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The latest information on Alabama weather, tornadoes, hurricanes, winter storms, national weather headlines and the science of meteorology in general.
Updated: 16 min 30 sec ago

Cold, Wintry Day

Thu, 02/06/2014 - 15:15

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video; we are in Gadsden for opening night of Storm Alert 2014**

RADAR UPDATE: Sometimes on days like today, the radar can be misleading. Almost everything you see over North Alabama is not reaching the ground due to dry air in the low levels.

This is the morning sounding from the Shelby County Airport…

Snow flurries are certainly possible for places like Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, Anniston, and Gadsden this evening, but the dry air will prevent any major snow issues. Temperatures are also above freezing in these places.

Yes, I know many schools are closing early. This is simply a function of the “busted” forecast last week, and being safe rather than sorry. But, we do not expect travel issues across the I-20/59 corridor due to the flurries.

TO THE SOUTH: The NWS offices in Birmingham and Mobile have issued a winter weather advisory for Sumter, Marengo, Choctaw, Clarke, Monroe, Washington, Wilcox counties in Southwest Alabama, where moisture is deeper, and some light accumulation of sleet and snow is possible this evening. This is not anywhere near Birmingham… is is basically from Demopolis and Livingston south to Camden, Monroeville, and Butler.

The light wintry mix will end tonight as the wave moves east of Alabama.

OUR NEXT ISSUE: Another wave will bring the risk of a little light precipitation to Alabama tomorrow night and very early Saturday. Much like the system today, some of this could fall in the form of light snow or sleet over North Alabama. At the moment is looks like the precipitation will be light, but we will need to keep an eye on developments to the west. Some light rain is possible over South Alabama from this wave. The precipitation will end by 6:00 a.m. Saturday in most places.

REST OF THE WEEKEND: Looks dry and warmer. The sun should pop out Saturday afternoon, and Sunday will be partly sunny. The high both days will be in the mid to upper 50s.

NEXT WEEK: The next major wave will bring rain back into Alabama late Tuesday, Tuesday night, and Wednesday. We will need to watch the northern periphery of the precipitation in Alabama for wintry weather potential with this one as well.

Will have much more on this early tomorrow morning.

STORM ALERT 2014: The first stop on our annual severe weather awareness tour is tonight… we will be at Gadsden City High School. The show begins at 6:30… the first 300 get a cool gift, and you will learn how to keep your family safe during severe weather. Hope to see many of you there.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Stay tuned to the blog for updates this evening…

Categories: Weather

Winter Weather Advisory Issued for Marengo and Sumter Counties

Thu, 02/06/2014 - 14:19

...A MIXTURE OF WINTER PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON... .A BAND OF RAIN...MIXED WITH SLEET AND SNOW...WAS MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...BUT THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD WILL EXTEND FAR ENOUGH NORTH TO AFFECT SOUTHERN SUMTER AND MARENGO COUNTIES. THE PRECIPITATION MAY BEGIN AS A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SLEET...AND THEN TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW FOR AN HOUR OR TWO. INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LIVINGSTON...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SLEET AND SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. * TIMING...FROM 2 PM THROUGH 6 PM. * LOCATION...GENERALLY SOUTH OF A YORK TO LINDEN LINE. * ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO ONE-HALF INCH POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
Categories: Weather

Early Afternoon Update

Thu, 02/06/2014 - 14:07

We continue to watch radar trends to our west. A quick hitting winter weather system is moving across the Southeast and has dropped some snow and wintry mix across Central Louisiana and southwestern Mississippi. The National Weather Service in Jackson did issue a Winter Weather Advisory for some counties, but the precip has already moved east of those areas.

The ever important temperature forecast. All locations along and south of Interstate 20 have warmed above the freezing mark. The freezing line is running east to west along the U.S. 278 corridor from Gadsden to Cullman to Haleyville. We are not expecting any issues with the roads across much of Central Alabama as temps are above freezing. Some peace of mind for you, ALDOT has treated many of the bridges in the Birmingham area already today as a precaution.

Now a look at the radar. The atmosphere over the state remains very dry and a lot of the precip that is showing up on radar is not reaching the surface. The dry air above the surface is causing the moisture to evaporate. It continues to appear that the heaviest band of precip will be in Central Alabama between Interstate 20 and Interstate 85. Very light snow is now working into some of our western counties including Pickens and Sumter. We may see the Weather Service issue a Winter Weather Advisory this afternoon.

Looking to our west, media, spotters, and reports on social media continue to confirm the forecast. In some areas there are light to moderate snow showers, with most of it melting on contact. Other areas are only receiving a rain/sleet mix. We will all see some form of precip today, but for the most part it appears it will be wintry mix of snow and sleet, with some rain that will cross the state this afternoon.

If you see snow or sleet today, there is no need to panic. This system is nothing like last week’s and it moving very fast. The precip will only last a short time before dissipating.

Categories: Weather

Morning Update

Thu, 02/06/2014 - 11:19

Not much change in the overall thinking for today. We will see moisture move back in over the state throughout the day. Looking at the vertical profile of the atmosphere, the air over Alabama remains fairly dry. We do have clouds, but those are associated with a low, thin level of moisture. We will need the atmospheric column to saturate before measurable precip can reach the ground. We will see it slowly do that today.

There are showers and some wintry mix to our southwest and that will be lifting across Central Alabama this afternoon, but by that time temperatures will be above freezing. It should mostly be a rain event, but because the upper-levels are so cold, we will see a bit of snow and sleet mixing in with the rain. Any precip that falls today will be light and not amount to much. We are not expecting any significant accumulations, just a cold, wet afternoon and evening for Central Alabama. Of course we will be watching trends to our west will be updating the forecast as needed.

The current temps across Central Alabama are slowly warming this morning and areas along the Interstate 20 corridor have at least made it to or just above the freezing mark. Our temps will continue to climb the rest of the morning and into the afternoon hours. Most areas across Central Alabama will see temps climb into the upper 30s before the main area of precip arrives.

Categories: Weather

Cold Day; Some Light Precipitation Possible

Thu, 02/06/2014 - 07:10

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

AT DAYBREAK: Temperatures are generally in the upper 20s and low 30s around here just before sun-up, the sky is cloudy, and we have nothing on the radar. Had a report of very tiny snow grains around Montgomery, but all is generally quiet. The radars to the west are quiet as well.

THE DAY AHEAD: A disturbance in the southern branch of the jet stream will bring some risk of scattered, light precipitation to Alabama today, but there is no comparison to the system we dealt with last Tuesday. Many of the really good, high resolution computer models show no precipitation at all over the northern half of Alabama today, and with no action on radar west of here, that idea is certainly credible. Many of you won’t have any measurable precipitation.

However, there will be some isentropic lift, and a little scattered light rain is certainly possible later today. And, thermal profiles are cold enough to hint that a few snow flakes or sleet patches could be in the mix. However, vertical velocities are just not very impressive, and moisture is not very deep. And, also on the positive side, temperatures will be above freezing today, quite the contrast to last Tuesday when we hovered around 20 degrees all day.

Here is the WPC graphic showing the chance of greater than one inch of snow over the next 24 hours, and they aren’t very worried either.

Today’s high will only around 40 degrees.

TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: Tomorrow will be a bit brighter, and not as cold. There should be some filtered sunshine during the day with a high in the upper 40s. The good news is that the weekend looks generally dry. An upper trough could bring a touch of light rain or a shower late tomorrow night or early Saturday, but beyond that Saturday and Sunday look mostly rain-free as a surface low in the Gulf of Mexico stays far to the south. Look for a mix of sun and clouds both days; the high Saturday will be in the mid 50s, with a high closer to 50 degrees Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: Monday will be cool and dry, but a wave in the southern stream promises to bring a good rain event to our state late Tuesday, Tuesday night, and into Wednesday. The air looks too cool for thunderstorms, and too warm for winter weather issues… just good ole fashioned rain. However thermal fields are not usually handled well by models so far in advance, and we will need to watch for any potential winter weather mischief on the northern flank of that big mass of precipitation.

Rain amounts of around one inch look likely, and the rain should begin to move out by Wednesday afternoon. Drier air follows for Thursday and Friday.

Take some time to watch the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

STORM ALERT 2014 KICKS OFF TONIGHT: Our annual severe weather awareness tour across Alabama kicks off tonight; we will be at Gadsden City High School at 6:30 (doors open at 5:00). You will get an introduction to storm spotting, see the “good, the bad, and the ugly” concerning last week’s snow, learn how to stay safe this tornado season, and have a chance to win some cool stuff. If you have kids that love weather, bring them. They will love it. Hope to see you tonight in Gadsden.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Not sure I will be able to crank out a video this afternoon with the storm tour beginning, but I will post a fresh discussion here by 4:00. Enjoy the day….

Categories: Weather

Late Night Peek

Thu, 02/06/2014 - 00:22

Here is a late night look at expected weather for Alabama tomorrow.

Most of the model guidance still looks rather dry for our state; the 4km RPM, which performed very well last week, shows nothing (this is output valid at 4pm)

We do note the 00Z GFS run spits out a little snow around the I-20/59 corridor. BUFKIT analysis shows potential for 0.10″ for Birmingham…

And, the NWS is mentioning some risk of light snow/sleet around I-20/59 tomorrow…

Bottom line is that some light precipitation is possible tomorrow for places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden. Mostly rain, but some light snow/sleet is possible as well. Temperatures should be above freezing during most of the daylight hours, meaning travel issues are very unlikely. The NWS has not issued any winter weather watches, warnings, or advisories.

The temptation after last week is to be very aggressive on every day like this and forecast a big snow just to “cover our backside”, but that is not sound science. Best forecast practices suggest tomorrow won’t bring any major issues to Alabama in terms of winter weather.

But, get up extra early tomorrow and check the blog for possible updates. After all, this is winter in Alabama, you know…

Categories: Weather

Cold Air Settles Into Alabama

Wed, 02/05/2014 - 16:45

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

CHILLY WINTER DAY: As expected, clouds are very stubborn to leave across the great state of Alabama this afternoon. Temperatures are mostly in the 40s, but a number of communities north of Birmingham are not out of the 30s. This is air coming down across the vast snow pack north of our state, and we will stay cold tonight and tomorrow. The NAM and GFS are printing a low of 27 degrees early tomorrow as the clouds stick around and cold air drains in from the north.

SOME LIGHT RAIN TOMORROW??? All of a sudden models are picking up an impulse that will move across the Deep South tomorrow in the southern stream, and the 18Z run of the NAM brings rain into the state by midday.

Other models, including the high resolution RPM, are not as aggressive, but considering the pattern, I think some mention of light rain is a good idea for tomorrow, especially from U.S. 278 (Hamilton to Cullman to Gadsden) south. Thermal fields suggest mostly rain, with only a small risk of a snow flake or two in the mix… or perhaps a little sleet.

NWS BIRMINGHAM: Our friends at the National Weather Service office in Birmingham are hinting at a few snow flakes or sleet patches tomorrow afternoon or tomorrow evening over Central Alabama, mainly south of Birmingham, but this is only a very small risk at this point.

After last week’s situation, I can certainly understand forecast anxiety on the part of weather professionals and the public, but I honestly don’t see much support for any snow for now… it should be mostly rain with temperatures above freezing. A little sleet is not out of the question on the northern periphery of the precipitation.

I am not sure we can get out of the 30s tomorrow with clouds and some risk of that light rain. It will be a raw, cold, and damp day.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Friday should be brighter and warmer. The high will be in the 47 to 50 degree range with a mix of sun and clouds. Then, for the weekend, global models continue to show a wave on the Arctic front well to the south of here in the Central Gulf of Mexico, far enough to the south to really have no major impact on Alabama. The upper trough might squeeze out a shower somewhere Saturday, but I still get the idea most places will be dry Saturday; the sky will be mostly cloudy with a high in the 50s. Sunday looks rain-free, but breezy and colder with a high in the upper 40s with a partly sunny sky.

NEXT WEEK: The next wave in the southern stream promises to bring rain back into Alabama by Tuesday afternoon, Tuesday night, and Wednesday morning. Thermal fields suggest all rain, but no instability means no severe weather and probably no thunder. Just rain. Drier air returns Thursday and Friday.

See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

STORM ALERT 2014: Our annual severe weather awareness tour across Alabama kicks off tomorrow evening; we will be at Gadsden City High School at 6:30 (doors open at 5:00). You will get an introduction to storm spotting, see the “good, the bad, and the ugly” concerning last week’s snow, learn how to stay safe this tornado season, and have a chance to win some cool stuff. If you have kids that love weather, bring them. They will love it. Hope to see you tomorrow evening in Gadsden.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I really enjoyed seeing patients and families today at the Children’s Hospital of Alabama, and also the third graders at Vance Elementary School in Tuscaloosa County; be looking for those kids on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Pesky Clouds and Cooler Temps

Wed, 02/05/2014 - 13:11

Low-level, thick clouds are hanging over the state today. The clouds are very slowly trying to move out of the area, and they are also mixing out as drier air in the upper-levels of the atmosphere works into the state. There are actually mostly sunny conditions over southwestern portions of the state, but the rest of the state remains socked in with overcast skies.

