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The latest information on Alabama weather, tornadoes, hurricanes, winter storms, national weather headlines and the science of meteorology in general.
Updated: 8 min 58 sec ago

Waiting on the Rains

Sat, 10/24/2015 - 07:45

If you are a weather enthusiast, then you have probably been watching the drama unfolding as the strongest hurricane ever, Patricia, has made its way ashore south of Puerto Vallarta. And now it looks like Patricia will play a role in our weather as things turn wet for the first of next week.

The sky has become increasingly cloudy overnight which has helped to influence temperatures tremendously with the morning lows today primarily in the middle and upper 60s, about 12 to 15 degrees above the seasonal values we usually see for the latter part of October. Rain ahead of Patricia will move closer to Alabama but it looks like it will stay away until late on Sunday and into early Monday morning.

If you are headed for Tuscaloosa where Alabama will host Tennessee at 2:30 pm today, the sky will be mostly cloudy, but dry. While we can’t completely rule out a stray shower, there is nothing significant expected. Temperatures will drop from near 80 at kickoff into the mid 70s by the final whistle. And Auburn is on the road as they travel to Fayetteville to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks at 11:00 am. The day will be cloudy but it looks like most of the rain has moved south and east of Fayetteville so the game should be dry. Temperatures will be in the lower 60s with a northwesterly breeze.

For the races at Talladega, the sky will be mostly cloudy today and Sunday. We can’t rule out a brief shower or a touch of light rain Sunday, the most widespread rain should stay west of the track Sunday arriving early Monday morning. Temperatures will peak around 80 today and in the mid to upper 70s Sunday.

Monday we start the week out wet as the remains of Patricia move slowly northeastward. The future course of these remains is still somewhat uncertain. The Euro and GFS continue to bring those remains over the extreme Northwest Gulf but very close to the Texas coastline. Water temperatures in this area are about 3 to 5 degrees C colder than what Patricia enjoyed off the Mexican coast. This together with the center of the low remaining close to the coastline, it would be unlikely that the remains would be able to gather much strength. It is still possible that the remnant low could become a depression or maybe a tropical storm, but unlikely that it could gain enough strength to become a hurricane. Plus, if the center of the remnant low remains over land, little intensification is likely. But in that same vein, if it moves over the Gulf further from shore, it would have somewhat better chances for development.

No matter what it does, rain is going to cover much of the Lower Mississippi River Valley and the Southeast for Monday and Tuesday with rainfall amounts over Alabama potentially in the 2 to 3 inch range. And as we know, any deviation of the storm centers track even a little could raise or lower those values. Since we’ve had nearly two full weeks without rain, the potential for flash flooding remains low but not zero.

An upper air trough should swing through the Central US Tuesday and Wednesday and push what’s left of Patricia northeast away from the Southeast US ending our rain temporarily. We should see a slight warming for the end of the week as we come under an upper ridge. But the moist southwesterly flow ahead of another trough aloft Saturday and Sunday promises some more rainfall for late in the weekend and into week 2.

Voodoo country shows some potential for both wet weather and a significant cold shot. A trough comes out early in week 2 to bring rain chances. But by the end of the week as we head into November, a deep trough is forecast over the eastern US which could spell both a round of severe weather as well as a substantial chill down.

I expect to have the next Weather Xtreme Video here Sunday morning. I’m enjoying some time in Chicago with my daughter, so it may not get posted real early on Sunday morning. Enjoy the day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Eyes On Patricia

Fri, 10/23/2015 - 15:21

THIS AFTERNOON: It is a warm, dry day across the great state of Alabama with a mix of sun and clouds; temperatures are pretty close to 80 degrees in most spots. Nothing on radar around here.

OUR WEEKEND: Most of the action will be west of Alabama, where flooding potential will continue over the eastern half of Texas, Louisiana, and Arkansas. Around here we expect a mostly cloudy sky tomorrow and Sunday with a high close to 80 tomorrow, and in the mid to upper 70s Sunday. We will introduce the risk of widely scattered showers tomorrow, mainly over North and West Alabama, but nothing too widespread or heavy. Pretty much the same situation Sunday… a shower is possible, but the big, organized rain areas stays just to the west.

NEXT WEEK: The “ghost of Patricia” will be just south of the Louisiana coast Monday in the form of a tropical low. There is a chance it regenerates into a tropical depression, or even a tropical storm. But, the impact will be the same; rain and flooding will be the primary threat… it is not expected to become a hurricane over the Gulf due to cooler water and unfavorable upper air conditions.

