ABC 33/40 Weather Blog

Syndicate content
The latest information on Alabama weather, tornadoes, hurricanes, winter storms, national weather headlines and the science of meteorology in general.
Updated: 5 hours 35 min ago

Hit and Miss, Slow Moving Storms

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 15:45

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: It is the classic case of scattered thunderstorms on a summer afternoon in Alabama today. Many neighborhoods remain dry, a few have been soaked. Even some small hail reported with the stronger storms today.

Storms once again are moving very little, and they will fizzle out later this evening after the sun goes down. Away from the storms, temperatures are mostly in the low 90s.

REST OF THE WEEK: The weather won’t change much through Friday. Storms might be a little fewer in number tomorrow as the air aloft will be slightly warmer. Highs remain in the 90-90 degree range, and most of the scattered storms will come from about 1:00 until 8:00 p.m. The risk of any one spot getting wet tomorrow and Friday is in the 20-30 percent range.

OUR WEEKEND: The classic summer pattern rolls along. Look for a mix of sun and clouds Saturday and Sunday with “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. Highs at or just over 90 degrees both days.

NEXT WEEK: Showers and storms should become more numerous next week as the upper ridge continues to weaken and the air becomes more unstable. Afternoon highs should drop back into the upper 80s by mid-week due to the clouds and showers. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: An isolated shower this morning over Mobile Bay produced a waterspout just north of Fort Morgan… (photo by Becky Overton)

The weather looks great through the weekend on the coast from Panama City over to Gulf Shores. Yes, there will be a few widely scattered storms around, but each day should feature a good supply of sunshine. Highs on the coast in the upper 80s, with low 90s inland.

TROPICS: Tropical storm formation is not expected across the Atlantic basin through the weekend.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

A Few Isolated Storms

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 13:41

Some storms have developed across Central Alabama today. One storm is affecting northern and western portions of the Birmingham Metro. Elsewhere, other showers and storms are impacting parts of Cleburne, Cherokee, Tuscaloosa, Marengo, Perry, and Clay counties. None of the storms are severe, but are producing some heavy rainfall, as well as lightning and thunder. They are ever so slowly moving towards the west-northwest.

These storms will continue to next few hours, and of course we will see additional development through the afternoon hours. This activity will begin to wind down after the sun sets this evening. Most areas will remain dry today.

Categories: Weather

A Few Storms Later Today

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 06:37

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SUN AND STORMS: It is that time of the year when weather changes in Alabama tend to be rather subtle.. we will pretty much see the same kind of weather each day through Friday. Days begin mostly sunny… the you see the towering cumulus clouds by late morning, and a handful of slow moving showers and storms show up by afternoon. The storms will be scattered, like recent days, and many neighborhoods won’t get wet. But, if you get under one of the storms, you could see heavy rain due to the slow movement.

Afternoon highs will remain generally in the 90-93 degree range thanks to an upper high across the Deep South.

OUR WEEKEND: No big changes, although the number of afternoon storms could increase a bit Saturday and Sunday as the ridge begins to weaken slowly. Expect a mix of sun and clouds both days with a high near, or just over 90 degrees in most spots. The chance of any specific point getting wet both days is about one in four.

NEXT WEEK: The air aloft should be a bit cooler, meaning the air will be a little more unstable. This, in turn, should mean a slow increase in the number of scattered showers and storms. Heat levels drop a bit, with highs for the first half of the week in the 88-91 degree range. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

VOODOO LAND: The GEFS ensemble hints temperatures could continue to trend downward later this month and into early July…

GULF COAST WEATHER: Still looking great through the weekend; mostly sunny days, fair nights, and just a few widely scattered storms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with low 90s inland. The sea water temperature this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is a warm 85 degrees.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet and tropical storm formation is not expected through the week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be speaking to a group of Alabama Power retirees in Anniston this morning… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Another Storm, Same Place As Yesterday

Tue, 06/17/2014 - 15:58

WINDS GUST TO 43 MPH AT BHM
Winds gusted to 43 mph at the Birmingham Shuttlesworth International Airport at 3:51. The temperature fell from 88F to 80F.

The storm is now weakening. Heavy rain drifted south over I-59 between the I-20 interchange and Oporto Madrid Blvd.

ORIGINAL POST 3:58
Interestingly, in almost a repeat performance of yesterday, a heavy thunderstorm has developed over northern portion of the Birmingham Metro. The storm was centered near and just east of Tarrant.

A small area just north of the Airport has probably picked up an inch of rain in less than 45 minutes.

The NWS has issued an Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory for this area, including Tarrant City and Center Point as the storm remains stationary or drifts slowly north.

The storm is maintaining intensity for now. A smaller pulse storm to the north already collapsed and weakened, but the outflow from that storm actually caused this one to intensify. Downtown is probably feeling a rush of cool air from the outflow.

More storms are well southeast of Birmingham, in the area generally between Auburn and Columbus GA, with others to the northwest of Tuskegee.

Categories: Weather

Sun And A Few Storms

Tue, 06/17/2014 - 15:54

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

A FEW STORMS OVER EAST ALABAMA: As expected, storms are pretty isolated across Alabama this afternoon. Most of them are east of I-65, and they are moving very little. And, like yesterday, we have a big downpour just northeast of downtown Birmingham.

Under the stronger storms, some localized flooding issues are possible because of the lack of motion. All of the storms will end soon after the sun goes down.

REST OF THE WEEK: The weather just won’t change very much as the upper ridge stays in place, and slowly weakens through Friday. We will probably see a slow increase in the number of afternoon storms late in the week, but they will still be pretty widely spaced. The sky will remain partly sunny each day with afternoon highs near, or just over 90 degrees. Another words, very classic mid-June weather.

THE WEEKEND: The air aloft should be colder, so scattered showers and storms will be a little more numerous Saturday and Sunday. Still, they will be scattered in nature, and there will be a decent amount of sun both days. Look for highs in the 88-91 degree range. Chance of any one spot getting wet both days will be about one in three.

The trend toward wetter conditions will continue early next week, and highs should drop back into the upper 80s Monday and Tuesday with scattered to numerous showers and storms around. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

AT THE BEACH: We still expect a good supply of sunshine each day through the weekend for the stretch of coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores with just a few isolated showers/storms. Highs in the upper 80s along the immediate coast, with low 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are up into the low and mid 80s now.

TROPICS: All remains quiet across the Atlantic basin and tropical storm formation is not expected through the week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I enjoyed seeing the kids in the summer program at Covenant Classical School in Shelby County today… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

Typical Mid-June Weather

Tue, 06/17/2014 - 06:13

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SUN AND A FEW STORMS: If you could define a typical mid-June weather day in Alabama, yesterday was it. Lots of sun during the day… a high around 90… and a handful of afternoon storms in widely scattered spots. The storms didn’t move much due to light winds aloft, and we actually had some flooding issues just northeast of downtown Birmingham (in Tarrant) from one of them.

We just don’t see much change in this overall pattern for the rest of the week. An upper high is across the Deep South, and the warm air aloft will limit the number of showers and storms we have every afternoon. The chance of any one spot seeing a storm is about one in five… here is the HRRR model output valid today at 1:00 p.m. CT

Showers will fade away every evening after the sun goes down, and afternoon highs will remain generally in the 89 to 92 degree range. Days will be partly to mostly sunny.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The upper ridge will shift west, and the air aloft here will be a little cooler, making the air a little more unstable. Accordingly, the number of afternoon showers and storms should increase a bit. Not a “rainy” weekend, but just keep in mind you might deal with a passing shower or storm at some point. Expect a mix of sun and clouds both days with a high between 88 and 91 degrees.

The trend toward lower heat levels and increased shower and storm activity will continue into early next week as the heat ridge continues drifting to the west, away from Alabama. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: The weather looks great through the weekend for the stretch of coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. Mostly sunny days, fair nights, with just a few isolated storms along the way. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with low 90s possible inland. The sea water temperature this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 83 degrees.

TROPICS: Tropical storm formation is not expected this week across the Atlantic basin.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be doing a weather program this morning at Covenant Classical School in Shelby County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

WeatherBrains 438: Who Turned On Aubrey?

Tue, 06/17/2014 - 05:15

WeatherBrains Episode 438 is now online (June 16, 2014). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Tonight’s Guest WeatherBrain is a Professor of Communications in the Department of Communications Studies at the University of California at Pennsylvania. She is one of the leaders in the field of study communicating the weather. Dr. Susan Jasko, welcome to WeatherBrains.

Dr. Jasko taught at several institutions, including Ohio University, Nassau Community College, and Montclair State University before coming to Cal U in 1998. She is the founding president of the New Jersey Communication Association, a past president and officer of the New York State Communication Association, and a frequent unit planner for the Eastern Communication Association. She has been a basic course director, graduate program coordinator, and a department chair. She has served as an assistant to several deans of the College of Liberal Arts. She has served on and chaired numerous committees and regularly presents her work at the National Communication Association conventions. She is on the editorial board of two journals, has published articles, and is the co-author of one book. She has received the Neil Postman Mentoring Award.

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Extremes: 109 at Death Valley, CA, and 26 at Shirley Basin, WY
  • Moderate risk of severe weather centered on Iowa Monday night
  • Numerous tornadoes in Nebraska
  • June 17th is the 16th Anniversary of CoCoRaHS
  • 3-digit heat in the Southwest
  • Closed low over the Northwest with ridge over the eastern US
  • and more!
  • Our email bag officer is continues to shuffle through the incoming messages from our listeners. And does a right fine job of it, too!!

    From The Weather Center:

    WeatherBrains 101: We’re coming up on hurricane season for the Atlantic Basin, so that means hurricane forecasters have had six months off, right? Not exactly. While we might think a job focusing on just six months leaves the rest of the year free, it really doesn’t as we see in this episode of 101.

    TWIWH: Bill Murray looks back at the week of June 16th.

    Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

    Web Sites from Episode 438:

    Cal U

    StormFest at Carnegie Institute, Pittsburgh

    CoCoRaHS web page

    Picks of the Week:

    Susan Jasko – Western Pennsylvania Weather Posse

    Nate Johnson – International Business Times Article

    Bill Murray – Gets The Horn

    Brian Peters – NOAA Wallpaper and Poster

    John Scala – Alaska Weather Radio Get Computer Voices

    Rick Smith – WCM National Conference Notes

    James Spann – Blitzortung.org

    Aubrey Urbanowicz – Tornado Picture from Sean Schoefer

    SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

    The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, John Scala, Rick Smith, Aubrey Urbanowicz, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

    Categories: Weather

    Showers Hard To Find

    Mon, 06/16/2014 - 15:41

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    RADAR CHECK: Basically no showers are in progress over the northern half of the state at mid-afternoon… a few widely scattered storms are in progress over the southern counties. These storms will fade away once the sun goes down later this evening.

    Temperatures are well below the forecast levels by models; the deep soil moisture is making it hard for us to get into the 90… most spots are in the upper 80s…

    REST OF THE WEEK: The upper ridge across the Deep South won’t change much through mid-week, so days will remain mostly sunny through Thursday with only isolated afternoon storms. The chance of any one spot getting wet each day will only in the 10-20 percent range, with most of the isolated showers coming between 2:00 and 8:00 p.m. Highs will be in the 89-92 degree range.

    No serious change on Friday, only isolated afternoon showers with a high at or just over 90.

    THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Still some evidence the ridge could be a little weaker, with a slow increase in the number of scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday. But still much of the weekend should be rain-free with a high between 89 and 92.

    NEXT WEEK: An approaching surface boundary should bring an increase in the number of showers and storms early next week, with highs dropping back into the 80s. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

    AT THE BEACH: Beautiful weather through the weekend from Panama City west to Gulf Shores; mostly sunny days and fair nights with only a few isolated storms along the way. Highs in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with low 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the low 80s.

    TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected this week.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
    Twitter
    Google Plus
    Instagram

    Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

    Categories: Weather

    Hot and Mostly Dry

    Mon, 06/16/2014 - 06:06

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    HEATING UP: We are finally getting into a more typical summer pattern here in Alabama, with more sunshine, hotter afternoons, and few afternoon storms. A flat 500 mb ridge covers the Deep South setting up the drier pattern thanks to warmer air aloft.

    The high soil moisture levels will keep the afternoon heat in check to some degree, but we still expect a high around 90 today, with low 90s through mid-week. Each day will feature a good supply of sunshine, but understand the chance of rain is not zero. A few isolated showers and storms will fire up during the peak of the daytime heating process, but the chance of any one spot getting wet for the next few days is only about one in five. Here is the HRRR model depiction of what radar should look like this afternoon…

    Showers will fade away quickly once the sun sets.

    LATE THIS WEEK AND THE WEEKEND: The upper ridge will weaken, and with colder air aloft we expect a slow increase in the number of scattered showers and storms. That doesn’t mean the weekend will be all wet, but just a better chance of seeing an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. Highs will drift back into the 88-91 degree range Saturday and Sunday with a mix of sun and clouds both days. And, that pretty much sums up the weather into early next week.

    AT THE BEACH: Looks great this week from Panama City to Gulf Shores, with mostly sunny days, fair nights, and just a few widely scattered storms around. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with low 90s inland. The sea water temperature this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 81 degrees.

    TROPICS: The Atlantic Basin is quiet and tropical storm formation is not expected this week.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
    Twitter
    Google Plus
    Instagram

    Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

    Categories: Weather

    Happy Dad’s Day!

    Sun, 06/15/2014 - 14:35

    A special hats off to all the dads out there. You made us who we are, taught us about bikes and ball and fishing, and helped us navigate the storms of life, showing us where the rocks were. Here’s to you dads!

    SPECIAL DELIVERY WEATHER: Dads all over are getting neckties and golf clubs, but the Weather Office decided to splurge all get all you dads some real summertime weather. Father’s Day 2014 will feature partly cloudy skies with warm sunshine pushing the mercury into the upper 80s generally, and only isolated showers and storms cooked up by the heating of the day. Humidity levels will be high, as one would expect, with dewpoints in the muggy upper 60s.

    EARLY AFTERNOON CHECK: A check of the early afternoon weather across Alabama reveals only fair weather cumulus clouds across the state. A handful of isolated showers had developed by 1:30 in disparate areas of the state. They were moving north northeast. Temperatures were climbing through the 80s. Highs over the Northwest and the South Central parts of the state will top out near 90F, with upper 80s elsewhere.

    FORESHADOWED FORECAST: The previous paragraph gives a hint that more warm weather is in store for Central Alabama. The factor giving us the hot weather will be a ridge of high pressure currently centered over Georgia that will be flexing its muscles and expanding its influence over the Southeast. It will hold strong through the rest of the work week ahead, beginning to break down by Friday or Saturday. Til then, the forecast will be rather singsong: partly cloudy skies, slightly hot high temperatures in the lower 90s, muggy overnight lows in the lower 70s, and only widely scattered afternoon thundershowers that die out slowly during the evening.

    Categories: Weather

    Summer-ish Week Ahead

    Sun, 06/15/2014 - 06:51

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    Happy Father’s Day for 2014! And it looks like we’re going to be feeling the grip of summer for the week ahead with a somewhat monotonous forecast as highs climb into the 90s with a daily risk for isolated to scattered showers.

    The weather forecast comes about because of the building ridge over the eastern half of the country. The ridge is forecast to build in strong with a major ridge axis from about Lake Charles, LA, to Chicago, IL. The ridge builds for the first half of the week until Thursday and then begins to ebb somewhat under the onslaught of a strong trough/closed low coming across the northern Rockies. The ridge will dampen somewhat but maintains a sizable ridge from East Texas to the Great Lakes. So our atmosphere will see little in the way of change in conditions with enough moisture and good daytime heating to allow some showers to develop each day.

    I think based on precipitable water forecasts that today will be essentially dry like we saw Saturday with only an isolated shower or two mainly over the southern half of Alabama. Without any strong changes in moisture fields, daytime heating will be the primary driving force in shower production. With the increase of temperatures we’ll need to keep an eye on summertime microburst potential each day.

    At the Beach: Great looking weather if you are heading to the beach. There is roughly a fifteen degree diurnal temperature range each day with highs in the mid 80s and lows in the lower 70s. Rain chances remain rather low with only a few passing storms during the afternoon. There will certainly be more sun than clouds and the UV index is categorized as EXTREME, so make sure you wear sunscreen if taking to the beach. Water temperatures range from 78-81 from the west end of Dauphin Island to St. Andrew’s Bay in Panama City.

    The tropical Atlantic Basin remains quiet while Tropical Storm Cristina in the Pacific continues to weaken toward depression status.

    Looking further afield, the GFS is not so bullish on developing any significant tropical systems on the latest run, however, it still suggests the potential for a late June cold front for the Southeast US with the development of a trough over the eastern US.

    And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

    James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

    James Spann will have the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video first thing on Monday morning. Enjoy your Sunday and Godspeed.

    -Brian-

    Categories: Weather

    Warm and Muggy Saturday

    Sat, 06/14/2014 - 12:28

    Not a bad looking Saturday across the region. Most areas are seeing a mix of sun and clouds and most locations are actually seeing mostly sunny conditions. There were some areas of fog over our southern counties this morning, but that has since mixed out. As the temps have continued to climb, we started seeing see some of those cumulus clouds bubbling up across the Alabama landscape.

    With many areas seeing more sun than clouds, that is allowing temps to warm up nicely this afternoon and most locations are into 80s. We will continue to see these reading climb the next couple of hours before the majority of us reach the mid to upper 80s for afternoon highs. We could see a few areas get some heat relief in the form of a passing afternoon shower or storm, but for the most part, most locations will remain dry today.

    Categories: Weather

    Mostly Dry Weekend, Warmer Temps Ahead

    Sat, 06/14/2014 - 06:58

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    A bit of a stationary boundary – hate to use the term front this time of year – was lying across Central Alabama this morning, and low level moisture was contributing to some fog across mainly the northern half of Alabama. Visibility was reduced to less than a mile in some spots but the fog should burn off fairly quickly with the rising sun. Dew points across the northern half of the state were generally in the 50s while readings were in the middle 60s across the southern section showing the slight difference in the atmosphere and hence the boundary. This should be enough to keep the northern half of the state dry today with only isolated showers possible across South Alabama and the coast.

    The upper ridge will be gradually building into the eastern half of the country over the next several days. This will have two primary impacts on our weather. First, temperatures will gradually rise with widespread readings in the 90s by Tuesday and through much of the rest of the week. Second, it means a return of daily shower chances to the Southeast US.

    The upper ridge is forecast to remain strong into the latter part of next week. A strong trough moving out of the northern Rockies by Friday should begin to cut into the ridge somewhat and bring our temperatures back closer to the 90-degree mark for highs. While verging on voodoo country, the GFS and the ECMWF are in reasonably good agreement on the approach of a cold front from the north and northwest next weekend. By suppressing the ridge somewhat and with increased clouds, temperatures should moderate a little with readings still warm but closer to seasonal values.

    And be sure to watch the Weather Xtreme Video for a look at the potential for tropical mischief and perhaps a late June pattern that could signal cooler, wet weather for us.

    Gulf Beaches: Nice weather along the beautiful sandy beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida in the days ahead. Highs will be in the upper 80s and lows will be in the lower 70s. Skies will be partly cloudy with only widely scattered storms in the forecast.

    Tropics remain quiet in the Atlantic Basin while Hurricane Cristina moves westward in the Southeast Pacific.

    And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

    James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

    I expect to have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted by 8 am or so on Sunday morning. Enjoy the day and Godspeed.

    -Brian-

    Categories: Weather

    Mostly Dry Weekend Ahead

    Fri, 06/13/2014 - 15:28

    **No Weather Xtreme video today… I am in Gadsden for live weather from Riverfest on ABC 33/40 News at 4, 5, and 6pm**

    This afternoon’s discussion comes from Ryan Stinnett….

    FRIDAY THE 13TH: No unlucky weather today, but we did have a round of rain with some rumbles of thunder move through this morning. This afternoon, we are seeing a mostly to partly cloudy sky and muggy conditions. We will maintain the risk of some scattered convection the rest of today, especially to the east, but in the upper-levels we are seeing some dry air work into the state. This dry air should allow us to decrease our rain chances heading through the overnight hours. With the clouds hanging tough, our afternoon highs remain below normal values and most locations will only see lower 80s.

    RADAR CHECK: Most areas remain rain free, but we do have a few showers showing up on the old WSR-88D this afternoon. The isolated showers we are seeing are few and far between, and are mostly to the north of the Interstate 20 corridor. At 2 :30 there was a thunderstorm over Winston County moving towards the south, and we are likely to see convection through the rest of the afternoon.

    FOR THE WEEKEND: Saturday and Sunday look fairly decent. It appears we stay mostly dry tomorrow, with a few more showers for Sunday. We will see more sun than clouds both days. Expect warm afternoon with highs in the upper 80s for most locals and muggy and mild overnights as lows will range from 67-71.

    SEVERE WEATHER: There are two risks across the northern and southern Plains today, where large hail and damaging winds are expected. For Saturday, the SPC is expecting quite the severe weather event in the Central Plains and have issued a moderate risk for parts of Nebraska, Iowa, and Kansas. Damaging winds and tornadoes are possible, but the greatest threat appears to be hail. Forecast discussions across the risk area have the wording “giant hail” which is very rare. Hail baseball to softball size will be possible.

    HURRICANE CRISTINA: Is weakening as she tracks west across the eastern Pacific. After having winds of 150 mph yesterday, her winds are down to 100 mph. For the Atlantic, no activity to mention and nothing is expected over the next several days.

    AT THE BEACH: If you are heading down to the Gulf, the weather should cooperate. Scattered showers and storms today, but heading into the weekend the convection becomes more isolated. A few storms will develop along the sea breeze each afternoon, but overall, there will be a mix of sun and clouds. Expect 6-8 hours of sun each day, and highs in the mid-80s, with overnights in the mid-70s. Water temps are mighty nice and are in the lower 80s from Panama City to Gulf Shores.

    NEXT WEEK: The ridge is still expected to build in over the Southeast and that will lead to lower rain chances and warmer temps. We should see mainly afternoon convection that will be driven by the heat of the day and will wind down each evening once the sun sets. Early in the week, highs should be in the upper 80s, but heading through the week, those are likely to creep up into the 90s.

    My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted by 7:00 a.m. Monday. Enjoy the weekend!

    Categories: Weather

    Wet At Times Today; A Drier Weekend

    Fri, 06/13/2014 - 06:08

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    FRIDAY THE 13TH: A batch of showers and strong storms is moving through Central Alabama at daybreak…

    This mass of rain will move southeast over the next few hours with some thunder and lightning, but the storms involved will be below severe limits.

    REST OF THE DAY: The high resolution HRRR model hints the most organized this morning will be along and south of I-20, with showers to the north being more scattered in nature. Still, all of Alabama will have a chance of showers and storms today with a mostly cloudy sky and a high in the mid 80s. Showers will fade away early tonight as drier air begins to push into the state.

    DRIER WEEKEND: The Alabama weekend continues to look mostly rain-free. A few isolated showers could show up somewhere during the afternoon hours, but the chance of any one spot getting wet is only about one in ten both days. Afternoon highs rise into the upper 80s with a good supply of sunshine both days.

    NEXT WEEK: Looks like a pretty routine summer weather pattern. Partly sunny days, with the chance of a few spots seeing an afternoon shower of thunderstorm. Probability of any one spot getting wet each afternoon will run in the 20-30 percent range, with potential for higher shower coverage late in the week. Highs will be pretty close to 90 degrees. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

    TROPICS: The Atlantic basin is quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through early next week.

    AT THE BEACH: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day through early next week from Panama City to Gulf Shores with a few scattered showers and storms. Highs on the coast in the 80s, with sea water temperatures mostly in the low 80s.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
    Twitter
    Google Plus
    Instagram

    I will be live from Riverfest in Gadsden this evening on ABC 33/40 News at 4, 5, and 6:00… so no afternoon video today, but I will post some forecast notes this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

    Categories: Weather

    Central Mississippi Storms Holding Together

    Fri, 06/13/2014 - 00:52

    Strong storms tonight from Greenwood to Grenada/Winona to near Houston to west of Starkville are rotating east southeastward tonight and will reach West Alabama’s Pickens County before 2:30 a.m.

    They will reach Tuscaloosa by 3:30 a.m. and the Birmingham area by 4:30 a.m.

    They contain lots of lightning and torrential rains and gusty winds.

    They are not expected to be severe, but a few isolated severe reports are possible.

    We will monitor them through the night.

    Categories: Weather

    Storms Weaker, But Still Packing a Punch

    Fri, 06/13/2014 - 00:13

    No more reports of severe weather have been received in the last 90 minutes from the storms near Caledonia MS, so the NWS Memphis has opted to issue a significant weather alert for Lowndes County MS instead of a severe thunderstorm warning.

    You can see that the lead storms have gusted out with an outflow boundary having emanated from them.

    The storms across northern Mississippi are not producing severe weather, but they are causing lots of lightning and torrential rains.

    The storms have left a legacy of flash flood warnings across northern Mississippi.

    There could be a few isolated reports of severe weather as the storms progress east southeastward into our state.

    Categories: Weather

    Northern Mississippi Storms Heading Our Way

    Thu, 06/12/2014 - 23:36

    Heavy thunderstorms are over northern Mississippi tonight, and as we expected, they are about to enter Northwest Alabama.

    The lead storm is near Aberdeen MS and has a severe thunderstorm warning on it.

    This storm is less than an hour from Alabama’s Lamar County.

    Additional intense storms near Grenada and from Water Valley back to Batesville in Mississippi are packing a punch too, although they are not severe.

    Everything is moving ESE at about 20 mph.

    Categories: Weather

    Showers/Storms Increase Tomorrow

    Thu, 06/12/2014 - 15:40

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    RADAR CHECK: We have just a few isolated showers over East Alabama this afternoon… a large percentage of Alabama is rain-free for a change. Temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

    The showers over East Alabama will end this evening.

    TO THE WEST: SPC maintains the standard “slight risk” of severe weather through tonight from Mississippi to Texas, where a short wave will bring strong to severe storms. These storms will likely enter West Alabama very early tomorrow morning, possibly before daybreak.

    Tomorrow will feature a mostly cloudy sky, with a few showers and storms likely. It could very well be a situation where the best chance of rain will come during the morning hours, but we will carry the chance of showers through the afternoon. While a few strong storms are possible, organized severe weather is not expected, and rain amounts of around 1/2 to 3/4 inch are likely with a high in the low to mid 80s.

    THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Our weather is looking generally dry Saturday and Sunday. Partly to mostly sunny both days with only isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Chance of any one spot getting wet both days is only about one in eight, and the high will be mostly in the upper 80s.

    NEXT WEEK: The GFS model is suggesting the upper high will form around the North Carolina coast, and here in Alabama we will roll with a typical summer forecast for the first half of the week. Mixed sun and clouds each day Monday through Wednesday with the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. Highs will be in the 87-90 degree range.

    Showers and storms should increase late in the week on Thursday and Friday as a surface boundary approaches from the north. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

    TROPICS: The Atlantic basin is quiet, but over in the East Pacific Hurricane Cristina, off the coast of Mexico, is packing sustained winds of 150 mph. It will not impact any land area, and will weaken this weekend as it moves over colder water.

    GULF COAST WEATHER: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day through the weekend, with a few scattered showers and storms possible. Showers will thin out Saturday and Sunday… highs will remain in the 80s, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the low 80s.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
    Twitter
    Google Plus
    Instagram

    Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

    Categories: Weather

    More Storms Late Tonight/Early Friday

    Thu, 06/12/2014 - 12:46

    It is not hard to find our upper low this morning. It still shows up clearly in regional radar mosaics and visible satellite imagery over North Georgia. You can see that in the larger panel of the graphic.

    Click image to enlarge.

    There is one severe thunderstorm warning over South Georgia, but it is of no consequence to Alabama.

    To the west, there is a large slight risk severe weather outlook from Central Mississippi back into Texas. A complex of thunderstorms over East Texas will spread eastward into increasingly unstable air and will produce a threat of severe weather across much of Louisiana , southern Arkansas and into western Mississippi tonight.

    You can see the severe weather outlook and current radar in the top left panel of the graphic.

    Temperatures are climbing through into or through the lower 80s now across Central Alabama. There is a nice field of cumulus clouds developing in the slightly unstable air over the state in the wake of the upper low. There could be a few isolated showers and storms this afternoon, but precipitation coverage will be around 20% or less.

    The Texas storms will limp into Alabama after midnight, weakening a bit as they go and organized severe weather is not expected. Look at the lower left panel to see the NAM’s output for what the radar might look like at 4 a.m.

    Categories: Weather