There are a few areas in Central Alabama seeing a few peeks of sunshine, and heading through the afternoon, there should be a few more breaks in the cloud cover. Most locations will see mostly cloudy conditions the rest of today, but should begin to see less cloud cover later this evening and overnight.

We are seeing a range in temperatures across the state as the clouds are hampering the warming process today. The 30s are hanging in the Tennessee Valley, low 40s along the Interstate 20 corridor, upper 40s towards U.S. 84, and 50s along the Alabama Gulf Coast. The cold air advection will last through the day as a new air mass is moving into the state. Our highs are not expected to warm much more this afternoon.

Categories: Weather

Rainfall Totals from January

Wed, 02/05/2014 - 10:00

January 2014 will be remembered for the very cold air that occurred most of the month as the amplified pattern, with a ridge in the West and trough in the East, allowed such cold air all the way down to the Gulf Coast. That pattern essentially shut down our main source of moisture, the Gulf of Mexico. January 2014, for the most part was a dry month compared to the average January.

As we look at the rainfall totals calculated by the great folks at the National Weather Service, we see that most locations across the state received one and a half to four inches of rain. The highest total I could find for the state was 4.44″ on Dauphin Island. In Central Alabama, the highest total recorded was 4.23″ in central Shelby County.

Though most locations did see a fair amount of rain, because of the pattern we had much of the month, many locations actually had a deficit for rainfall in January. The larger cities of Tuscaloosa, Anniston, Gadsden, Birmingham, and Montgomery, all had rainfall deficits for January, with a range of one to four inches below normal.

Categories: Weather

Colder Air Returns Today

Wed, 02/05/2014 - 06:52

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: At daybreak, the rain in Alabama was confined to the southeast corner of the state, and that will be gone soon. Clouds linger statewide, and colder air is moving in.

THE DAY AHEAD: Today will be breezy and rather chilly with temperatures holding in the 40s all day. Clouds will linger much of the day, although the sun could peek out at times this afternoon. Tonight will be cold; look for a low down in the mid to upper 20s by daybreak tomorrow.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: Tomorrow will be cold and dry; the high only in the 41-44 degree range as colder air coming off the northern snowpack settles into Alabama. Like today, clouds will be around much of the day with only limited amounts of sun, if we see any at all. Friday will be a little brighter with a mix of sun and clouds, and we rise back into the low 50s.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Just a few days ago it looked like a rather high impact rain event was going to impact the state, but the models have trended dry over the past 48 hours, and we can really back off on any risk of rain. In fact, the QPF chart from the guys at WPC hint at no rain at all for the northern half of Alabama.

The ECMWF model (European) does hint at a little rain over Central and South Alabama Friday night as a wave of low pressure forms on the old front down in the Gulf, but that low moves northeast quickly and leaves the state dry for the weekend. The GFS model (American) is very similar, and we will trend toward a dry weekend forecast. Saturday will be mostly cloudy with a high in the 50s; I think we will see intervals of sunshine Sunday with a high in the upper 40s.

NEXT WEEK: The next wave in the active southern stream will bring rain back to Alabama by mid-week; the GFS hints some rain could move into Alabama as early as Tuesday afternoon, with rain more likely Tuesday night and Wednesday. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

LONG RANGE: Out in voodoo land it looks like the southern stream will remain very active, but there is no sign of any winter storm threat for Alabama over the next two weeks (for now).

STORM ALERT 2014: Our annual severe weather awareness tour across Alabama kicks off tomorrow evening; we will be at Gadsden City High School at 6:30 (doors open at 5:00). You will get an introduction to storm spotting, see the “good, the bad, and the ugly” concerning last week’s snow, learn how to stay safe this tornado season, and have a chance to win some cool stuff. If you have kids that love weather, bring them. They will love it. Hope to see you tomorrow evening in Gadsden.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Busy today ahead…. I have a weather program for the kids at the Children’s Hospital of Alabama, followed by a program at Vance Elementary School in Tuscaloosa County. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Severe Thunderstorm Warning Macon County

Wed, 02/05/2014 - 03:18

 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
NORTHEASTERN MACON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 245 AM CST

* AT 212 AM CST…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LIVERPOOL…OR NEAR TUSKEGEE…
AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
TUSKEGEE…LAKE TUSKEGEE…TUSKEGEE NATIONAL FOREST…UPHAPEE
CREEK…MOTON FIELD MUNICIPAL AIRPORT AND I 85 REST AREA.

WINDS OF 60 TO 70 MPH WILL BREAK LARGE TREE LIMBS AND CAUSE SOME
DAMAGE…ESPECIALLY TO SMALLER STRUCTURES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

FOR YOUR PROTECTION…MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF
YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.

 

Categories: Weather

Rain Continues to Push East

Wed, 02/05/2014 - 01:06

The radar tells the story tonight. Rain, gusty winds, and some thunder across Central Alabama. The more intense storms are along and pushing east of Interstate 65. No storms are severe and we are not expecting storms to reach severe limits tonight.  All activity will continue to move off to the east through the early morning hours.

Some of the stronger activity currently is affecting Interstate 65 between Birmingham and Montgomery, including the cities of Calera, Clanton, and Selma. We are also seeing very heavy rain moving out of Jefferson County into Blount County.

For the most part, the rain is winding down across western portions of the state. There will be a few shower still possible behind the main batch of rain, but any of this activity will be fairly light.

By tomorrow, most of the rain should be exiting the state. There could be a few light showers possible in the morning. The rain and clouds will diminish from west to east through the day. We will be cooler as well, as a front has pushed through the state. We do expect to see some sunshine during the afternoon hours.

Categories: Weather

Strong Storm Moving Through Central Alabama

Wed, 02/05/2014 - 00:03

A non-severe thunderstorm is moving across Perry and Dallas Counties. This storm will be impacting Marion, Selma, Valley Grande and Orrville. Travel could be impacted along U.S. 80 & 82.

Gusty winds and very heavy rainfall are the main concerns with this thunderstorm as it travels east.

…SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PERRY AND NORTHERN DALLAS
COUNTIES UNTIL 1130 PM CST…

AT 1054 PM CST…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM NEAR VAIDEN…OR 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MARION…MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM…ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE…
MARION…
VALLEY GRANDE…
PAUL M GRIST STATE PARK…
BURNSVILLE…
HAMBURG…

TORRENTIAL RAIN…WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES…IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

Categories: Weather

Quick Radar Check

Tue, 02/04/2014 - 23:06

Heavy rain and gusty winds continue to move from west to east across Central Alabama.

There are a few thunderstorms embedded within the rain area. The showers and storms will continue to move east through the state the next few hours. Though we are seeing a few strong storms, severe weather is not expected.

There could be some areas of isolated flash flooding, so use caution if you are out and about tonight.

One report of wind damage from Fayette County where a garage suffered some damage. This is expected to be a result of pressure gradient wind along the cold front that is swinging through the area.

Categories: Weather

Heavy Rain Approaching I-65

Tue, 02/04/2014 - 21:55

Moderate to heavy rain has made it into Alabama this evening. All our counties in West-Central Alabama are seeing the rain currently, and it continues to spread east. It is raining in Tuscaloosa, Jasper, Demopolis, Sulligent and Hamilton. It will begin to impact the Interstate 65 corridor within the hour.

There have been a few severe thunderstorm warnings to our west and south this evening, but we are not expecting severe storms in Central Alabama tonight. However, there could be some strong storms with gusty winds. Heavy rain appears to be the main issue with this storm system. There are numerous flash flood warnings across northern and southern Mississippi. We are going to have to watch this activity closely the next few hours.

For the rest of tonight, expect a heavy soaking rain for several hours. The good news is that the back edge of the rain has passed the Intestate 55 corridor in Central Mississippi. The rain should clear most of the area by tomorrow morning, and we should see slow clearing tomorrow as well as turn cooler.

Categories: Weather

Rain Approaching from the West

Tue, 02/04/2014 - 19:03

The leading edge of the rain is now making its way into the extreme northwestern counties of the state. Rain is beginning to impact portions of Marion, Franklin, Colbert, and Lauderdale Counties. Over the next few hours we will see the rain shield over northern Mississippi continue to move east into the state. Once the rain starts at your location, you can expect the rain to last for several hours.

There could be a few rumbles of thunder in some of the heavier rain bands, and perhaps some gusty winds, but severe weather will not occur. Expect moderate to heavy rain across all of Central Alabama during the overnight hours. Most locations across the state will receive one half to one inch of rain. Of course there will be some areas that receive more, while others will receive less. In any case, a soaking rain will cover Alabama tonight.

Categories: Weather

Good Soaking Tonight; Drier Tomorrow

Tue, 02/04/2014 - 16:37

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Scattered showers are over North Alabama this afternoon, associated with a northward moving warm front. Heavier showers at 3:00 p.m. were between Anniston and Gadsden. Temperatures are generally in the 50s with low clouds and fog in many places.

NORTHWEST OF ALABAMA: A nasty ice storm over parts of Arkansas today, including Little Rock (photo from @cumulusmaximus)

Big snows are in progress from Kansas through Missouri, and winter storm warnings are up all the way from Kansas City to Boston.

GOOD SOAKING TONIGHT: Rain becomes widespread across Alabama tonight as the upper trough approaches. Rain amounts of 1/2 to 1 inch are likely, and while we could hear some thunder, no severe weather is expected. SPC has even dropped the low end 5 percent severe weather possibility for far Southwest Alabama. Most of the rain will come from 6:00 p.m. through 3:00 a.m.

TOMORROW THROUGH FRIDAY: Tomorrow will be mostly cloudy, breezy, and colder. The high will be in the 40s as air will be flowing over the snow pack north of Alabama and into our state. Look for a low down in the mid 20s by daybreak Thursday.

Thursday and Friday look dry with some filtered sunshine possible both days through the clouds. Thursday will be cold with a high only in the 41-45 degree range, but we warm into the low 50s Friday.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The 12Z models continue to show a weaker mid latitude wave at a higher latitude, meaning mostly light rain for Alabama. But, I caution you this could change again as we get closer to the weekend. But, based on the last few runs of the global models we will mention the risk of some light rain Saturday and Saturday night, then expect a blustery day Sunday with temperatures falling into the 30s with lingering clouds. A few snow flurries are possible Sunday over North Alabama, mainly north of Birmingham, but they won’t amount to much if the morning runs verify.

The high Saturday will be in the 50s before the cold air returns Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: The low early Monday will be in the low 20s; highs Monday and Tuesday should be in the mid to upper 40s. The next rain event comes at mid-week on Wednesday or Thursday. Take some time to watch the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

STORM ALERT 2014: Our annual severe weather awareness tour across Alabama kicks off this Thursday; we will be at Gadsden City High School at 6:30 (doors open at 5:00). You will get an introduction to storm spotting, see the “good, the bad, and the ugly” concerning last week’s snow, learn how to stay safe this tornado season, and have a chance to win some cool stuff. If you have kids that love weather, bring them. They will love it. Hope to see you Thursday evening in Gadsden.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today at the Livingston Community Center seeing the kids from Sumter County Head Start… be watching for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Midday Update

Tue, 02/04/2014 - 12:27

Showers and a few thunderstorms continue off to our west. The individual cells are lifting northeast as the whole system slowly shifts east today. We are starting to see a few showers enter into northwestern Alabama in Lamar and Marion Counties, while the rest of the state remains cloudy, misty and cool.

We are seeing southerly flow develop over the state and that will continue to allow is to warm-up and will bring in a lot of moisture. As we head into the afternoon hours we will see showers develop over the area and also see all activity to our west move into the state. This evening and overnight will be very wet and there will be a few thunderstorms as the system moves through. Some storms could produce gusty winds and heavy rainfall, but at this time severe weather is not expected.

This system will be very similar to the system we had Sunday night. Expect a soaking rain across much of Central Alabama overnight and we should begin to dry out by late morning tomorrow.

Categories: Weather

Another Soaking Ahead For Alabama

Tue, 02/04/2014 - 06:58

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COMPLEX, ACTIVE PATTERN: No dull moments in the weather office with a fast, wavy zonal flow sets up across North America like this. We just take them one storm system at a time.

TODAY/TONIGHT: Showers will begin to break out across Alabama this afternoon in a warm air advection pattern; temperatures will rise to near 60 degrees, with south winds picking up into the 10-20 mph range tonight. The most widespread rain should come from about 3:00 p.m. today until 3:00 a.m. tomorrow; rain amounts of one inch are likely.

While there is very good dynamic support, thermodynamics are basically non existent, and we do not expect any severe weather tonight with hardly any available surface based instability. Winds will be gusty, and the rain could be heavy at times, but there is no formal risk of severe weather from SPC, and we just don’t expect any issues.

TO THE NORTH: The system that will bring rain to Alabama tonight will bring a major snow event in the colder air from the Great Plains to New England. Cities like Kansas City, Indianapolis, Pittsburg, New York City, and Boston will see plenty of snow.

TOMORROW/THURSDAY: These two days should be dry and chilly. Highs in the 40s; we drop down into the mid to upper 20s at daybreak Thursday. A mix of sun and clouds both days.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Confidence in the forecast is very low. The latest two runs of the GFS have really backed off on the intensity of our weekend storm. A weaker, higher latitude upper trough will bring some risk of rain to the state, but new model data hints Friday could be dry, and rain amounts over the weekend will be light. Best chance of rain Saturday, Saturday night, into early Sunday, but it won’t rain the entire time, and if you believe the last few global model runs, rain will be rather light.

Colder air spills into the state Sunday with potential for falling temperatures, and perhaps a few snow flakes on the back side of the departing storm. The weaker solution in recent runs means no accumulation. But again, this is a low confidence forecast. Let’s get tonight’s weather system out of here, and we will have a much better look at the weekend situation tomorrow morning.

See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

NEXT WEEK: Monday and Tuesday look chilly but dry with a good supply of sunshine both days; medium range guidance continues to hint at a rain event around Thursday (February 13).

STORM ALERT 2014: Our annual severe weather awareness tour across Alabama kicks off this Thursday; we will be at Gadsden City High School at 6:30 (doors open at 5:00). You will get an introduction to storm spotting, see the “good, the bad, and the ugly” concerning last week’s snow, learn how to stay safe this tornado season, and have a chance to win some cool stuff. If you have kids that love weather, bring them. They will love it. Hope to see you Thursday evening in Gadsden.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

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I will be doing a weather program for the kids today at Sumter County HeadStart in Livingston… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

WeatherBrains 419: Talking Snow Forecasting Busts

Tue, 02/04/2014 - 06:15

3, 2014). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

This week the WeatherBrains gang tackles the events of a week ago in the Southeast US in which two major cities, Atlanta and Birmingham, were crippled by winter storms. Our guests include Dr. John Scala, Meteorologist with WGAL, Harrisburg, PA, Jim Stefkovich, MIC of the NWS Forecast Office in Birmingham, AL, Dr. Kim Klockow, AMS/UCAR Congressional Science Fellow at the American Association for the Advancement of Science, Dr. Laura Myers, Ryan Wade, researcher and winter weather expert at the University of Alabama Huntsville, and Allison Brasher Kay, a Birmingham resident who spent the night in her car on Interstate 65 in Birmingham, AL.

Get ready for a lively and honest discussion from numerous angles on this crippling event.

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Extremes: 86 at New Smyrna Beach, FL, Kissimmee, FL, Orlando, FL, and Plant City, FL and -30 at Doe Lake, MI
  • Second in three winter storms affecting the US from Kansas to New England
  • and more!
  • Our email bag officer continues to handle the incoming messages from our listeners.

    From The Weather Center:

    WeatherBrains 101: We recently received a question from Richard asking why the United States sticks with the Fahrenheit scale for temperature while the rest of the world uses Celsius. Interesting question, Richard, and I probably do not have a good answer to the ‘why’ part. But let’s look at a little of the history of the Fahrenheit scale..

    TWIWH: Bill Murray looks back at the week of February 3rd.

    Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

    Web Sites from Episode 419:

    National Weather Service Birmingham

    Capital Weather Gang

    Picks of the Week:

    Nate Johnson – Snow Coverage Bingo

    Bill Murray – 2014 Storm Surge Graphics from NHC

    Brian Peters – SPC Watch, Warning, Advisory Map

    James Spann – SPC Storm Event Database

    Jim Stefkovich – Mt. Holly NWS AFDs

    Aubrey Urbanowicz – Fun Weather Facts for Connecticut

    Ryan Wade – NWS Mobile, AL and NWS Slidell, LA

    SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

    The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like JB Elliott, Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

    Categories: Weather