Showers will begin to increase across Alabama Sunday night, and widespread rain is likely Monday and Tuesday. Rain amounts of at least 1 to 2 inches seem likely; some spots could get more. And, Tuesday will be a windy day with a tight pressure gradient between the low to the west, and a strong high to the east. South winds Tuesday will be in the 15-30 mph range, with higher gusts. While severe storms are not expected, the combination of the gradient wind Tuesday and heavy rain could be responsible for knocking down a few trees.

We will need to maintain the chance of rain on Wednesday, and some thunderstorms could be involved as well with a cold front moving in from the west. Then, cooler and drier air will arrive Thursday and Friday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

PATRICIA: This historic hurricane in the eastern Pacific features a central pressure of 879 millibars, or 25.96″, and sustained winds of 200 mph. It will make landfall soon on the Mexican coast.

The hurricane will weaken quickly over Mexico tomorrow, but the remnant low will emerge over the far western Gulf of Mexico late in the weekend.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Dry and pleasant weather for the high school games tonight; temperatures will fall through the 70s.

Alabama will host Tennessee at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa tomorrow (2:30p CT kickoff). The sky will be mostly cloudy, and a brief shower, or a little light rain is possible during the game. Nothing heavy, nothing widespread. Temperatures will drop from near 80 at kickoff, into the mid 70s by the final whistle.

Auburn is on the road; they travel to Fayetteville to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks at 11:00a CT tomorrow. The day will be cloudy and wet; showers are likely during the game, but the good news is that now it looks like the heaviest rain could very well be south and east of Fayetteville at game time. Temperatures will be in the mid 60s.

RACE WEEKEND AT TALLADEGA: The sky will be mostly cloudy at the Talledega Superspeedway tomorrow and Sunday. I can’t rule out a brief shower, or a touch of light rain each day, but the most widespread rain should be well to the west of the track. Temperatures will peak in the upper 70s tomorrow, and mid to upper 70s Sunday.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today visiting with the 6th graders at Hanceville Middle School in Cullman County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted bright and early Monday morning by 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Categories: Weather

Good News From our Friends at the Alabama NewsCenter

Fri, 10/23/2015 - 14:34

It was a week of mergers, movies, mansions, football, a retiring coach, real estate and a double dose of pimento cheese over at Alabama NewsCenter.  Here are some of our favorite stories from our partners there from the last seven days.

Football preview: Alabama welcomes Tennessee as Auburn calls on the Hogs.

 

Birmingham’s Roy Wood Jr. trying to live up to ‘Daily Show’ legacy.

 

Caleb Castille talks about taking on Tony Nathan role in ‘Woodlawn’.

 

15-bedroom Alabama mansion, 27-acre estate up for Halloween auction.

 

Alabama Power’s innovative use of program helped land $100 million auto supplier.

 

Birmingham’s Enrollment Advisors buying division of Boston’s HighRoads.

 

Preston Goldfarb: ‘This has been one of the greatest loves of my life … Now it’s time to move on’.

 

Can’t Miss Alabama: NASCAR, ice skating and other outdoor ideas.

 

Alabama Bright Lights: Slice Pizza and Brew.

 

Alabama Power gets in the MIX with millennials.

 

Rotaract, BBA and MIX join forces to blaze a trail at Red Mountain Park.

 

Montgomery Commissioner Ronda Walker ‘fights the valiant fight’ against breast cancer.

 

Meet UAB Dr. Kirby Bland: ‘We will conquer the enemy, breast cancer’.

 

Calera turns pink to help fight breast cancer.

 

100 Dishes to Eat in Alabama Before You Die: Savage’s Bakery and Deli pimento cheese.

 

Spreading herself grins: Loxley woman’s pimento cheese business makes her smile.

 

Alabama Shakespeare Festival driving Greta Lambert to myriad roles.

 

SEOPA’s return to Alabama comes full circle in Eufaula.

 

Alabama September residential sales up 17 percent over last year.

 

Birmingham metro September residential sales up 3 percent from 2014.

 

Mobile-area September home sales up 18 percent over same month last year.

 

Alabama Gulf Coast September condo sales up 15 percent vs. September 2014.

 

Dothan area home sales in September up 27 percent from prior year.

 

$32 million Regent Club Hotel looks to transform gameday experience in Tuscaloosa.

 

Alabama Power renewables proposal sparks interest from customers, developers.

 

$18 million DOE project advances cutting edge carbon technology.

 

New outdoor classroom benefiting Brookwood High agricultural students.

 

Southern Co. CEO Tom Fanning key speaker at LAMPAC.

Categories: Weather

Patricia Strongest Hurricane Ever in Western Hemisphere

Fri, 10/23/2015 - 11:37

Hurricane Patricia in the eastern Pacific underwent an incredible rapid intensification yesterday and overnight and aircraft reconnaissance found 175 knot winds (200 mph) just before 2 a.m. this morning. The central pressure was estimated at 880 millibars. I say estimated, because the dropsonde instrument used to record pressure, wind, temperature and other parameters did not splash down in the true center of the hurricane. The instrument recorded 885 mb and the crew estimated that the minimum pressure was 880 mb.

The winds make Patricia the strongest hurricane ever observed in the western hemisphere. Patricia is stronger than Wilma from 2005, which had the distinction of having the lowest central pressure observed in the Atlantic (882 millibars). And the top winds of 175 knots are certainly the strongest observed in any tropical cyclone around the world since 1970. Wind speeds were probably routinely overestimated prior to 1970. Patricia is stronger than Haiyan, which has 170 mph winds in the northwestern Pacific and Allen, which had 165 knot winds in 1980 in the North Atlantic.

Typhoon Tip still holds the distinction of having the minimum central pressure observed around the globe, with 870 millibars measured by reconnaissance on October 12, 1979. But Tip’s winds were 165 knots, short of Patricia’s record this morning.

Water temperatures underneath Patricia are running 30C, which is about 1 degree C warmer than they have been ever observed in the past 34 years. Cloud tops around the center have warmed a bit in the past couple of hours, perhaps indicating some weakening, but catastrophic conditions will occur along the coast near and east of where the center makes landfall. Fortunately, there are no major population centers in the swath where the maximum effects are expected to occur.

Landfall will come early this evening on the Mexican coast west of Manzanillo in the state of Jalisco. This is southeast of Puerto Vallarta, where they will experience tropical storm force winds in just a couple of hours and strong tropical force winds by 7-8 p.m. tonight. Hurricane conditions may remain just east of Puerto Vallarta.

It will turn to the north northeast over the mountainous terrain of Mexico. It should weaken to tropical storm force by tomorrow afternoon and become a remnant low by Sunday. It will bring torrential rains to Mexico and South Texas even as it weakens. The remnant low will get revitalize over Coastal Texas over the weekend and could bring heavy rain to southern and eastern Texas, as well as southern Louisiana. The WPC is calling for widespread 3-8 inch amounts from the eastern half of Texas all the way into Arkansas and western Mississippi and western Tennessee.

As the low moves slowly northeast, it may bring a nice rain event to Alabama by next Tuesday with an inch of rain possible.

Categories: Weather

Warm, Dry Weather For Alabama

Fri, 10/23/2015 - 06:41

ANOTHER WARM OCTOBER DAY: We project a high in the low to mid 80s today, well above the average high of 72 for October 23. Also, today will be the 13th consecutive day with no measurable rain for Birmingham and most of the state. The sky will be partly sunny.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Some uncertainty has creeped into the forecast situation. High resolution models are now showing a marked increase in moisture tomorrow, and with the tail end of an upper trough passing through North Alabama, we might need to consider adjusting the forecast to include some risk of showers during the day. The higher chance will be over the northern third of the state (north of a line from Hamilton to Cullman to Gadsden), but the high resolution NAM hints showers might form as far south as I-20 in a few spots.

And, with the higher moisture pool in place, we might need to consider some risk of showers on Sunday as well, especially for North and West Alabama. For now I will just insert an outside chance of a shower in the forecast both days with more clouds than sun; let’s look at the new 12Z data later this morning before making big changes. We will adjust highs for the weekend downward into the 70s due to the increased cloud cover.

NEXT WEEK: A tropical low, the remnant of what is now powerful Hurricane Patricia in the eastern Pacific, will move into Louisiana from the western Gulf of Mexico, and will pull deep moisture into the state. Rain should become rather widespread Monday and Tuesday, with potential for heavy rain at times. The current look advertised by models suggests no risk of severe storms, just lots of rain.

Rain amounts of at least 1 to 2 inches are likely, and some spots could see even more. Showers could linger into Wednesday, and then cooler and drier air follows for Thursday and Friday.

PATRICIA: This is now the strongest eastern Pacific hurricane on record, with explosive deepening over the past 24 hours. The pressure is now down to 880 millibars, or 25.99″, and top sustained winds are at 200 mph.

It will make landfall on the Pacific coast of Mexico later today with potential for catastrophic damage. While it will weaken over northern Mexico, there is some chance it redevelops to some degree over the far western Gulf of Mexico near the Texas coast Monday. Development into a tropical storm is not totally out of the question, water temperatures are cooler and upper air winds don’t favor any rapid deepening.

One way or another, it will bring more heavy rain to East Texas, and that deeper moisture will spread into Alabama.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Dry and pleasant weather for the high school games tonight; temperatures will fall through the 70s.

Alabama will host Tennessee at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa tomorrow (2:30p CT kickoff). The sky will be mostly cloudy, and we will need to adjust the forecast now to mention some risk of a shower, or a little light rain during the game. Temperatures will fall from the upper 70s at kickoff into the mid 70s by the fourth quarter.

Auburn is on the road; they travel to Fayetteville to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks at 11:00a CT tomorrow. The day will be cloudy and wet; showers are likely during the game, but the good news is that now it looks like the heaviest rain could very well be south and east of Fayetteville at game time. Temperatures will be in the mid 60s.

RACE WEEKEND: The sky will be mostly cloudy at the Talledega Superspeedway tomorrow and Sunday, but only a slight risk of a shower both days. Highs will be in the mid to upper 70s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I have a weather program this morning at Hanceville Middle School in Cullman County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Rain Returns To Alabama Next Week

Thu, 10/22/2015 - 14:01

FINE FALL AFTERNOON: Temperatures are approaching the 80 degree mark across the great state of Alabama this afternoon with a good supply of sunshine…

No real change tomorrow; partly to mostly sunny with a high in the low 80s in most places. No risk of rain here.

THE WEEKEND: Warm, dry weather continues. While Texas and some of the adjacent states will have heavy rain and the risk of flooding, our weather stays quiet. Partly sunny days, fair nights. Highs between 80 and 83 degrees Saturday and Sunday afternoon.

NEXT WEEK: Showers will be a possibility Monday, but the rain becomes more widespread and heavier Tuesday. There is a chance that the remnant low of what is now Hurricane Patricia in the eastern Pacific could regenerate near the Texas coast, moving up into Arkansas by Tuesday. If this solution is correct, then we could see heavy rain at times on Tuesday, along with risk of severe storms. Then, we turn cooler Wednesday with lingering showers. Dry, cool weather is likely Thursday and Friday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: Patricia is now a dangerous, category four hurricane in the Pacific with top winds of 130 mph, and will make landfall on the Mexican coast tomorrow.

Moisture from this system will move up into Texas over the weekend, enhancing the threat of heavy rain and flooding over the central and eastern counties of the Lone Star State. Some of that moisture will more into Alabama by Monday night and Tuesday of next week.

The Atlantic basin remains quiet.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Dry, pleasant weather for high school football games across the state tonight and tomorrow; the sky will be mostly fair with temperatures falling through the 70s.

Alabama will host Tennessee at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa Saturday (2:30p CT kickoff)… the weather will be partly sunny and warm with temperatures falling from around 82 at kickoff, into the mid 70s by the fourth quarter. No significant chance of rain.

Auburn is on the road; they travel to Fayetteville to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks at 11:00a CT Saturday. The sky will be cloudy with rain and thunderstorms likely during the game. Temperatures will hover in the mid 60s. Take the rain gear; it could be a soaker with heavy rain possible at times.

AT THE BEACH: Sunny days, fair nights on the coast from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores through Saturday; a few scattered showers could show up Sunday; higher rain chances return on the coast early next week. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today visiting the kids at Walnut Park Elementary in Gadsden… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! I will be live in downtown Oneonta at 4, 5, and 6:00 this evening as well… drop by and see us. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Dry Through The Weekend; Warm Afternoons

Thu, 10/22/2015 - 06:15

STILL DRY: Today will be the 12th consecutive day without measurable rain for most Alabama communities, and it sure looks like the dry spell continues through the weekend. Understand this is expected in October, our driest month of the year based on climate averages.

Afternoons will continue to trend warmer; we will be around 80 degrees this afternoon, and low to mid 80s are likely tomorrow. The record high for tomorrow (October 23) is 89 set in 1941; that should be safe.

THE WEEKEND: Partly sunny, warm days, and fair nights Saturday and Sunday. Looks like highs both days will be in the low 80s, with lows around 60 degrees. Rain stays west of Alabama, where flooding will be a concern for parts of Texas, Oklahoma, and possibly Arkansas.

NEXT WEEK: Our long stretch of dry days will come to an end. A potential tropical low over the western Gulf of Mexico will move northeast, interacting with an upper trough and surface cold front… rain should begin at some point Monday, becoming more widespread, and possibly heavy at times Tuesday and into Wednesday. Rain amounts between 1 and 2 inches are likely before it ends Wednesday evening. No severe weather, just a good bit of rain. Drier and cooler air will arrive Thursday and Friday… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin is quiet, but Patricia has become a hurricane in the eastern Pacific, and will make landfall on the Mexican coast Friday evening. Moisture from this will stream into Texas, setting up potential for an extended flash flooding threat.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Dry, pleasant weather for high school football games across the state tonight and tomorrow; the sky will be mostly fair with temperatures falling through the 70s.

Alabama will host Tennessee at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa Saturday (2:30p CT kickoff)… the weather will be partly sunny and warm with temperatures falling from around 82 at kickoff, into the mid 70s by the fourth quarter. No significant chance of rain.

Auburn is on the road; they travel to Fayetteville to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks at 11:00a CT Saturday. The sky will be mostly cloudy, with rain and thunderstorms likely during the game. Temperatures will hover in the 67-70 degree range. Take the rain gear; it could be a soaker with heavy rain possible at times.

AT THE BEACH: Sunny days, fair nights on the coast from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores through Saturday; a few scattered showers could show up Sunday; higher rain chances return on the coast early next week. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I have a weather program today at Walnut Park Elementary in Gadsden, and this evening I will be live in downtown Oneonta on ABC 33/40 News at 4, 5, and 6:00… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Warming Trend Continues

Wed, 10/21/2015 - 15:30

THIS AFTERNOON: Temperatures are mostly in the mid to upper 70s with a good supply of sunshine across the great state of Alabama.

We stay dry tomorrow and Friday; the sky will be partly to mostly sunny both days. We project a high around 80 tomorrow, followed by low to mid 80s Friday.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will stay warm and dry with a partly sunny sky and a high close to 80 degrees. Global models continue to trend drier for Sunday, and at this point it looks like most communities will be dry with only a small risk of a shower near the Mississippi and Tennessee border. The high Sunday will be between 77 and 80 degrees with a mix of sun and clouds.

NEXT WEEK: Rain returns to the state early in the week; showers will likely arrive Monday, becoming more widespread Tuesday, and possibly into Wednesday with the approach of a cold front. Some moisture from eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Patricia could be involved along the way, meaning potential for a day with heavy rain at times, but that possibility remains uncertain. Cooler and drier air will arrive Thursday and Friday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

RACE WEEKEND AT TALLADEGA: Dry weather is the story at the Talladega Superspeedway this week and into Saturday with mostly sunny, warm days and fair, cool nights. Based on the latest computer model data, I think we can drop the small risk of a shower late in the weekend; Sunday looks dry with a mix of sun and clouds. The high Saturday at the Superspeedway will be near 80, and Sunday’s high should be in the upper 70s.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Alabama will host Tennessee at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa Saturday (2:30p CT kickoff… the weather will be partly sunny and warm with temperatures falling from around 82 at kickoff, into the mid 70s by the fourth quarter. No significant chance of rain.

Auburn is on the road; they travel to Fayetteville to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks at 11:00a CT Saturday. The sky will be mostly cloudy, with rain and thunderstorms likely during the game. Temperatures will hover in the 67-70 degree range. Take the rain gear; it could be a soaker.

AT THE BEACH: Sunny days, fair nights on the coast from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores through Saturday; a few scattered showers could show up Sunday; higher rain chances return on the coast early next week. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I enjoyed seeing the kindergarten kids today at Altadena Presbyterian Church, and the entire student body at Greystone Elementary. Be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 and 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Warmer Afternoons; Dry Through Saturday

Wed, 10/21/2015 - 06:15

LONG DRY SPELL CONTINUES: The last measurable rain in Birmingham was back during the pre-dawn hours October 10, so today will be the 11th consecutive day with dry conditions. With a sunny sky we project a high in the upper 70s today.

The trend toward warmer afternoons will continue, with low 80s tomorrow, and low to mid 80s Friday afternoon. It isn’t unusual to see 80s in October in Alabama; in fact we have recorded 94 degrees twice during the month; on October 5, 1927, and on October 6, 1954. The air stays dry, and there no risk of rain through Friday.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be another warm, dry day with a high at or just over 80 degrees along with a partly sunny sky. Clouds increase Sunday with an upper trough to the west, but global models continue to trend drier for Alabama. We will mention just the chance of a shower Sunday afternoon, but it sure looks like a decent part of the day will be dry, and the best chance of showers will be near the Mississippi border. The high Sunday afternoon will be in the 77 to 80 degree range.

NEXT WEEK: There will be some risk of a few showers during the first half of the week, but again models have trended drier, suggesting that any rain will be pretty light and spotty. Cooler air invades later in the week. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

RACE WEEKEND AT TALLADEGA: Dry weather is the story at the Talladega Superspeedway this week and into Saturday with mostly sunny, warm days and fair, cool nights. Forecast uncertainty remains for Sunday, but it sure looks like the higher risk of showers will be over the western half of the state. There is a chance they get the CampingWorld.com 500 in without any rain, but that is no promise. For now we will just mention an outside risk of a passing shower. Highs over the weekend at Talladega will fall between 76 and 80 degrees.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Alabama will host Tennessee at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa Saturday (2:30p CT kickoff… the weather will be partly sunny and warm with temperatures falling from around 82 at kickoff, into the mid 70s by the fourth quarter. No significant chance of rain.

Auburn is on the road; they travel to Fayetteville to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks at 11:00a CT Saturday. The sky will be mostly cloudy, with rain and thunderstorms likely during the game. Temperatures will hover in the 67-70 degree range. Take the rain gear; it could be a soaker.

AT THE BEACH: Sunny days, fair nights on the coast from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores through Saturday; a few showers could show up Sunday. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be speaking today to the kids in the kindergarten program at Altadena Valley Presbyterian Church, and also at Greystone Elementary. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Warmer Days Ahead; Still Dry

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 13:55

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today; I am traveling back to Alabama from the National Weather Association annual meeting in Oklahoma City**

SUNNY TUESDAY: Temperatures are generally in the low 70s across the great state of Alabama this afternoon with a sunny sky.

The air stays dry through Friday, and we will continue a forecast of sunny days, clear nights, and a slow warming trend. We reach the upper 70s tomorrow, 80 degrees Thursday, and low to mid 80s Friday. Morning lows will be generally in the 50s.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday continues to look warm and dry, with a partly sunny sky and a high in the low 80s. We will continue to mention a chance of showers Sunday; confidence is not especially high since the GFS model shows the state to be rain-free, while the ECMWF (European) model looks fairly wet. The Euro has had a pretty good track record this season, and we will lean more toward the wetter solution in the forecast. The high Sunday will drop back into the 70s.

NEXT WEEK: We will hold on to some risk of showers early in the week, and it looks like a cold front will pass through at mid-week on Wednesday with a better coverage of showers, and possibly a thunderstorm. Cooler air follows the front Thursday and Friday with highs dropping back into the 60s.

RACE WEEKEND AT TALLADEGA: Dry weather is the story at the Talladega Superspeedway this week and into Saturday with mostly sunny, warm days and fair, cool nights. The forecast challenge involves Sunday; as noted above we have “model madness” with conflicting solutions. For now we will forecast a mostly cloudy day Sunday with a few passing rain showers possible; we will have better clarity on the situation as the weekend gets closer.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Alabama will host Tennessee at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa Saturday (2:30p CT kickoff… the weather will be partly sunny and warm with temperatures falling from around 82 at kickoff, into the mid 70s by the fourth quarter. No significant chance of rain.

Auburn is on the road; they travel to Fayetteville to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks at 11:00a CT Saturday. The sky will be mostly cloudy, with a passing shower or thunderstorm likely during the game. Temperatures will hover in the 67-70 degree range. Take the rain gear.

AT THE BEACH: Sunny days, fair nights on the coast from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores through Saturday; a few showers could show up Sunday. Highs in the 70s; lows in the 60s… See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Dry Weather Continues; Warmer Afternoons

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 05:53

LONG DRY SPELL CONTINUES: Today will be the tenth consecutive day with no measurable rain for most of Alabama, and the streak continues at least through Friday with mostly sunny days, clear nights, and a slow warming trend. We reach the low 70s today, mid 70s tomorrow, and then low 80s are likely by Thursday and Friday. Early morning lows tomorrow, Thursday, and Friday morning will be mostly in the 50s.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be warm and dry with a high at or just over 80 degrees with a partly sunny sky. The latest global model data hints a decent part of the day Sunday will stay dry, although we will mention some risk of showers by afternoon with an upper trough approaching. Sunday’s high will drop back into the mid 70s with an increase in cloud cover.

NEXT WEEK: Looks like Monday will be relatively wet with the upper trough; occasional showers are likely with a high in the upper 60s. A few lingering showers are possible Tuesday, and the rest of the week looks mostly rain-free. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

RACE WEEKEND AT TALLADEGA: Dry weather is the story at the Talladega Superspeedway this week and into Saturday with mostly sunny, warm days and fair, cool nights. The forecast challenge involves Sunday; the good news is that models have trended drier for the eastern half of Alabama, and at this point it looks like only an outside risk of a shower Sunday afternoon. The high Saturday at Talladega will be near 80, with highs in the mid 70s Sunday.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Alabama will host Tennessee at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa Saturday (2:30p CT kickoff… the weather will be partly sunny and warm with temperatures falling from around 82 at kickoff, into the mid 70s by the fourth quarter. No significant chance of rain.

Auburn is on the road; they travel to Fayetteville to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks at 11:00a CT Saturday. The sky will be mostly cloudy, with a passing shower or thunderstorm likely during the game. Temperatures will hover in the 67-70 degree range. Take the rain gear.

AT THE BEACH: Sunny days, fair nights on the coast from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores through Saturday; just a few widely scattered showers Sunday. Highs mostly in the 70s, lows mostly in the 60s. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICS: A disturbance over the far western Caribbean will drift into Central America today with no development in the short term; it could emerge over the Bay of Campeche later this week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night at the National Weather Center on the University of Oklahoma campus.

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I will be traveling back to Alabama later today, so no afternoon video, but I will post new forecast notes by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

WeatherBrains 509: I Can Give You a Finger !

Tue, 10/20/2015 - 05:15

WeatherBrains Episode 509 is now online (October 19, 2015). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Lots of guest tonight thanks to the great attendance at the NWA annual meeting. Our parade of guests include:

  • Janice Bunting, NWA Executive Director
  • John Toohey-Morales, Chief Meteorologist at WSCV in Miami, FL
  • Bradon Long, President of the Oklahoma Weather Lab
  • Eleanor Talbot from NWS Boston, MA
  • Steve Harned, previous Executive Director of NWA
  • Wendy Abshire, Senior Program Manager, COMET
  • John Knox, University of Georgia
  • Lynette Grant and Alis Smith, current students
  • Paul Schlatter, Vice President of the NWA, and Deputy Chief of Staff of NWS
  • Stephen Neslage, The Weather Channel
  • CoCoRaHS representatives
  • And a very special thank you to the guys in the IT department at the National Weather Center for doing all of the work to make this show possible. We could not have done it without them!

    Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

    • Extremes: 94 at El Centro, CA, and 4 at Mount Washington, NH
    • Good weather across the eastern US
    • Big trough coming into the West Coast
    • No Astronomy Outlook from Tony Rice< for this show/li>
    • and more!

    No email bag tonight since Aubrey could not make it to the NWA

    From The Weather Center:

    WeatherBrains 101: No 101 tonight due to the special live WeatherBrains from the National Weather Center in Norman, OK.

    Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

    Web Sites from Episode 509:

    Oklahoma Weather Lab

    NWS Boston, MA

    COMET Web Site

    To subscribe to the brand new SkyWritings, an email newsletter from the WeatherBrains gang, click HERE.

    Picks of the Week:

    Normally go here, but there won’t be any tonight due to the special show at the National Weather Center.

    SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

    The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Dr. John Scala, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.


    WeatherBrains is a proud affiliate of NetAtmo Weather Stations.

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    Categories: Weather