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The latest information on Alabama weather, tornadoes, hurricanes, winter storms, national weather headlines and the science of meteorology in general.
Updated: 17 min 46 sec ago

Frigid January Morning

Mon, 01/11/2016 - 06:55

COLD: Some temperatures reported around sunrise across Alabama…

Ardmore 12
Mentone 14
Haleyville 17
Cullman 18
Decatur 18
Gadsden (Noccalula Falls) 19
Concord 19
Sycamore 19
Fort Payne 19
Homewood 20
Coker 21
Alexander City 21
Birmingham 22
Tuscaloosa 22
Anniston 25

We project a partly sunny sky today with a high in the mid 40s for most communities.

TOMORROW THROUGH THURSDAY: Expect another freeze late tonight and early tomorrow, with most spots seeing a low in the mid to upper 20s, then we warm into the low 50s tomorrow afternoon with a good supply of sunshine. A secondary surge of colder air drops in here tomorrow night; that should push highs back into the upper 40s Wednesday, but then we rise into the upper 50s Thursday afternoon. No precipitation on these three days.

FRIDAY/SATURDAY: A wave will bring the risk of some light rain to Alabama; models are not in good agreement, but it looks like the highest chance of rain will come Friday afternoon and Friday night. The European model (ECMWF) is dry Saturday, while the American model (GFS) keeps some risk of light rain going. Friday should be fairly pleasant with a high close to 60, then the high will drop back into the 50s Saturday.

SUNDAY: The day looks cool and dry, with ample sunshine and a high in the upper 40s.

NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND: No sign of any brutally cold Arctic air or winter mischief for at least the next 10 days; see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details. And see the post on the blog below this one “for snow lovers in Alabama”.

And, we note the AO (Arctic Oscillation) will try and go positive later this month, which could be a sign of the flow of colder air being shut off from the Arctic region, and a trend toward warmer temperatures for us. No forecast, just an idea.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Note: we will produce this week’s show tomorrow (Tuesday) night at 8:30 CT.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be doing a weather program today at Eastwood Elementary in Decatur… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

For The Snow Lovers

Sun, 01/10/2016 - 17:18

In the cold air advection pattern over Alabama earlier today, we had a few snow flurries across North Alabama. They didn’t amount to anything, and there was no impact. And, most places didn’t see a single flake. But, it brings out many questions from those looking for something more.

I get so many messages from people asking things like… “I see on my Facebook feed that “they” are forecasting a big winter storm for Alabama in two weeks; what do you think?”. I wrote this essay last week on the “social media-rologist dilemma”… which describes the problem.

The truth is that just about every day in winter, you can poke around and find a deterministic global computer model run that depicts a big southern snow storm in 15 days or so. And, of course, most of that is pure “voodoo” that never happens. Much like the tropical storms and hurricanes that show up in the medium range with global models in summer.

So, what about winter weather potential for Alabama for the rest of January?

The latest (12Z) global model run today by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, the ECMWF, which tends to have better accuracy in the medium range, suggests no measurable snow for Alabama through early next week.

But, the same model (EPS ensemble) suggests the pattern will remain relatively cold through the rest of the month across the Deep South.

During an El Nino winter, a southern storm stream usually remains fairly active, and we will have to watch for waves undercutting cold air; my concern I wrote about six months ago, and my concern even today, still involves freezing rain and ice as opposed to snow since cold air intrusions in this situation tend to be pretty shallow. And, we are certainly overdue for an ice storm.

During any winter in Alabama we almost have one or two decent “winter storm” threats, and I am sure we will have them this season. When? I have no idea. But, a good chance it won’t happen in the next seven days. We will just have to wait and see.

You won’t see 2/3/4 week snow forecasts here since there is no skill set in identifying specific forecast details beyond a week. In the words of Jason Samenow at the Washington Post’s Capital Weather Gang, “If it’s beyond a week, it reeks.” With many winter storm situations, we struggle to get it right 24 hours in advance. As soon as there is solid evidence of winter weather mischief (not three snow flakes), we will write about it.

Categories: Weather

Clearing Coming, Coldest Night of the Season Tonight

Sun, 01/10/2016 - 14:23

A few snow flurries were flying across parts of North and Central Alabama on this rather miserable January Sunday. Everyone is cloudy and cold, with a thick layer of low stratus and temperatures in the 30s. Wind chills are in the 20s almost area wide with a brisk northwesterly wind averaging 10-20 mph. Winds are gusting to over 20 mph over South Alabama.

Clearing was working in from the northwest and most areas (at least along and northwest of I-20) should see sunshine by the end of the day.

Temperatures will continue to fall through the remainder of the day, reaching freezing before 6 p.m. in areas along and north of I-20.

COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON: Tonight will easily be the coldest night of the year across North and Central Alabama. The coldest so far this season at Birmingham was 27F on November 23rd. Lows tonight will range from 18F at Hamilton to 20F at Birmingham to 24F at Auburn and Montgomery.

Tomorrow will be mostly sunny and cool, with highs topping out in the lower and middle 40s under a partly cloudy sky.

Categories: Weather

Cold Day for Central Alabama

Sun, 01/10/2016 - 14:13

There’s no doubt that the cold air has arrived in Central Alabama. Temperatures have gone almost no where today as a result of the very strong cold air advection that is underway. The detailed Birmingham weather observations show that the temperature has been as high as 39 and as low as 36 today.

Perhaps, as the sky clears from the west and northwest and we get a little bit more sunshine during the afternoon, it will add a couple of degrees to the air temperature, but don’t look for much warming.

Coldest morning of the current winter season is expected Monday morning. Look for lows in the lower 20s with some of those normally colder locations to fall into the upper teens (16 to 19). The last time the low temperature reached 22 degrees or lower in Birmingham was March 6, 2015, about 10 months ago. In fact, the Birmingham low temperature dipped to 22 degrees or lower only 10 times during 2015.

Temperatures are expected to remain fairly chilly through the middle of the week.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Cold Air Arrives

Sun, 01/10/2016 - 07:59

The rain moved out of Alabama last night as the cold front swept through the state dropping temperatures into the 30s this morning. A few snow flurries were being reported at scattered locations across the Tennessee River Valley, but this extremely light precipitation was not showing up on area radars. The clouds were hanging tough all the way back to Memphis, so most of Central and North Alabama is expected to remain cloudy today. There may be a few thin spots in the clouds as well as the potential for the clearing skies to reach western sections of Central Alabama late this afternoon. Cold air advection is firmly established, so we may not see temperatures climb out of the 30s for many locations across Central and North Alabama. A northwest wind at 10 to 15 mph will just make it feel that much colder.

The combination of surface high pressure along with the upper trough over the eastern half of the country will keep us pretty chilly through Wednesday with lows each morning below freezing. Highs will be in the 40s. The upper trough moves eastward on Thursday as the upper flow over the Southeast US becomes more westerly in response to a short wave trough over the Southwest US. This modification should see temperatures warm a tad with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s.

Yesterday we were dealing with some pretty significant model differences for the end of the week and into the weekend. Those differences have disappeared as the ECMWF as joined the GFS in bringing the short wave trough a little further south resulting in the surface low forming in the middle Gulf of Mexico. Yet another fast moving short wave dives out of the Rockies on Friday and that one is followed by another one on Saturday. That second trough moves by on Sunday. The GFS is trying to generate some scattered precipitation for the Southeast US for Friday and the weekend. Not sure there will be enough moisture to wring out much rain, so for now will include only slight chances for precipitation.

The GFS does indicate some light snow across Tennessee and points northeast as the surface low gets cranked up just off the Southeast US coast. The wrap around kind of moisture does not typically result in significant snow events. Central Alabama temperatures will likely be around 40 for lows with highs in the 50s.

Once again the screaming message from voodoo country is the active pattern. Short waves capable of bringing precipitation to Central Alabama will scoot by around the 19th and the 21st with another cold look to the pattern by the end of the period around the 25th.

Thanks for staying tuned to the blog. James Spann will have the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video on Monday morning. I’m filling in for Meaghan Thomas this weekend, so you can catch the latest weather forecast on ABC 3340 at 5 and 10 pm this evening.

Stay warm and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Potentially Strong Thunderstorms N MS

Sat, 01/09/2016 - 13:56

For the area previously outlooked by SPC with a marginal rating, it continues to look like we may see some strong thunderstorms, but in their mesoscale discussion, SPC does not anticipate issuing a watch.

A strong vorticity maxima was moving across Arkansas while radar showed a broken line of convection from just southeast of Memphis southward through the western portion of Mississippi. While satellite imagery has shown some breaks in the clouds across portions of Mississippi, temperatures have only risen to around 60 or 61 degrees. Dew points remain low, too, with those values in the lower and middle 50s. This little bit of heating has allowed CAPE values to rise into the 250 to 500 j/kg range. There appears to be some shear, but it looks like the severe weather threat would be limited to some hail and some gusty wind. Even those are limited somewhat by relatively weak low level lapse rates.

For most of Alabama the weather will remain dreary with additional light rain possible through the afternoon and evening hours. Rain chances will dive toward zero as soon as the front passes your location with a switch in the wind to the west-northwest. Frontal passage at Birmingham is projected to come at or slightly after midnight tonight.

Naturally the conditions will be watched for any further development, but for now it looks like storms should remain below severe limits.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Dreary Day

Sat, 01/09/2016 - 12:46

A dreary day across Central and North Alabama with a fairly dense overcast shutting out the sun. This was keeping temperatures in the 50s for nearly all of Alabama with the exception of Mobile where temperatures were in the lower 60s.

The surface low was just north of Memphis just before noon with the cold front moving out of Arkansas and Louisiana into Mississippi. Still looks like the front will move through Alabama this evening and early Sunday dropping our temperatures into the 30s by sunrise on Sunday. With strong cold air advection underway Sunday, temperatures at many locations across Central and North Alabama will struggle to get out of the 30s. South of the Interstate 20 corridor, places should reach the lower 40s, but even those temperatures are about 12 degrees below the 30-year average temperatures for January 9th.

The work week will remain pretty cold for Central Alabama with lows in the 20s and lower 30s while highs remain in the 40s and lower 50s.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Wet Today; Cold Sunday

Sat, 01/09/2016 - 08:33

Latest radar image composite across the Southeast US shows rain pushing east into Alabama as a surface low over the Lower Mississippi River Valley pushes northeastward into the eastern Great Lakes. This will result in a rather wet day for much of Alabama with temperatures remaining somewhat mild as highs reach the 57 to 61 range. Some spots, especially in Northwest Alabama, could hear some thunder with the extreme northwest corner of Alabama and much of the northern two thirds of Mississippi within a marginal risk area defined by SPC. As this system pushes east later today and tonight, the instability values will come down as we begin to focus on the arrival of some pretty cold air.

In fact, it looks like we will see some of the coldest air of this winter season arrive Sunday and Monday. Temperatures across Alabama will plummet into the 30s behind the front as the front barrels through the state tonight and early Sunday. By the time to wake up on Sunday morning temperatures will be in the 30s. And Sunday is likely to be a rather raw day with clouds sticking around, a stiff northwest wind at 12 to 17 mph, and the afternoon highs struggling to get out of the 30s for many spots. The Sunday afternoon highs should be in the 38 to 41 range. Sounds crazy to call the lower 40s warm, isn’t it?

The upper trough that will help to usher in the cold air tonight and Sunday will remain in place over the eastern half of the country through Wednesday. This means morning lows in the 20s and afternoon highs in the 40s for the first half of the week.

And then the forecast really gets interesting and challenging. The interest and challenge come from the difference in how the two major long range models handle the next system. They do agree on the overall scenario, but the placement of the features is different, so there is a good deal of uncertainty in the forecast for the latter half of the week.

Wednesday into Thursday a fairly strong short wave trough will eject from the Southwest US into the northern Gulf. This sets up the situation of cold air at the surface with warmer, moist air coming out of the Southwest US. The GFS tracks the trough further south than the ECMWF with a surface low developing in the Central Gulf of Mexico. Since the ECMWF does not take the upper trough as far south, that model develops a surface low just off the Central Gulf Coast tracking it eastward across North Florida into the Southwest Atlantic. These two solutions result in very different weather forecasts for North and Central Alabama. The GFS presents a cold rain scenario while the ECMWF forecast presents a snow event for Central and North Alabama (see graphic).

Faced with the uncertainty in the two models, the best course of action is to keep a chance of rain in the forecast. The presence of a potential snow event in one model from one run five days out is NOT cause to start drastic action like changing travel plans and closing schools or businesses. This is the kind of situation where we carefully watch how future model runs handle this situation and take steps to adjust the forecast if necessary. So this definitely qualifies as a “stay tuned” situation.

The strong upper trough moves off into the Atlantic on Friday with another one coming into the Central Plains by Friday afternoon. We should see a dry day on Friday with temperatures pretty close to seasonal values with lows in the lower 30s and highs in the lower 50s.

A new upper trough digs into West Texas on Saturday which could bring another round of precipitation to Alabama on Sunday the 17th.

Big football games today and Monday. Jacksonville State plays North Dakota State for the FCS National Championship today in Frisco, TX, north of Dallas with an 11:00 am kickoff. Expect a mix of sun and clouds; just a small risk of light rain or a snow shower this morning. Temperatures will be on the chilly side with temperatures in the lower 40s falling into the 30s during the game.

The FBS National Championship game, Alabama vs Clemson, is Monday at Glendale, AZ, with a 7:30 pm kickoff. Despite a good bit of rain for Phoenix this week, the weather looks cool and dry for the game with temperatures falling from the mid 50s at kickoff into the upper 40s by the second half. The stadium has a roof, but it will be pretty chilly walking to and from your transportation.

The screaming message from the forecast maps in voodoo country is that we are going to remain in an active pattern. After the system goes by on Sunday, the 17th, it will be followed by another one around the 22nd. And by the end of the period, the overall pattern sticks with a chilly look with a sizable trough along the East Coast of the US.

I’ll be filling in for Meaghan Thomas this weekend, so you can catch the latest forecast at 6 and 10 pm this evening on ABC 3340. I plan to post the next Weather Xtreme Video here by 8 am or so on Sunday morning. Enjoy the day, stay dry, and get ready for some chilly weather. Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Rain/Storms Tomorrow; Much Colder Sunday

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 16:28

THIS AFTERNOON: The sky is generally cloudy across Alabama this afternoon, although we do have a few breaks in the overcast. No rain on radar, and temperatures are generally in the 50s.

TOMORROW: We will deal with periods of rain and a few thunderstorms as the weekend begins. High resolution model data suggests a good chance of rain from about 6:00 a.m. until 2:00 p.m., and perhaps one more band of showers and storms late in the day after 4 p.m. SPC maintains a “marginal” risk of severe storms for parts of North and West Alabama, and on the Gulf Coast…

It is a typical January “low CAPE, high shear” type event. There will be some low topped cells during the day that could very well try to rotate thanks to strong low level helicity values. The overall threat is not very high, but still we will need to keep a close eye on radar for potential for a small spin-up tornado somewhere. We should reach the low 60s tomorrow afternoon.

COLD AIR RETURNS SUNDAY: It won’t be a “Chamber of Commerce” kind of day; Sunday will be windy and cold with a gusty north wind, lingering clouds, some drizzle, and temperatures falling through the 30s during the day. A few snow flurries are possible in the cold air over the northern third of Alabama, but no impact is expected. Communities near the Tennessee border could hold in the upper 20s all day.

NEXT WEEK: Cold and dry weather is the story Monday through Thursday; a secondary surge of cold air arrives Tuesday night. Coldest mornings will be Monday, Wednesday, and Thursday with temperatures in the 18-22 degree range. It should be the coldest week so far this season. Temperatures moderate late in the week, and some light rain is possible Friday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Tomorrow, Jacksonville State plays North Dakota State for the FCS National Championship tomorrow in Frisco, Texas (north of Dallas; 11:00a CT kickoff). Expect a mix of sun and clouds; no significant risk of rain. Temperatures will rise from 42 degrees at kickoff, to near 46 by the final whistle.

The FBS National Championship game, Alabama vs Clemson, is Monday at Glendale, Arizona (7:30p CT kickoff). Despite a good bit of rain for Phoenix this week, the weather looks cool and dry for the game with temperatures falling from the mid 50s at kickoff, into the upper 40s by the second half. The stadium has a roof, but it will be pretty chilly walking to and from your transportation.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for my next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. Monday… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Categories: Weather

Rain Tomorrow; Much Colder Sunday

Fri, 01/08/2016 - 07:21

MILD, MOSTLY DRY TODAY: We are well above freezing this morning, with most communities in the upper 40s and low 50s at daybreak. Expect a high in the low 60s today with mostly cloudy sky; most communities will be dry, although a touch of drizzle is possible in spots.

WET START TO THE WEEKEND: A deepening surface low will be near Memphis tomorrow, and will spread rain into the state during the day. It won’t rain all day, but rain is likely at times, and a few thunderstorms are possible. In fact, SPC has a “marginal” risk of severe weather defined for Northwest Alabama, and along the Gulf Coast…

A few low topped storms are possible tomorrow, with potential for some small hail and gusty winds, but the overall severe weather threat is low with very limited instability values. Most places will see a high back in the low 60s tomorrow afternoon.

FRIGID AIR BLOWS IN SUNDAY: Sunday looks like a cold and raw day with lingering clouds, a gusty north wind of 10-20 mph, and a little drizzle in spots. In fact, snow flurries are possible over far North Alabama Sunday in the colder air, but no impact from them. Temperatures will fall into the 30s during the day, and the north wind will make it feel colder. Places like Huntsville, Athens, and Scottsboro could drop below freezing by afternoon.

NEXT WEEK: The weather looks generally cold and dry. A secondary surge of cold air arrives Wednesday; looks like the coldest mornings will come early Monday and Thursday, with lows between 18 and 23. Many North Alabama communities won’t get out of the 30s Wednesday when that second surge of cold air arrives.
Moisture levels will rise late in the week, and global models suggest a rather robust storm system could impact the state the following weekend (January 16-17) with rain, and another shot of colder air. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Tomorrow, Jacksonville State plays North Dakota State for the FCS National Championship tomorrow in Frisco, Texas (north of Dallas; 11:00a CT kickoff). Expect a mix of sun and clouds; no significant risk of rain. Temperatures will rise from 42 degrees at kickoff, to near 46 by the final whistle.

The FBS National Championship game, Alabama vs Clemson, is Monday at Glendale, Arizona (7:30p CT kickoff). Despite a good bit of rain for Phoenix this week, the weather looks cool and dry for the game with temperatures falling from the mid 50s at kickoff, into the upper 40s by the second half. The stadium has a roof, but it will be pretty chilly walking to and from your transportation.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day.

Categories: Weather

Light Rain Tonight; More Cold Air By Sunday

Thu, 01/07/2016 - 16:09

THIS AFTERNOON: With a cloudy sky, temperatures are generally in the low to mid 50s across North/Central Alabama. To the south, rain is becoming widespread along the Alabama Gulf Coast, and that same feature will bring some light rain at times to the northern half of the state tonight. The main window for rain will come from 5:00 p.m. until 3:00 a.m., and amounts will be under 1/4 inch in most places. We won’t drop below the mid 40s tonight with the clouds and light rain.

TOMORROW: Clouds linger during the day, but it should be mostly rain-free with a pleasant afternoon. We are forecasting a high between 59 and 63 degrees, about 5 to 10 degrees above average for early January.

MORE RAIN SATURDAY: We will have a wet day as the weekend begins. A deepening surface low will be just northwest of Memphis at midday, and we will forecast occasional rain through the day. Some surface based instability will be available, and a few thunderstorms are possible as well, but there is no risk of severe weather. The high Saturday will be in the low 60s, but don’t get used to the milder conditions.

Another shot of cold air blows in here Sunday with a brisk north wind. It will be a breezy, cold, and raw day with a cloudy sky and some drizzle at times. Temperatures will settle into the 38-43 degree range, and a north wind of 10-20 mph will make it feel colder. A few snow flurries are possible over far North Alabama Sunday in the colder air, but no impact is expected.

NEXT WEEK: The week looks cold and dry. We should be well below freezing each morning, with highs generally in the 40s. Seems like the next opportunity for rain will come around Saturday January 16… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Saturday, Jacksonville State plays North Dakota State for the FCS National Championship Saturday in Frisco, Texas (north of Dallas; 11:00a CT kickoff). Expect a mix of sun and clouds; just a small risk of a shower early in the game. Temperatures will rise from 42 degrees at kickoff, to near 46 by the final whistle.

The FBS National Championship game, Alabama vs Clemson, is Monday at Glendale, Arizona (7:30p CT kickoff). Despite a good bit of rain for Phoenix this week, the weather looks cool and dry for the game with temperatures falling from the mid 50s at kickoff, into the upper 40s by the second half. The stadium has a roof, but it will be pretty chilly walking to and from your transportation.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Some Rain Tonight; Wet Start To The Weekend

Thu, 01/07/2016 - 06:46

NOT MUCH SUN THROUGH THE WEEKEND: We are starting off the day in the 35-40 degree range at most places, and we rise into the low to mid 50s this afternoon. The sky will be mostly cloudy, but the day should be generally dry. Then, tonight, some light rain is likely across the state. Moisture will be limited, and rain amounts will be under 1/4 inch for most spots; a few communities might not see enough rain to measure.

Then, tomorrow will be mostly cloudy and warmer with an afternoon high close to 60 degrees. The chance of rain during the day will be rather small.

THE WEEKEND: It starts off wet. Rain is likely Saturday as a deepening surface low forms north of Alabama… we will forecast periods of rain, and maybe even a thunderstorm or two as the air becomes unstable. Temperatures will reach the low 60s Saturday afternoon, but there is no risk of severe weather. Rain amounts of 1/2 to 3/4 inch are likely by Saturday night.

Then, Sunday will be breezy, raw, and cold day with lingering clouds, a little drizzle, and falling temperatures. The latest data suggests we settle into the 38-42 degree range by afternoon, with even colder air up north near the Tennessee border. There might even be a few snow flurries in the cold air over the Tennessee Valley, but no impact.

NEXT WEEK: The week is looking generally cold and dry, with temperatures well below average. Highs will be mostly in the 40s, and lows generally in the 20s, but Wednesday could be a day with highs only in the 30s as a secondary surge of cold air drops into the state.

Both global models show a wave with potential for some rain around Saturday January 16… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Saturday, Jacksonville State plays North Dakota State for the FCS National Championship Saturday in Frisco, Texas (north of Dallas; 11:00a CT kickoff). Expect a mix of sun and clouds; just a small risk of a shower early in the game. Temperatures will rise from 42 degrees at kickoff, to near 46 by the final whistle.

The FBS National Championship game, Alabama vs Clemson, is Monday at Glendale, Arizona (7:30p CT kickoff). Despite a good bit of rain for Phoenix this week, the weather looks cool and dry for the game with temperatures falling from the mid 50s at kickoff, into the upper 40s by the second half. The stadium has a roof, but it will be pretty chilly walking to and from your transportation.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Slow Warm-Up Ahead; Wet Start To The Weekend

Wed, 01/06/2016 - 15:34

THIS AFTERNOON: Temperatures are generally in the 48-52 degree range across North/Central Alabama, with a good supply of sunshine through high clouds. Clouds will thicken tonight, and most communities will stay above freezing with a low in the mid 30s.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: A slow warming trend continues; we expect a high in the mid 50s tomorrow, and Friday’s high will be very close to 60 degrees. The sky will be mostly cloudy both days, and we will continue to mention the risk of a little scattered light rain tomorrow night. But, amounts will be light and spotty, and some places won’t get enough rain to measure with very limited moisture.

WET BEGINNING TO THE WEEKEND: A surface low will pass north of Alabama Saturday, and the day looks pretty wet here with rain at times through the day. There might even be a bit of thunder in spots with temperatures rising up into the low 60s, but there is no risk of severe weather, and there won’t be any flooding issues. Rain amounts of 1/2 to 3/4 inch are likely.

Sunday will be raw, breezy, and cold day with clouds hanging tough, a chilly north breeze, and potential for little light rain or drizzle in spots. Looks like temperatures will hover in the 40s through the day, maybe even falling into the 30s over far North Alabama. A few snow flurries are even possible Sunday evening near the Tennessee border, but no impact is expected if that happens.

NEXT WEEK: Global models have backed off a little on the depth of the cold air expected to drop in here; we will forecast highs in the 40s and lows in the 20s Monday and Tuesday, with slow moderation for the rest of the week. The week is looking generally dry; the 12Z GFS run does try and bring a little light rain in here Tuesday, but the European model (ECMWF) shunts that wave far to the south, keeping us dry. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

Still no sign of any winter weather mischief for North Alabama for the next 10 days.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Saturday, Jacksonville State plays North Dakota State for the FCS National Championship Saturday in Frisco, Texas (north of Dallas; 11:00a CT kickoff). Expect a mix of sun and clouds; just a small risk of a shower during the game. Temperatures will rise from 42 degrees at kickoff, to near 45 by the final whistle.

The FBS National Championship game, Alabama vs Clemson, is Monday at Glendale, Arizona (7:30p CT kickoff). Despite a good bit of rain for Phoenix this week, the weather looks cool and dry for the game with temperatures falling from the low 50s at kickoff, into the upper 40s by the second half. The stadium has a roof, but it will be pretty chilly walking to and from your transportation.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today visiting with the 3rd graders at Elvin Hill Elementary in Columbiana… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow..

Categories: Weather

Slow Warm-Up; Rain By Saturday

Wed, 01/06/2016 - 07:10

COLD WINTER MORNING: Temperatures are generally in the 25-32 degree range across the northern half of Alabama this morning with a clear sky. The weather will stay dry today; expect a partly sunny sky with a high around 50 degrees this afternoon.

Tonight won’t be as cold as recent nights; the sky becomes mostly cloudy, and most communities will stay above freezing. Then, tomorrow, we reach the mid 50s by afternoon as the slow warming trend continues. We will mention the risk of a little scattered light rain tomorrow night, but models have trended drier, and rain, if any, will be pretty light and spotty.

FRIDAY: This could be the warmest day out of the next seven; afternoon temperatures should reach the low 60s. The sky will remain mostly cloudy, but the day should be generally dry.

RAIN RETURNS: The weekend will start off wet. A surface low will pass north of the state, and rain should move in during the morning hours, becoming fairly widespread by afternoon. Temperatures will rise to near 60 degrees, and a little thunder is possible in this setup, but no severe weather, and no flooding concerns. Rain amounts of around 1/2 inch are likely by Saturday night.

Then, Sunday looks like a rather chilly, raw day with a cloudy sky, temperatures falling through the 40s, and a little light rain or drizzle.

NEXT WEEK: A new surge of cold air settles in; looks like it could very well be the coldest air so far this season. We will struggle to get out of the 30s Monday, and highs will be in the 40s each day for the rest of the week for most communities. The week looks generally dry, although the European model (ECMWF) shows a wave with some potential for light rain over the southern half of the state Thursday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Saturday, Jacksonville State plays North Dakota State for the FCS National Championship Saturday in Frisco, Texas (north of Dallas; 11:00a CT kickoff). Expect a mix of sun and clouds; just a small risk of a shower during the game. Temperatures will rise from 42 degrees at kickoff, to near 45 by the final whistle.

The FBS National Championship game, Alabama vs Clemson, is Monday at Glendale, Arizona (7:30p CT kickoff). Despite a good bit of rain for Phoenix this week, the weather looks cool and dry for the game with temperatures falling from the low 50s at kickoff, into the upper 40s by the second half. The stadium has a roof, but it will be pretty chilly walking to and from your transportation.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have a weather program this morning at Elvin Hill Elementary in Columbiana… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Warmer Temperatures Later This Week

Tue, 01/05/2016 - 16:10

CHILLY WINTER DAY: Hard to find a cloud in the Alabama sky this afternoon; temperatures are generally in the 40s. We are forecasting another freeze tonight, with most locations reaching the mid to upper 20s early tomorrow.

Temperatures begin to trend upward tomorrow afternoon with low 50s likely; the weather stays dry with a partly sunny sky.

NEXT RAIN: The sky becomes cloudy Thursday, and rain will return to the state late in the day and into Thursday night. Seems like the main window for rain comes from about 4:00 p.m. Thursday through 4:00 a.m. Friday. No severe weather, no flooding, probably no thunder, and rain amounts should be under 1/2 inch.

The warming trend continues Friday; clouds linger much of the day, but we reach the 62-65 degree range by afternoon. It should be the warmest day out of the next seven days.

WET AT TIMES OVER THE WEEKEND: The next wave will bring more rain to Alabama; the rain will begin during the day Saturday. We will maintain the chance of some rain at times into Saturday night and Sunday. Saturday will be relatively mild with a high in the low 60s, but much colder air begins to pour into the state Sunday with temperatures falling through the 40s during the day along with a brisk north wind. Sunday looks like a raw, cold, damp day.

NEXT WEEK: Sure looks like Monday will be coldest day so far this winter. I really don’t think we get out of the 30s despite a decent amount of sun. Temperatures should be well down in the 20s Monday and Tuesday morning, and colder spots should reach the upper teens. Cold air will be the story through the weekend, and for now the global models don’t show any evidence of winter weather mischief. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Saturday, Jacksonville State plays North Dakota State for the FCS National Championship Saturday in Frisco, Texas (north of Dallas; 11:00a CT kickoff). There will be cloudy periods during the game, but for now it looks like a small risk of a shower. Temperatures will rise from 44 degrees at kickoff, to near 47 by the final whistle.

The FBS National Championship game, Alabama vs Clemson, is Monday at Glendale, Arizona (7:30p CT kickoff). Despite a good bit of rain for Phoenix this week, the weather looks cool and dry for the game with temperatures falling from the low 50s at kickoff, into the upper 40s by the second half.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Rain Returns Thursday Night

Tue, 01/05/2016 - 07:31

FRIGID WINTER MORNING: Coldest spot I can find this morning is Russellville, in Franklin County, with 19 degrees. Other colder pockets are in the low 20s; Cullman and Haleyville report 22 just before sunrise. The sky is clear, and the wind is light.

Today will be another sunny but very cool day; most communities will see a high in the upper 40s this afternoon. FYI, the average high for Birmingham for January 5 is 53.

The weather stays dry tomorrow with a partly sunny and a high in the lower 50s.

NEXT RAIN: The sky becomes cloudy Thursday, and the next wave in the southern branch of the jet stream will bring rain to the state late Thursday afternoon and Thursday night; seems like the main window for rain will come from 4:00 p.m. Thursday to 4:00 a.m. Friday. Rain amounts will be 1/2 inch or less, and this time we won’t have any severe weather, probably no thunder, and certainly no flooding.

The day Friday looks generally dry, but the clouds will linger. We reach the low 60s Friday afternoon for a comfortable mid-winter day.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The next wave will bring more rain to the state. Global models are now in agreement on a faster solution, suggesting rain is likely Saturday statewide. Again, no severe weather and no flooding problems, but expect periods of rain throughout the day with an afternoon high in the low 60s. The rain will end Saturday night, and Sunday looks mostly cloudy and colder with a high back in the 40s.

MORE COLD AIR: A cold pattern is setting up for the eastern half of the U.S. next week, as both the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and North Atlantic Oscillation) stay negative. Most computer model output is showing highs in the 40s and lows in the 20s around here, but I do believe there could be a day or two with highs in the 30s and lows in the teens, based on the pattern.

For now the cold snap next week looks generally dry, but I assure you computer models won’t handle this pattern very well a week in advance. We will just have to be vigilant for waves that come through the southern edge of the cold air; the 06Z GFS does show some potential for light rain over far South Alabama Tuesday, but the European (ECMWF) shows nothing. Every run will look different, we will just watch for trends. But, the main message is that next week looks cold, most likely the coldest air we have seen so far this winter. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Saturday, Jacksonville State plays North Dakota State for the FCS National Championship Saturday in Frisco, Texas (north of Dallas; 11:00a CT kickoff). There will be cloudy periods during the game, but for now it looks like a small risk of a shower. Temperatures will rise from 44 degrees at kickoff, to near 47 by the final whistle.

The FBS National Championship game, Alabama vs Clemson, is Monday at Glendale, Arizona (7:30p CT kickoff). Despite a good bit of rain for Phoenix this week, the weather looks cool and dry for the game with temperatures falling from the low 50s at kickoff, into the upper 40s by the second half.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

WeatherBrains 520: Drop the Bomb and Leave

Tue, 01/05/2016 - 06:15

WeatherBrains Episode 520 is now online (January 4, 2016). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Our guest WeatherBrain tonight comes from an encounter at the NWA national conference in Oklahoma City. We’re pleased to welcome Carol Fowler to the show.

Carol Fowler is a senior content strategist and entrepreneur dedicated to great writing, impactful headlines, engaging social conversations, and the best SEO practices. For two decades, she led award-winning media operations, bringing them into the digital age. Carol is committed to combining the best of proven storytelling with social media and new technologies to maximize engagement through relevant, quality content. She’s experienced with using data on daily basis to guide content decisions about audience interest, i.e. Google Analytics, Webmaster Tools, AdWords, and is partial to Word Press and Adobe Photoshop for content creation. Carol has been recognized for her exceptional skills in marrying various mediums (i.e. text, video, social media) to provide context for new audiences, with shorter attention spans, who self-select content and find out what’s happening on-the-go.

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Extremes: 72 at Pembroke Pines, Opa-Locka, & Key West, FL, and -19 at Moose, WY
  • There is a lack of severe weather across the country
  • Rather cold weather across eastern much of US
  • Astronomy Outlook with Tony Rice
  • and more!

Our email bag officer was overcome by unexpected guests, so she’ll have your notes and emails next week. But James promised to read at least one email.

From The Weather Center:

WeatherBrains 101: Just about everyone interested in the weather has heard about the jet stream. But just what is a jet stream and what role does it play in weather? That’s the topic for the latest 101 episode for the start of 2016.

Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

Web Sites from Episode 520:

KloboMedia

The Soc Reports

Lake Superior State University banned words

To subscribe to the brand new SkyWritings, an email newsletter from the WeatherBrains gang, click HERE.

Picks of the Week:

Brian Peters – Summary of historic flooding and tornado, Dec. 23-25, 2015

Carol Fowler – would love feedback

James Spann – Spann’s Discussion of “Social Media-orologists”

Kevin Selle – Troll complains about pregnant OKC meteorologist

Nate Johnson – Map of outlook days in 2015

Rick Smith – Examples of Horrific Construction

SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Dr. John Scala, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.


WeatherBrains is a proud affiliate of NetAtmo Weather Stations.

Easy to install and affordable. Get your’s today!

You can monitor your data on iOS 4 or higher, Android 4.0 or higher, or a Windows Phone 8.0 or higher.

Categories: Weather

Into The 20s Late Tonight

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 16:12

COLD NIGHT AHEAD: Temperatures for many communities north of Birmingham are only in the upper 30s at mid-afternoon despite maximum sunshine. Once the sun goes down, temperatures will fall quickly and we project a low in the 22-26 degree range early tomorrow for most places. We might even hear of upper teens across the coldest valleys of North Alabama with a clear sky and light wind.

The weather stays cool and dry tomorrow and Thursday; we expect a high upper 40s tomorrow, and low 50s Wednesday. We should point out another freeze is likely early Wednesday morning, with mid to upper 20s likely.

NEXT RAIN: The sky becomes mostly cloudy Thursday, and a passing disturbance will bring some rain to the state late Thursday afternoon and Thursday night. The latest model data hints our main window for rain will come from about 4:00 p.m. Thursday until 4:00 a.m. Friday. The air will be stable, no severe weather, no thunder, and no flooding. Rain amounts should be under 1/2 inch.

Most of the day Friday will be dry, but mostly cloudy. And, the afternoon will be warmer with a high up in the low 60s.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday should be the warmest day out of the next seven… the GFS is printing 64 for Birmingham as the high. The sky will be mostly cloudy, but the chance of rain during the the day will be low. Then, more rain will likely develop Saturday night into Sunday as a surface low forms over Alabama and moves northeast. Again, rain totals shouldn’t be too heavy, and there certainly won’t be any issue with severe weather.

As the rain moves out Sunday, colder air moves in. In fact, temperatures could very well fall during the day Sunday, reaching the 40s by afternoon with a brisk north wind.

NEXT WEEK: The pattern favors cold air diving into the northern and eastern U.S. early in the week; I would not be surprised to see a day or two with highs in the 30s and lows in the teens by mid-week. And, the cold snap looks generally dry, although there could be a day with a few flurries over far North Alabama. For now global models show no threat of significant snow for Alabama through the next ten days.

See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Saturday, Jacksonville State plays North Dakota State for the FCS National Championship Saturday in Frisco, Texas (north of Dallas; 11:00a CT kickoff). There will be cloudy periods during the game, and a passing shower is possible. About 48 degrees at kickoff, rising into the low 50s by the final whistle.

For Bama fans headed to Phoenix next week (Bama plays Clemson for the FBS National Championship Monday night January 11 at 7:30p CT)… for now the weather looks cool and dry; 50s during the day, falling into the 40s during the game.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s episode tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

The “Social Media-rologist” Dilemma

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 08:22

Operational meteorologists are dealing with an issue that won’t go away, and seems to be more problematic every year. It usually begins with a flood of Facebook private messages and posts asking “is this true”. And, they share a link to a social media post with an eye opening headline about a big winter storm coming in two to three weeks for the southern U.S. Or, if not a winter storm, severe cold, ice, or a tornado outbreak. We all know these are the “sexy” parts of weather that gets the attention of people. And usually there is a really cool map with vivid colors that show the 2 to 3 week threat.

The truth is most weather professionals were drawn into the business by their experience with some banner event in their young life, like a snow storm or tornado outbreak. It was the case with me, and with others I know that forecast the weather for a living. Nothing wrong with being interested or fascinated with events like this. It is the core of who we are.

WHY A PROBLEM? So, what’s the harm of forecasting snow, ice, or tornadoes more than two weeks in advance?

*There is very little skill in a SPECIFIC forecast beyond seven days. Yes, we can forecast trends and the overall pattern sometimes, but even that ability is limited. I love looking at pattern recognition and teleconnections, attempting to resolve what the overall conditions might be like in 15-30 days, but there is no way I can tell you detailed weather information that far in advance. And, I have yet to find anyone who can.

The greatest thing missing in meteorology is humility. There are many things we don’t know, and many things we can’t do.

*Most of the 2-3 week “forecasts” are done by people not qualified to forecast the weather 2-3 days in advance. Most are young weather enthusiasts that, in their love for ice, snow, or severe weather, just “wishcast” by throwing out model maps they have pulled down on various sites promoting the weather they love and desire without understanding the limitations of using those products, or the science behind them.

In no way do I want to discourage young people learning about meteorology; they have a treasure trove at their fingertips with their phone, tablet, or computer. I could only dream about this when I was 13 years old. Nothing should be allowed to dampen their enthusiasm, and encouragement is what they need from older guys like me. Every Friday, I have a young person and their family in our studio for the sole reason of encouraging them, and opening the door for a potential future career in meteorology. Many incredible scientists have come out of those Friday sessions going back 37 years. And, most of them are sure smarter than I am.

But, young people need to understand a banner headline about a snow storm in three weeks in the southern U.S. can create a societal impact they don’t understand. More about that later.

*Let me point out there are some that are really good at developing long range ideas. Joe Bastardi is one of them; I have learned much from Joe over the years and love reading his products and hearing his ideas. Sure, he gets it wrong sometimes, but we all do. And, Joe understands how to issue his products without causing human weeping and gnashing of teeth.

On social media this weekend, after dealing with dozens of questions about a big southern snow next week, I posted a note on Facebook encouraging people to “think before they share”. I had a screen grab of a “clickbait” headline with the post; turns out that article was pretty well done, and by a college student majoring in meteorology. His followers came over in masses attacking me and my integrity/character; I have no problem with that since “if you dish it out, you have to take it”. That is just part of being in weather these days. And, please don’t go to his site attacking him or his character. His intentions are good, and this has nothing to do with character or integrity, it is about ethics.

His headline read “SOUTHERN WINTER STORM THREAT INCREASING SECOND AND THIRD WEEKS OF JANUARY”. He even draws a rain-snow line in the discussion… “The rain/snow line will probably be somewhere extending from Birmingham to Atlanta into Upstate SC and central NC.”

I clearly should not have used that guys headline since he is pretty qualified and his work was good. My bad. But, there is still an issue.

*Most weather enthusiasts don’t understand societal impacts of what they write. Write a good clickbait headline, and you can get thousands and thousands of shares. It will spread across Facebook like wildfire. Good for them getting all those likes and clicks, but do they think about the real human impact?

A mother with a child suffering from chronic kidney disease is scheduled for peritoneal dialysis in 2 weeks. After seeing the Facebook headlines, she begins to call wanting to reschedule for before or after the “snow storm” coming her way. A delay in dialysis could bring health complications.

A family has a long planned camping trip in two weeks; they cancel and due to the approaching “snow storm”. Desperately needed time away vanishes.

A rural county with very limited funding spends a significant amount of money on snow chains for police cars and rock salt and sand for road treatment for the coming winter storm.

A trip is cancelled to see an aging parent, who doesn’t have long to live, due to the potential for a big snow storm in 2 weeks.

These are actual examples of the cases I heard about this weekend from social media questions to me. No, dialysis isn’t being delayed, the camping trip isn’t being cancelled, money isn’t being spent, and the elderly parent will be seen. But there was serious consideration in each circumstance due to reading Facebook headlines on their newsfeed.

Could we have a snow storm in 2-3 weeks? SURE. But with the skill set we have now, nobody knows if the snow will come at all, or if it will be in Louisville, Nashville, Birmingham, Jackson, or Atlanta. The one thing we can tell is that the pattern looks cold next week (scroll down for the morning discussion and video).

The followers of social “media-rologists” become fiercely loyal since they hear what they want to hear, and use the stereotypical argument of “the weatherman on TV is always wrong”. And unlike those of us in the mass media, when the armchair forecaster is wrong they simply disappear for a while, or hang on to the few long-range forecasts that were correct as proof they’re the real deal.

Is the “TV weatherman” always wrong? Read this essay from Brad Panovich, chief meteorologist for the NBC affiliate in Charlotte. Of course we get it wrong sometimes. And, on occasional, we miss a high impact event. But long time readers know I bring it to the table and take full responsibility for when that happens.

I am asking three things here…

*For those that are qualified to write long range thoughts, please communicate uncertainty with clarity, and avoid “clickbait headlines”.

*If you are young person that loves weather, go for it. Write a discussion, tell a good story. But please don’t ramble into a territory that can cause a negative human impact with crazy 2-3-4 week snow storms and tornado outbreaks. You can learn responsibility at a very young age, that will carry you far in life. If you are local, send me an email and come see me. We will help get you started.

*For the masses, “think before you share”. I know this problem isn’t going away, but you can help by not sharing outrageous long range forecasts.

Categories: Weather

Cold, Dry Weather For Alabama

Mon, 01/04/2016 - 07:08

FEELS LIKE WINTER: The El Nino blow torch has shot down for now, and we project cold, dry weather for Alabama as the work week begins. We project lows down in the mid 20s both tomorrow and Wednesday morning, and we won’t get out of the 40s today and tomorrow despite a good supply of sunshine.

LATER THIS WEEK: Dry weather continues Wednesday with a high in the low 50s, but clouds increase Thursday ahead of a weather system that will bring rain to the state Thursday night. At this point it looks like the greatest threat of rain will come from about 6:00 p.m. Thursday through 6:00 a.m. Friday. The air is nice and stable, so no severe weather, and probably no thunder. And, with limited moisture rain amounts should be mostly under 1/2 inch.

Clouds linger much of the day Thursday with a high in the mid 50s; then expect a mostly cloudy but pleasant day Friday with a high around 60 degrees.

THE WEEKEND: Clouds linger, and we will project more rain for the state Saturday night into Sunday as a surface low forms down in the Gulf of Mexico. Again this won’t be a severe weather issue for the state, and rain shouldn’t be too heavy, and there won’t be any flooding problems. The high Saturday will be at or just over 60 degrees, but Sunday should be noticeably colder with clouds, rain, and temperatures in the 40s much of the day.

MORE COLD AIR NEXT WEEK: A cold pattern is setting up for the eastern and northern U.S. next week; global models bring down what should be easily the coldest air so far this season by the middle of the week…

This has the potential to bring highs down into the 30s, and lows into the teens as far south as North Alabama by Wednesday or Thursday, but there is no way to be specific this far in advance. And, there is no evidence of any snow or winter weather problems for Alabama through the middle of next week. Take some time to see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Saturday, Jacksonville State plays North Dakota State for the FCS National Championship Saturday in Frisco, Texas (north of Dallas; 11:00a CT kickoff). There will be cloudy periods during the game, and a passing shower is possible. About 48 degrees at kickoff, rising into the low 50s by the final whistle.

For Bama fans headed to Phoenix next week (Bama plays Clemson for the FBS National Championship Monday night January 11 at 7:30p CT)… for now the weather looks cool and dry; 50s during the day, falling into the 40s during the game.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s episode tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Thanks to Brian Peters, Bill Murray, J.P. Spann, and Meaghan Thomas for covering the bases for me last week while I took a few days off… we are back on regular schedule, and the next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather