falling through the 40s during the midday hours, and reaching the 30s by mid to late afternoon.

And, as the cold air rushes into the state, light rain on the back side of the departing storm will change to light snow, or snow flurries by mid to late afternoon.

We should stay well above freezing through the day Friday, so no impact is expected during the day.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Temperatures go below freezing, and I think the course of least regret here is to mention some risk of light accumulation over North Alabama, generally along and north of I-20 (Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Anniston). By light accumulation I am talking 1/4″ or less for North/Central Alabama… best chance of seeing anything more than that will be on the ridges of East and Northeast Alabama, especially above 1,500 feet. Mt. Cheaha (Alabama’s highest point) could pick up 2-3 inches in a best case scenario for them (their elevation is 2,400 feet).

And, up in the Tennessee Valley of far North Alabama, amounts could exceed 1 inch in spots.

This type situation is usually a low impact one for Alabama, but a few isolated icy patches could develop on bridges and roads Friday night and Saturday morning across the northern counties of the state.

A few lingering snow flurries are possible into Saturday morning.

We all know that forecasting winter weather in Alabama is a challenge; just wanted to put this out this morning, and understand the forecast can, and probably will change by the time we get to Friday night.

Stay tuned.

Categories: Weather

Active Weather Pattern Continues

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Wed, 01/20/2016 - 07:29

THIS MORNING: The NWS Huntsville is maintaining the “winter weather advisory” for far North Alabama; Lauderdale, Limestone, Madison, Jackson, and DeKalb Counties. However, temperatures are generally above freezing, and so far there have been no ice issues in our state. If we have any freezing rain, it will most likely come over Jackson and DeKalb Counties, where temperatures are colder. And, even there problems will be pretty limited, and of very short duration.

Otherwise, today will be cloudy with a chance of some light rain at times; we rise into the upper 40s this afternoon.

TOMORROW/TOMORROW NIGHT: A deepening surface low will move from near Shreveport to Tupelo, and a warm front will lift slowly northward through Alabama. Rain is likely tomorrow, and thunderstorms are possible tomorrow night as the surface low gets closer. We note SPC has now defined a “marginal” severe weather risk for extreme West Alabama late tomorrow and tomorrow night, with the standard “slight” risk to the west…

Seems like the core severe weather threat will come over Louisiana and South Mississippi; instability values will be very limited over Alabama tomorrow night. Still, we will watch radar trends closely. This will be a good rain event for the state, with most communities seeing one inch.

FRIDAY: The surface low moves northeast of Alabama, and the big eastern U.S. snow storm begins. Here at home, the day will be cloudy and breezy with some lingering light rain. Temperatures at daybreak should be in the 50s, but they fall through the 40s, reaching the 30s by afternoon as strong cold air advection begins. And, as the cold air arrives, the light rain should change to light snow or snow flurries by mid to late afternoon.

We will maintain the risk of flurries Friday night; accumulation potential remains low, and no impact is expected. I do believe high terrain locations over East and Northeast Alabama could see enough snow to make the ground white; if you really need to build a snow man, I would suggest Cheaha State Park, Alabama’s highest mountain (just south of Anniston). They might see an inch or two at their elevation, which is 2,400 feet.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be cold, breezy, and blustery with a risk of light morning snow flurries. Temperatures will have a hard time getting past the mid 30s, and the wind chill index will stay below freezing all day. We will drop into the low 20s by daybreak Sunday.

Then, during the day Sunday, we will warm to near 50 degrees with sunshine in full supply.

EASTERN U.S. SNOW: Snow amounts of two feet will be possible through parts of West Virginia, Virginia, and Maryland Friday and Saturday. Baltimore and Washington will receive over one foot of snow, and travel in this region will become difficult, if not impossible. The snow expands up into Philadelphia, New York City, and Boston as well later in the weekend. This will be a high impact event for this big population corridor.

NEXT WEEK: Looks like some light rain is possible Monday night and Tuesday, possibly into Wednesday. No sign of any winter weather mischief for Alabama, and with the Arctic Oscillation and North Atlantic Oscillation trending positive later in the month, we might see a spell of “winter warmth” around the first of February with highs up in the 60s for a few days. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have a weather program today at Bluff Park Elementary School in Hoover… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Some Icing Tomorrow – Far North Alabama

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Tue, 01/19/2016 - 16:26

THIS AFTERNOON: Temperatures are generally colder than forecast; again today some North Alabama communities are below freezing at mid-afternoon; temperatures are near 40 along the I-20 corridor. Clouds will increase this evening ahead of a wave that will bring the potential for some icy travel to far North Alabama tomorrow morning.

TOMORROW: The NWS Huntsville continues a “winter weather advisory” for Lauderdale, Limestone, Madison, Jackson, and DeKalb counties for tomorrow morning.

A band of light freezing rain will move through the Tennessee Valley early tomorrow, and with surface temperatures expected to be at or below freezing, that could bring some ice patches on roads and bridges. We should note some sleet and snow could also be in the mix, especially over the northeast corner of the state.

And, I can’t rule out a bit of freezing rain/ice patches on roads as far south as U.S. 278 early tomorrow… Hamilton to Cullman to Gadsden.

Understand this won’t be an especially high impact event, but it could very well bring some icy travel, and if you are driving through the northern third of the state tomorrow morning from 3:00 until 10:00, be aware of the potential.

We do not expect anything other that some light rain at times for Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, and Anniston, where temperatures will rise into the mid 40s by afternoon.

THURSDAY: A more potent storm system will impact the state with rain and a few thunderstorms. A deepening surface low will move from near Shreveport to Muscle Shoals; we might even see a few strong to severe thunderstorms in the warm sector. SPC has a “marginal” severe weather risk defined for much of Louisiana and Mississippi tomorrow, but for now we don’t expect any severe weather in Alabama. But, you clearly might hear some thunder. Rain amounts of 1 inch are likely by Thursday night, and temperatures will rise into the upper 50s Thursday afternoon.

FRIDAY: The surface low moves northeast, setting up a whopper of a snow storm for the eastern U.S. Here in Alabama, strong northerly winds will develop, and temperatures should fall during the day, reaching the 30s by mid to late afternoon. Lingering light rain in the wrap around moisture on the west side of the low could very well change to light snow or snow flurries late Friday and Friday night, but for now the potential for any accumulation looks very low, and we project no impact.

SATURDAY: The day will be blustery and cold in Alabama; we won’t get out of the 30s, and we could see a few lingering snow flurries during the morning.

BLOCKBUSTER SNOW FOR THE EASTERN U.S.: Sure looks like somebody from West Virginia through Virginia and over to Maryland could see two feet of snow Friday into Saturday; the snow will continue northeast and impact other cities like Philadelphia, New York City, and Boston, although amounts should be lighter there. This will seriously impact travel, both on the roads, and at airports.

SUNDAY IN ALABAMA: The day will be sunny, and the afternoon will be warmer with a high in the low 50s. After starting the day down in the low 20s.

NEXT WEEK: Still seeing evidence of rain by Monday night or Tuesday, and another pop of colder air by Wednesday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today visiting with the kindergarten students at Weaver Elementary in Calhoun County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather
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