ABC 33/40 Weather Blog

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The latest information on Alabama weather, tornadoes, hurricanes, winter storms, national weather headlines and the science of meteorology in general.
Updated: 6 hours 33 min ago

Storms Over Alabama

Sat, 08/30/2014 - 16:46

We continue to see widespread convection this afternoon. The last few hours, the bulk of the activity has been over western portions of the state, as the storms became somewhat linear. Storms today are producing quite a bit of lightning, gusty winds, and torrential rainfall. The general motion continues to be towards the north.

Over the next several hours, storms will persist as they lift north. The more intense storms at this time are affecting Winston, Walker, Fayette, Bibb, and Chilton counties. Storms should be approaching the Birmingham Metro during the next hour or so. Where it is raining, we are seeing much cooler temps down in the 70s, but where it is not, still 90s.

Categories: Weather

Showers Developing

Sat, 08/30/2014 - 12:13

A very soupy air mass is in place across the state today. Dew points have climbed back into the 70s, and that is making it feel very humid out there this afternoon. Add in a little daytime heating, and uplift provided by a shortwave trough approaching from the west, and we are looking at some unsettled weather the next couple of days.

Late this morning, showers began developing across the state. With a strong southerly flow across the state, general movement of today’s activity is from south to north. For the rest of today, with such a moist and unstable air mass in place, convection will continue to develop and we will see widespread and numerous showers and storms. It will not be continuous rain, but there could be several rounds of showers to impact your specific location.

Click image to enlarge.

Categories: Weather

Showers Today Falling Off Sunday

Sat, 08/30/2014 - 06:47

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

Moisture increased overnight keeping our temperatures up a bit. But those same clouds will help to keep the afternoon highs today mainly in the upper 80s for most spots. Showers and storms will be possible throughout the day and radar showed several showers across western sections this morning from near Demopolis to Muscle Shoals. An isolated strong thunderstorm is possible as CAPE values reach the 1500 to 2500 j/kg range. The most likely impact would be potential of damaging wind.

The unsettled weather today is the result of a weak upper level disturbance moving out of the northwest Gulf northeastward across the Lower Mississippi River Valley. This disturbance will enhance showers over this area with an east-to-west gradient in showers. This will put better chances for showers across western Alabama and a little less coverage of showers across eastern sections.

The disturbance coming out of the Gulf will move quickly northeast ahead of a trough coming across the Upper Mississippi River Valley Sunday and Monday. As this trough move across the Great Lakes area, ridging will occur across the Southeast US. This should return Central Alabama to a summer-like pattern with daily chances for showers for the first part of September.

An area of disturbed weather in the western Caribbean is moving steadily westward. While conditions are expected to become conducive for some development, the area is very close to land, so any strengthening in likely to be limited. The track of this area of weather should take it into the Southwest Gulf early next week where additional development could occur. The ridge across the Southeast US is likely to keep the westward motion and take the disturbance into Mexico.

Auburn kicks off their season with a game against Arkansas at Jordan-Hare Stadium at 3:00 pm. The sky will be mostly cloudy, and there is a 50/50 risk of a shower or thunderstorm during the game. Kickoff temperature near 86, falling into the lower 80s by the final whistle. You should take rain gear in case a shower wants to roll through the Plains.

Alabama will play West Virginia in the Georgia Dome, so no rain concerns for the game; you may need some rain gear getting to and from the game with a shower or thunderstorm possible in Atlanta during the afternoon and evening hours. The high in Atlanta will be in the mid to upper 80s.

UAB opens with a home game against Troy at Legion Field in Birmingham (11:00 a.m. CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 86 degrees at kickoff, rising into the upper 80s by the fourth quarter. A passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game, but much of the game is likely to be dry.

For beach goers, about 3-6 hours of sun with a few passing thunderstorms in the zone from Panama City to Gulf Shores. Sunshine will be a little more plentiful Sunday and Monday as storms become more widely spaced. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

Looking well into the future, a strong trough is expected to move across the Central US around the 11th which could bring a good rain event to Alabama. But the ridge returns for some warm weather for the middle of September.

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I expect to post the next Weather Xtreme Video by 8 am or so on Sunday morning. Enjoy the day and Godspeed.

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Categories: Weather

Weekend Showers; But No Wash-Out

Fri, 08/29/2014 - 15:21

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

CHANGES AHEAD: Another dry day for Alabama… the last time Birmingham had more than 0.05″ of rain was back on August 19. The sky is partly to mostly sunny with temperatures around the 90 degree mark in most places.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Moist air surges northward tonight, and we will bring back the chance of showers and thunderstorms to our state tomorrow. It won’t rain all day, and the sun should be out at times, so no “wash-out”. But, clearly a risk of a passing shower or thunderstorm will exist at just about any hour of the day. The sky will feature more clouds than sun, and the high will be in the upper 80s in most communities.

Showers and storms are still possible Sunday and Monday, but they should be more scattered in nature, and mostly during the afternoon and evening hours. Expect a mix of sun and clouds both days with a high around 90 degrees.

NEXT WEEK: Looks pretty hot for early September with highs in the low to mid 90s much of the week as the upper ridge rebuilds; afternoon showers and storms will be widely scattered. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Just a few isolated showers across North/Central Alabama tonight; most high school stadiums will be dry. Temperatures will fall through the 80s during the games, reaching the 70s by the fourth quarter.

Auburn kicks off their season tomorrow with a home game against Arkansas at Jordan-Hare Stadium at 3:00. The sky will be mostly cloudy, and there is a 50/50 risk of a shower or thunderstorm during the game. Kickoff temperature near 86, falling into the low 80s by the final whistle. The rain won’t be continuous, but I would take the rain gear in case a shower wants to roll through the Plains.

Alabama will play West Virginia in the Georgia Dome, so no rain worries for the game; as you walk to the game expect a mix of sun and clouds with a shower or thunderstorm possible in Atlanta during the afternoon and evening hours. The high in Atlanta tomorrow will be in the mid to upper 80s.

UAB opens with a home game against Troy at Legion Field in Birmingham (11:00 a.m. CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 86 degrees at kickoff, rising into the upper 80s by the fourth quarter. A passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game.

AT THE BEACH: About 3-6 hours of sun tomorrow with a few passing thunderstorms in the zone from Panama City over to Gulf Shores. Sunshine will be a bit more plentiful Sunday and Monday with storms becoming more widely spaced. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: There are no active tropical cyclones anywhere on Earth now, which is a bit unusual considering this is the peak of the tropical season.

Cristobal is now a post-tropical system over the North Atlantic, and disturbances over the northwest Gulf and Caribbean remain disorganized.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for my next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. Monday… Brian Peters will have the video updates here tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Categories: Weather

Moist Air Returns To Alabama Tomorrow

Fri, 08/29/2014 - 05:56

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

GENERALLY DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH TONIGHT: Not much overall change in the Alabama weather situation today; we are starting the day with a pleasant morning; Vic Bell up at Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) reports a cool 57 degrees, while Fort Payne is at 59 just before sunrise.

We expect a good deal of sunshine today through scattered clouds with a high in the low 90s. Humidity levels will remain rather low, and we will mention just a slight risk of a shower late today and tonight as an upper trough approaches from the Great Plains.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Alabama will be covered by a moist, unstable airmass tomorrow, and we will continue to mention the chance of a few passing showers or thunderstorms. No “all day” rain, but if you have something planned outdoors just be prepared for the occasional shower or storm. The day will feature more clouds than sun, with a high in the upper 80s for most places.

The, for Sunday and Monday, we will forecast a mix of sun and clouds with the risk of scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and storms. The showers will thin out Monday as an upper ridge begins to rebuild across the southern U.S. Highs will be at or just over 90 degrees on these two days.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Just a few isolated showers across North/Central Alabama tonight; most high school stadiums will be dry. Temperatures will fall through the 80s during the games, reaching the 70s by the fourth quarter.

Auburn kicks off their season tomorrow with a home game against Arkansas at Jordan-Hare Stadium at 3:00. The sky will be mostly cloudy, and there is a 50/50 risk of a shower or thunderstorm during the game. Kickoff temperature near 86, falling into the low 80s by the final whistle. The rain won’t be continuous, but I would take the rain gear in case a shower wants to roll through the Plains.

Alabama will play West Virginia in the Georgia Dome, so no rain worries for the game; as you walk to the game expect a mix of sun and clouds with a shower or thunderstorm possible in Atlanta during the afternoon and evening hours. The high in Atlanta tomorrow will be in the mid to upper 80s.

UAB opens with a home game against Troy at Legion Field in Birmingham (11:00 a.m. CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 86 degrees at kickoff, rising into the upper 80s by the fourth quarter. A passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game.

AT THE BEACH: About 3-6 hours of sun today and tomorrow with a few passing thunderstorms. Sunshine will be a bit more plentiful Sunday and Monday with storms becoming more widely spaced. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: Hurricane Cristobal is moving into the North Atlantic and is no threat to land; the rest of the Atlantic basin is pretty quiet.

NEXT WEEK: An upper ridge will mean summer-like weather for the first week of meteorological fall in Alabama; highs in the mid 90s with widely scattered afternoon storms. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

Categories: Weather

Mostly Dry Tomorrow; Showers Return Saturday

Thu, 08/28/2014 - 15:37

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SUNNY LATE AUGUST DAY: Mostly sunny weather is the story across the great state of Alabama this afternoon; nothing on radar, and temperatures are mostly in the low 90s. Dewpoints/humidity levels remain relatively low, so it feels pretty comfortable for a “low 90s” kind of day.

Tomorrow will be generally dry, but moisture levels will begin to rise, and I will mention the risk of widely scattered showers during the late afternoon and evening hours. The sky will be partly sunny with a high in the low 90s.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: A moist, unstable airmass will move in here late tomorrow night, and we will continue to mention a chance of showers and thunderstorms Saturday. We still see considerable model differences; the GFS is wet and the NAM is much drier, so confidence in the timing and placement of rain is not especially high. The sky will feature more clouds than sun, and we will have the risk of a few passing showers or thunderstorms during the day. The rain won’t be continuous, and the sun should be out at times. The high Saturday should be in the mid to upper 80s.

For Sunday and Monday, showers and storms are still possible, but they should be fewer in number, and more scattered in nature. Expect a mix of sun and clouds both days with a high in the 89-92 degree range.

NEXT WEEK: The upper ridge builds again for mid-week, meaning hot early September weather for mid-week with only widely scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms; highs will be in the low to mid 90s. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: No rain for the high school games tonight… only a small risk of a shower tomorrow evening; the sky will be mostly fair with kickoff temperatures in the upper 80s.

Auburn kicks off their season Saturday with a home game against Arkansas at Jordan-Hare Stadium at 3:00. The sky will be mostly cloudy, and there is a 50/50 risk of a shower or thunderstorm during the game. Kickoff temperature near 86, falling into the low 80s by the final whistle. The rain won’t be continuous, but I would take the rain gear in case a shower wants to roll through the Plains.

Alabama will play West Virginia in the Georgia Dome, so no rain worries for the game; as you walk to the game expect a mix of sun and clouds with a shower or thunderstorm possible in Atlanta during the afternoon and evening hours. The high in Atlanta Saturday will be in the mid to upper 80s.

UAB opens with a home game against Troy at Legion Field in Birmingham (11:00 a.m. CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 86 degrees at kickoff, rising into the upper 80s by the fourth quarter. A passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game.

AT THE BEACH: About 3-6 hours of sun tomorrow and Saturday with a few passing thunderstorms. Sunshine will be a bit more plentiful Sunday and Monday with storms becoming more widely spaced. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: Hurricane Cristobal is moving toward the North Atlantic with sustained winds of 75 mph; no threat to land. A weak disturbance is moving into South Texas with no development; otherwise the tropics are pretty quiet. Quite a contrast to 9 years ago today, when Hurricane Katrina reached category five status over the Gulf of Mexico. The storm weakened to a category three by landfall the the following day, but the large size of the system resulted in a storm surge of 24 and 28 feet on the Mississippi coast.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the senior adults at Cropwell Baptist Church in Pell City… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

Showers Return By The Weekend

Thu, 08/28/2014 - 06:18

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

PLEASANT MORNING: Another nice morning; we have low 60s at places like Cullman and Fort Payne; the sky is clear and the air is dry. Look for a good supply of sunshine today and tomorrow with a high in the 90-94 degree range. We will mention just a slight risk of a shower tomorrow afternoon.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Moist air surges northward into the state Saturday, and we will forecast a chance of showers and thunderstorms; the day will feature more clouds than sun. There are actual considerable model differences; the GFS is much wetter than the NAM, and as usual the truth is probably somewhere in between. The rain won’t last all day, and the sun will be out at times. Just understand if you have something planned outdoors, you will have to dodge a shower or two. The high Saturday will be in the upper 80s for most communities.

A few showers and thunderstorms are still possible Sunday and Monday, but they should be fewer in number and more scattered in nature. The sky will feature a mix of sun and clouds both days, with highs generally between 88 and 91 degrees.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: No rain for the high school games tonight… only a small risk of a shower tomorrow evening; the sky will be mostly fair with kickoff temperatures in the upper 80s.

Auburn kicks off their season Saturday with a home game against Arkansas at Jordan-Hare Stadium at 3:00. The sky will be mostly cloudy, and there is a 50/50 risk of a shower or thunderstorm during the game. Kickoff temperature near 86, falling into the low 80s by the final whistle. The rain won’t be continuous, but I would take the rain gear in case a shower wants to roll through the Plains.

Alabama will play West Virginia in the Georgia Dome, so no rain worries for the game; as you walk to the game expect a mix of sun and clouds with a shower or thunderstorm possible in Atlanta during the afternoon and evening hours. The high in Atlanta Saturday will be in the mid to upper 80s.

UAB opens with a home game against Troy at Legion Field in Birmingham (11:00 a.m. CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 86 degrees at kickoff, rising into the upper 80s by the fourth quarter. A passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny today with only a slight risk of a shower from Panama City to Gulf Shores. Then, for tomorrow and Saturday about 3-6 hours of sun each day with a few passing thunderstorms. Sunshine will be a bit more plentiful Sunday and Monday with storms becoming more widely spaced. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 83 degrees.

TROPICS: Hurricane Cristobal is on the way to the North Atlantic and no threat to land. A disturbance in the far western Gulf will move into the southern tip of Texas this evening with no development, and another weak wave is moving into the Caribbean with no sign of organization. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be speaking to the senior adults today at Cropwell Baptist Church in St. Clair County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather