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The latest information on Alabama weather, tornadoes, hurricanes, winter storms, national weather headlines and the science of meteorology in general.
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Higher Heat Levels This Weekend

Thu, 07/10/2014 - 15:45

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Most of the showers and thunderstorms in Alabama at mid-afternoon are east of I-65, and are widely scattered…

Temperatures are mostly in the upper 80s with a mix of sun and clouds. Stronger storms are near the Gulf Coast, where some impressive shelf cloud shots have rolled in via social media, like this one from Navarre Beach, FL (from @morgan_lyles)

TOMORROW THOUGH THE WEEKEND: The surface front near the Tennessee border will lose it’s identity, and an upper high will nose in here form the west… this means higher heat levels, lots of sunshine, and very few showers. Understand the chance of rain over the weekend is not zero, but showers and storms should be few and far between. Highs will be up in the low 90s, with mid 90s possible in a few communities.

BIG CHANGES NEXT WEEK: The upper high retreats to the west, and a strong upper trough will form over the eastern half of the nation by Tuesday and Wednesday. This will drive a cold front into Alabama, which should bring a marked increase in the number of showers and thunderstorms by Tuesday. Then, a rather refreshing airmass will settle into North/Central Alabama Wednesday and Thursday with lower humidity and cool nights. I would not be surprised if some places drop down into the 50s by Thursday morning, very close to record low temperature levels for mid-July in Alabama.

See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: There have been quite a few storms around this afternoon on the coast, but the weather looks pretty good tomorrow through the weekend with about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day and just a few widely scattered showers and storms around from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. Highs on the immediate coast will remain in the upper 80s, with sea water temperatures in the mid 80s. No sign of any tropical storms or hurricanes anytime soon across the Atlantic basin thanks to very dry air in place, which originated from the deserts of Africa.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

Scattered Storms Still Possible Today

Thu, 07/10/2014 - 06:21

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

WEDNESDAY’S RAIN: While a good part of North and Central Alabama saw beneficial rain yesterday, it was frustrating for many that live in the larger cities of Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden as they were short changed on the rain. Some rain totals from yesterday included…

Muscle Shoals 2.38″
Jemison (Chilton County) 1.54″
Courtland 1.44″
Huntsville 1.01″
Fayette 0.65″

THE DAY AHEAD: We have a few widely scattered showers and storms on radar at daybreak…

These will continue through the day in random places… otherwise we expect a mix of sun and clouds with a high generally in the upper 80s.

TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: The surface front north of the state will wash out, and as an upper high builds into the region, we project hotter and drier weather for Alabama. Highs will rise into the low 90s, maybe even mid 90s in a few spots, with a good supply of sunshine all three days. The chance of rain is not zero, but any afternoon showers and storms will be widely spaced.

NEXT WEEK: An interesting upper air pattern is setting up next week as the summer version of the “polar vortex” settles down into the Great Lakes… this should drive a summer cold front into Alabama Tuesday night or early Wednesday. Ahead of the front, there should be a marked increase in the number of showers and thunderstorms Tuesday. Then, sure seems like we have a good chance of another dry continental airmass moving into our state Wednesday and Thursday with lower humidity and cooler nights.

This could be an airmass much like the one we enjoyed around the Fourth of July when record lows were observed… would not be shocked to see lows in the 50s by Thursday morning (July 17). See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, details, and graphics.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Showers and storms will be a little more active on the coast today between Panama City and Gulf Shores, but there will still be some good intervals of sunshine. Then, for tomorrow and the weekend, about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day with only isolated storms. Highs will remain in the upper 80s along the immediate coast, and the sea water temperature this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 82 degrees.

TROPICS: Dry air continues to cover much of the Atlantic basin, and tropical storm formation is not expected anytime soon.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon…. enjoy the day….

Categories: Weather

Storms Heavy in the Montgomery Area, More Overnight?

Wed, 07/09/2014 - 17:55

Showers and thunderstorms continue across South Central Alabama this afternoon along an outflow boundary/pre-frontal trough that moved into the state overnight.

This activity has been especially heavy in the Montgomery area with torrential rains, gusty winds and tons of lightning. The storms are not severe, but they are still quite dangerous.

The NWS warns that 1 to 3 inches of rain has fallen in the Montgomery, Prattville and Wetumpka area and another 2 inches is poised to fall. The heaviest activity at 5:55 p.m. extends from the Montgomery area up both sides of I-85 toward Notasulga and Tuskegee.

Across the northern part of the area, storms are starting to form from Huntsville back over to the Tupelo area. These storms are associated with the cool front and should continue to develop through the evening hours. They should go downhill after 10 p.m., but storms will be possible through the night as the front approaches.

More storms will develop tomorrow, but it looks like improving conditions should arrive Friday for weekend.

Categories: Weather

Strong Storms Developing

Wed, 07/09/2014 - 15:39

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: A band of storms has fired up over Central Alabama on the outflow of the early morning thunderstorms that moved through the northern counties of the state. These storms are producing torrential rain, lots of lightning, and gusty winds.

Other storms are over West and North Alabama ahead of a surface front lined up near I-40 in Tennessee. Showers and storms will die down late tonight as the air becomes more stable.

TOMORROW: The front to the north will stall out somewhere near the Alabama/Tennessee border, so we will maintain the risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms with a mix of sun and clouds. The high will be somewhere between 87 and 90 degrees for most places.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: The front will dissipate, and an upper high will begin to build across the Deep South, meaning the weather will be hotter and drier. Just a small risk of any one spot seeing a shower or storm on these three day; the sky will be mostly sunny and hazy with highs up in the low 90s… some West Alabama communities could see mid 90s.

NEXT WEEK: The upper high shifts to the west, and with another surface front approaching from the north we expect a general increase in the number of shower and storms through at least the first half of the week. Highs should drop back into the upper 80s by Wednesday. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: We expect an increase in showers and storms tomorrow from Panama City to Gulf Shores, but there will still be some decent intervals of sunshine. Then, Friday through the weekend and into early next week, expect about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day with just a few widely scattered storms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin still looks very quiet and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
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I enjoyed seeing a big group today at the Double Springs Community Center in Winston County… be looking for the kids that were there on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

Storms Starting to Fire

Wed, 07/09/2014 - 14:54

Click image to enlarge.

Clouds have held tough across much of the northern half of Alabama this morning in the wake of overnight storms that weakened as they pulled into the state.

There has been enough clearing for temperatures to heat into the middle and upper 80s in some spots and this has lent enough energy to the recipe to trigger a developing line of storms from Bibb across northern Chilton, Coosa, Tallapoosa and Chambers Counties. The storm northwest of Rockford is the strongest right now and has triggered a significant weather alert for parts of Coosa County. It will move east northeastward in the direction of Goodwater.

Additional storms will fire through the afternoon and last well into the night as a cool front sinks down from the north.

An isolated storm could become severe this afternoon with damaging winds, but the threat is small.

Categories: Weather

Summer Rain For Alabama

Wed, 07/09/2014 - 05:54

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

BENEFICIAL RAIN FOR MANY: The day is starting off wet for much of North Alabama…

An upper trough over the eastern half of the nation and a surface front moving down through Tennessee will keep periods of rain and a few thunderstorms going through the day. High resolution model data hints the most widespread rain this morning will come along and north of I-20, with the better coverage of showers and storms this afternoon shifting south into Central Alabama.

A few strong storms are possible today, but organized severe weather is not expected with a relatively weak wind field in place. We won’t get past the low to mid 80s because of clouds and rain.

TOMORROW: The front moves down to near the Tennessee River… we will maintain the chance of a few passing showers and thunderstorms, but the far northern part of the state will be relatively dry. Tomorrow’s high should be in the upper 80s with a mixture of clouds and sunshine.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: The weather will trend hotter and drier as the front washes out and an upper ridge builds across the Deep South. Expect a good supply of sunshine each day with only isolated afternoon showers… highs will be mostly in the low 90s, with mid 90s for some West Alabama communities.

NEXT WEEK: The upper ridge shifts to the west, and another surface front will approach from the north… this should open the door for another increase in the number of showers and storms at least for the first half of next week. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Expect a decent amount of sunshine today with only isolated showers… there will be an increase in the number of showers and storms tomorrow from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with a limited amount of sunshine, but Friday and the weekend look great with about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day with only widely scattered storms. Highs will remain mostly in the upper 80s along the immediate Gulf Coast, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains very quiet thanks to dry air. And, over in the western Pacific, Typhoon Neoguri is moving into southern Japan in a weaker state… flash flooding is the primary threat.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I have a weather program this morning at the public library in Double Springs in Winston County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

A Midnight Look at the Alabama Weather Situation

Wed, 07/09/2014 - 00:07

Here is a look at the Alabama Weather Situation at Midnight.

Click image to enlarge.

Storms that developed today over Arkansas and western Tennessee, well ahead of a long cold front, have drifted southward this evening into Central Alabama, northern Mississippi and Northwestern Alabama.

As they encountered more stable air over the Tennessee Valley over the past couple of hours, they weakened a bit. But they seem to be making a bit of a comeback now in northwestern Alabama, as well as over in Northeast Mississippi. They seem to be taking advantage of some favorable ventilation aloft to hold together.

Lots of lightning right now in places like Florence, Russellville and Moulton. The NWS Huntsville estimated totals may have approached 5-6 inches in parts of eastern Lauderdale County today. 1.53 inches of rain fell in one hour between 10 – 11 p.m. tonight at the Muscle Shoals NWS Alabama Regional Airport. 0.46 inches of that fell in 13 minutes. Here is a radar estimate from the Hytop radar in North Alabama.

Click image to enlarge.

FLash flooding was reported back in Hardemann and McNairy Counties just to the northwest of the Quad Cities. People were reported trapped in homes in some areas.

No watches or warnings at this hour, and really none are expected overnight. But you can never rule out the threat of a strong storm or two, and perhaps a rogue severe thunderstorm warning through the early morning hours. But the loss of the heating of the day is in our favor and the mesoscale models like the HRRR and the RPM predict that they will continue to weaken as they move slowly southeast.

Showers and storms will be fairly numerous later today (Wednesday) as the front drifts slowly southward. Some of them could be strong to severe. It wlll be interesting to see if the Storm Prediction Center includes parts of Alabama in their standard slight risk severe weather forecast. Their day two probabilities from yesterday were set at 5% for this area, which would not translate to a slight risk if that number holds steady. So probably not, but look out for strong to isolated severe storms later today with damaging winds, flooding rains and some hail possible.

Categories: Weather

Severe Thunderstorm Watch to the Northwest

Tue, 07/08/2014 - 18:31

Click image to enlarge.

Storms across North Alabama have weakened late this afternoon. Showers continue from Jasper to Oneonta to Albertville and Fort Payne.

Rain will begin soon in the Gadsden area.

The only lightning and thunder left is over Northeast Alabama over DeKalb County.

To the northwest, storms over southwestern Tennessee have been severe. And upstream, storms over Arkansas have grown as well. These storms have prompted a severe thunderstorm watch for much of Central Arkansas, northern Mississippi and southwestern Tennessee. We will see if these storms get into the Tennessee Valley of Alabama later tonight. They should be weaker by then.

Categories: Weather

Showers More Widespread Tomorrow

Tue, 07/08/2014 - 15:45

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Scattered showers and strong thunderstorms are mainly over the northern third of Alabama at mid-afternoon… most of the storms are north of U.S. 278, and are moving east. The southern two-thirds of the state is generally rain-free with temperatures in the 89-92 degree range.

TOMORROW/THURSDAY: Tomorrow looks like a relatively wet day, with occasional showers and thunderstorms. Showers could very well begin around daybreak across North/Central Alabama… it won’t rain all day long, but it could rain at any hour of the day, and a strong storm is possible. We won’t get past the low to mid 80s due to clouds and showers.

The coverage of showers on Thursday will begin to decrease, but there still should be a pretty decent risk of some rain from I-20 (Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Anniston) south… showers over the northern third of the state will be fewer in number and pretty widely spaced as drier drops south from Tennessee.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: The trend will be toward hotter and drier weather across Alabama as the surface front loses it’s identity, and an upper ridge builds over the region. Look for mostly sunny, hot, hazy days with highs in the low 90s… a few mid 90s are possible in spots, especially over West Alabama. A few isolated afternoon showers can’t be ruled out over the weekend, but many most communities should be dry.

Then, early next week, there is a decent chance showers and storms will increase again as the ridge aloft weakens, and another surface boundary drops in from the north. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

AT THE BEACH: We project about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day through the weekend with just a few widely scattered storms from Panama City over to Gulf Shores. Highs on the coast will be in the upper 80s, and the sea water temperature this afternoon at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 84 degrees.

TROPICS: Dry air covers much of the Atlantic basin, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the week. And, over in the western Pacific, Typhoon Neoguri has weakened with sustained winds down to about 105 mph. Flash flooding is the primary through over southern Japan in coming days.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I enjoyed seeing the senior adults today at First Baptist Church in Guin… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Higher Rain Chances Arrive Tomorrow

Tue, 07/08/2014 - 06:15

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

ON THE MAPS: A rather strong upper trough is supporting a band of thunderstorms across the nation’s heartland this morning, and the surface front associated with this feature will drift down into Tennessee tomorrow, giving us an increase in the coverage of showers and thunderstorms.

But, before that arrives, our weather won’t change too much today. Partly sunny, a few widely scattered showers and storms this afternoon with a high at or just over 90 degrees in most places.

TOMORROW/THURSDAY: These two days should offer the best coverage of showers and storms. In fact, some rain is possible tomorrow morning as the surface front nears the Tennessee border. A few strong thunderstorms are possible; SPC has the low end 5 percent risk of severe weather in place across much of Alabama, but organized severe thunderstorms are not expected. Due to the clouds and showers, tomorrow’s high will be only in the mid 80s in most places.

The coverage of showers and storms Thursday is a little more questionable; the NAM and GFS are hinting that drier air will creep down into North Alabama, suggesting the more numerous showers will be over the southern half of the state. We will hang on to the risk of a few passing showers or storms Thursday with a high in the upper 80s.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: The weather will trend drier and hotter, as the front washes out and an upper high builds across the Deep South. Look for a good supply of hazy sunshine all three days with only isolated afternoon showers and storms; afternoon highs rise into the low 90s, with a few mid 90s possible over the western half of the state.

Coverage of showers and storms should increase again early next week as the upper high weakens, and another surface front approaches from the north. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin will remain very quiet this week with dry air in place… over in the western Pacific, Typhoon Neoguri is just west of Okinawa with sustained winds of 125 mph… it will weaken and move into southern Japan in about 30 hours… flooding is the main threat for Japan. Again, see the Weather Xtreme video for maps and graphics.

AT THE BEACH: About 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day from Panama City over to Gulf Shores through the weekend with only widely scattered thunderstorms around. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s… the sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab has dropped to 79 degrees this morning.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be speaking this morning at First Baptist Church of Guin… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day….

Categories: Weather

WeatherBrains 441: Plenty of Time for a Snafu

Tue, 07/08/2014 - 05:15

WeatherBrains Episode 441 is now online (July 7, 2014). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Tonight’s Guest WeatherBrain is currently serving as Acting Director of the National Weather Service (NWS) Operations Proving Ground (OPG) in Kansas City, MO. His career in operational meteorology spans more than 35 years, first with the US Air Force, then with NOAA and the NWS. Kim Runk, welcome to WeatherBrains!

Three WCMs are on the show tonight, including Kim, of course Rick and a retired WCM in Brian. Going to put Rick and Brian in the hot seats with Kim tonight for a little world of WCM discussion.

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Extremes: 119 at Death Valley, CA, and 38 at Stanley, ID, and Snake River, WY
  • Severe storm risk from Nebraska eastward to southern New England
  • Since our last show, Hurricane Arthur came and went along East Coast
  • Tropics quiet for now
  • and more!
  • Our email bag officer is out again, so the mail bag is getting heavy.

    From The Weather Center:

    WeatherBrains 101: This episode of WeatherBrains 101 puts in a plug for child safety in hot cars. Did you know that 15 children have died this year already from heat stroke brought on by being left in an unattended automobile. There needs to be more attention drawn to this danger of hot weather.

    TWIWH: Bill Murray looks back at the week of July 7.

    Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

    Web Sites from Episode 441:

    NWS Operations Proving Ground Charter

    NOAA Testbed and Proving Grounds

    Picks of the Week:

    Nate Johnson – Lamp Simulates Thunderstorm

    Bill Murray – Kim Runk’s Video on Culture Change in the NWS

    Brian Peters – Kids and Cars on Heat Stroke

    Kim Runk – @nwstornado – any NWS tornado warning will have this hashtag

    Rick Smith – Leading Culture Change in the NWS

    James Spann – Joint Typhoon Warning Center

    SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

    The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Rick Smith, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

    Categories: Weather

    Only Isolated Showers This Afternoon

    Mon, 07/07/2014 - 15:47

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    RADAR CHECK: Pretty quiet at mid-afternoon as expected… we just have a few isolated showers over Northwest Alabama moving slowly to the east; these should fizzle out pretty quickly after sunset. Otherwise, the sky is partly to mostly sunny, and most places are seeing a high around 90 degrees.

    MID-WEEK: A surface boundary will approach from the north, and tomorrow there should be an increase in the number of showers and storms mainly over the Tennessee Valley region of far North Alabama… the rest of the state will see only isolated showers with a high at or just over 90.

    Then, all of North/Central Alabama should see scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms Wednesday and Thursday as the front stalls out near the Alabama/Tennessee border. SPC has the low end 5 percent severe possibility in place for much of our state Wednesday, so a few strong storms are possible with gusty winds, but organized severe weather for now doesn’t look likely with a relatively weak wind field. Highs will drop into the mid to upper 80s Wednesday and Thursday because of clouds and showers, and average rain amounts of around one inch can be expected. Of course, we all know that summer rain distribution is very uneven, and your amount could vary.

    FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: The 12Z run of the GFS model continues to show drier air creeping down into the northern third of the state, and the chance of rain accordingly will decrease with increasing amounts of sunshine. The weekend looks mostly dry and hot; highs in the low 90s with only isolated showers Saturday and Sunday.

    Still some evidence showers and storms could increase again early next week across the Deep South as the upper ridge begins to weaken a bit. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

    GULF COAST WEATHER: Looks good through the weekend; about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day, with the usual risk of widely scattered thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s… sea water temperatures are generally in the mid 80s.

    TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet with dry air over much of the basin. Over in the western Pacific, thankfully Neogrui lost the “super typhoon” status today as drier air has entered the circulation. Still, it is the equivalent of a category three hurricane, and will pass just west of Okinawa tomorrow, and impact far southern Japan later this week (main risk there will come from flooding). See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps and graphics.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
    Twitter
    Google Plus
    Instagram

    Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

    Categories: Weather

    Heat/Humidity Levels Rising

    Mon, 07/07/2014 - 06:33

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    BACK IN THE SADDLE: Thanks to Bill Murray, Brian Peters, Meaghan Thomas, and the gang for allowing me to have little down time, which was needed and appreciated. In today’s world of media meteorology, I work 18 hour days (no exaggeration), and getting “off the grid” is something you have to do on occasion. But, always good to be back at it.

    What a Fourth of July weekend… with low humidity and record lows across the great state of Alabama. It will never get much better in mid-summer around here.

    HEATING UP: The last time we had a high at or over 90 degrees was back on July 2, and we have a good chance of reaching 90 (or slightly higher) today as heat and humidity levels rise across the Deep South. The sky will be partly to mostly sunny, and while a few isolated showers could pop up this afternoon, the chance of any one spot getting wet is only about one in ten.

    Not much overall change tomorrow, although the risk of an afternoon shower will be a little higher over the northern third of the state.

    WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: These two days will offer the best chance of showers and thunderstorms as a surface front drops down toward the Alabama/Tennessee state line and becomes stationary. We will project scattered to numerous showers and storms both days, with highs back in the mid to upper 80s because of the clouds and showers. A few strong storms are possible Wednesday afternoon; SPC has low end 5 percent severe weather possibilities in place across much of the state.

    FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: The GFS suggests that drier air could creep into North Alabama Friday, with the higher risk of a shower or storm moving down into the southern half of the state. Then, the front dissipates over the weekend with rising heat levels and few showers. Bottom line is that the weekend for now is looking mostly hot and dry with only isolated showers… highs should be up in the low to mid 90s.

    Showers and storms could show an increase early next week as a weakness in the upper ridge develops. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

    AT THE BEACH: The weather looks good this week… from Panama City over to Gulf Shores expect about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day with only widely scattered thunderstorms. Highs will be in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, and the sea water temperature this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 81 degrees.

    TROPICS: The Atlantic basin should be quiet all week as the dry, Saharan dust layer is evident. But, over in the western Pacific, Super Typhoon Neoguri is packing sustained winds of over 150 mph…

    It will skirt by Okinawa tomorrow, and then move up into southern Japan Wednesday. Thankfully it will be weakening as it moves into Japan, but it will still pack a punch.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
    Twitter
    Google Plus
    Instagram

    Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon… enjoy the day!

    Categories: Weather

    A Few Showers Return

    Sun, 07/06/2014 - 14:17

    A very nice early July Sunday is in progress across Central Alabama. Things are returning to normal quickly in the temperature and moisture department across Alabama. Precipitable water values are getting back to 1.5 inches across the state, as evidenced in the lower left panel of the graphic. Temperatures are climbing through the middle 80s for the most part but were already near 90F at Tuscaloosa. You can see the nice field of cumulus clouds which are a byproduct of the increased moisture. A few showers were starting to show up over East Central and South Central Alabama, from Alex City to Montgomery to Greenville over to LaGrange, Georgia. The pulse thunderstorms are drifting aimlessly to the northwest for the most part.

    MyWARN SEVERE WEATHER TODAY: Severe weather is likely today across parts of Wisconsin, southeastern Minnesota, eastern Iowa, northeastern Iowa and northern Illinois. The culprit is a surface low that is moving from Minnesota to Wisconsin.

    TROPICS:  The post tropical low that was Arthur is skirting Newfoundland this morning.  There is a trough of low pressure southeast of Georgia coast that is triggering widespread showers and storms.  It is not recognized as a disturbance yet by the NHC and development is not expected.  But it is another case of where we will probably see our tropical cyclones develop for the most part this year: close in to the U.S.

    Categories: Weather

    Some Clouds as We Warm Up

    Sun, 07/06/2014 - 06:49

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    We’re closing out the Fourth of July weekend with another great day of mostly sunny weather as our highs return to values typical for early July with highs reaching near 90. Our atmosphere remained very dry aloft but moisture levels will creep up today and into the first of the week as we see the low level flow come around to the southeast and then the south. Some early morning clouds passing Central Alabama plus a slight uptick in the humidity means a slightly milder start to the day than that truly refreshing start we saw yesterday morning with lows dipping into the 50s generally along and north of the I-20 corridor.

    The good news is that the overall upper air pattern retains the ridge in the West and a general trough over the East which keeps the heat in check. The trough deepens somewhat in response to a strong short wave moving through the westerlies across the southern tier of Canada. Unlike the last front, this trough should signal the approach of a cold front from the north on Wednesday that is likely to get into the area before stalling out like many fronts do in the summertime.

    With the humidity levels up, we should see a return to showers and isolated thunderstorms from Wednesday through the end of the week and into next weekend. Daytime heating is expected to be the main driving force in shower development with rain chances becoming the best on Thursday.

    The trough pulls out to the northeast by the latter part of the week with ridging building again over the Central Mississippi River Valley, leaving a warm and unstable air mass in place across the Southeast with daily chances for showers or thunderstorms.

    Beach goers continue to see a good supply of sun along the Alabama and Northwest Florida beaches with afternoon highs reaching the upper 80s. Scattered showers return to the forecast into Tuesday and the rest of the week with moisture levels up. Gulf water temperatures were still running in the range of 82 to 84.

    Tropics remain quiet now that Arthur is gone.

    The longer range model projections maintain the idea of the ridge in the West and the slight trough in the East through the middle of July, but major ridging was back in the picture by July 21st.

    And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

    James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

    Thanks for tuning into the Weather Xtreme Video. James Spann will be back from his vacation with the next edition of the video on Monday morning. Enjoy the end of the July Fourth weekend. Godspeed.

    -Brian-

    Categories: Weather

    Great Weather Continues

    Sat, 07/05/2014 - 12:30

    Once again, it is hard to believe we are in July, when the temps this morning were more like early October. It was quite the cool and refreshing morning as 50s made it down to the Interstate 20 corridor with Birmingham reaching 58, while Tuscaloosa reached 60, and Anniston 61. Elsewhere across the northern portions of the state, Huntsville was 57, Muscle Shoals 56, Cullman 53, and Gadsden 59. Hope you had the chance to enjoy these temps, because it probably will be late September to early October before we see these type of temps again.

    For the rest of today, we are going to continue to see mostly sunny conditions with only a few clouds tracking across the state from east to west. We will all stay dry once again, and temps will continue to warm as most locations will see upper 80s for afternoon highs, with perhaps a few 90s creeping into our southern counties. Humidity levels will remain below seasonal norms for a few more days, but it won’t be too long before the humidity levels return.

    Categories: Weather

    Not Your Typical July Morning

    Sat, 07/05/2014 - 06:32

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    It is definitely not your typical July morning with some great early morning temperatures dipping into the 50s across North and Central Alabama. Black Creek Skywatcher reported a nice 54 this morning and it was 58 at Coker and 59 in Helena. Savor the drier and cooler air as the projections are for upward trends in both humidity and heat for the next few days.

    Arthur has been downgraded to a tropical storm and was losing tropical characteristics as it affected Nova Scotia this morning. Elsewhere, the tropics remain quiet.

    And the weather pattern is somewhat quiet, too, as we see moisture and heat levels gradually return to values more representative of early July. The upper air pattern of a weak trough over the eastern US with the main westerlies across the northern tier of the US remains in place for much of the week ahead. This means that we’ll see temperatures gradually creep back into the lower 90s. These wonderfully low dew points will also climb upward into the middle and upper 60s by the middle and latter part of the week.

    A strong short wave moving across southern Canada at mid-week will deepen the trough over the East enough to allow the approach of another cold front. But as the front approaches, the troughiness across the East begins to lessen, so it does not appear likely that we’ll see another frontal passage for Central Alabama. But with warmth and humidity up, we’ll see a return to primarily daily showers for the latter half of the week.

    Beach goers are also enjoying the benefits of this great weather pattern with beach weather nearly perfect with plenty of sunshine and afternoon highs in the upper 80s. Gulf water temperature reports continued to show values in the middle 80s. But showers return to the forecast by mid-week as moisture levels rise.

    Voodoo country remained somewhat the same on this run from yesterday with a large upper ridge in the West and general troughiness across the East. This keeps us on the eastern periphery of the heat bubble so we should be warm with daily showers but the extreme heat stays to our west under this scenario.

    And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

    James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

    Filling in for Meaghan Thomas on ABC 3340 News this weekend, so you can catch the latest forecast at 6 and 10 pm this evening. The next Weather Xtreme Video will come by 8 am or so on Sunday morning. Enjoy one more day of lower humidity for July. Godspeed.

    -Brian-

    Categories: Weather

    Is This the Fourth of July?

    Fri, 07/04/2014 - 15:07

    If you didn’t know better, you would think it was late September rather that the Fourth of July across Central Alabama.

    Click image to enlarge.

    First, everyone started off with some comfortable readings this morning. It was 61F at the Birmingham Airport, some ten degrees below the average low for the date of 71F.

    Skies have been mostly sunny, with just a few high clouds and contrails across the middle of the state and over the Tennessee Valley, and a few puny puffy cumulus clouds over western sections.

    The closest showers to Central Alabama were in the Louisiana coastal waters and over the Florida Peninsula, south of a frontal system that is lying over the northern Gulf of Mexico into southern Georgia.

    It was 83F at 3 p.m. at the Birmingham Airport. It that ends up being the high for the day, it would make it the 10th coolest 4th of July on record in the Magic City. 84F would make it the 12th. The interesting thing about the top ten coolest Independence Days in Birmingham is that it rained on nine of them.

    If you remember, last year was the 2nd coldest 4th of July in Birmingham history with a high of 77F. It had been cloudy and rainy all day with flash flood watches.

    FIREWORKS FORECAST
    Usually at this time on the Fourth, we are fretting whether fireworks shows will go on. Not this year. The show will go on and be beautiful in all Alabama cities tonight.

    CHECK ON ARTHUR

    Click image to enlarge.

    Arthur is racing off to the northrast this afternoon. It will brush by Cape Cod and Nantucket this evening with some tropical storm force winds. It will reach Nova Scotia tomorrow morning and Newfoundland Sunday. It will be tropical storm when that happens.

    Damage in North Carolina is minimal, thankfully. Highway 12, the road over the Outer Banks was covered with sand, but it projected to reopen tomorrow.

    Arthur will go in the books at the earliest hurricane in history to make landfall in North Carolina.

    Categories: Weather

    A Drier and Cooler Fourth of July

    Fri, 07/04/2014 - 06:38

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    It’s fabulous weather for the Fourth of July and the weekend with some lowered humidity and cooler air for us to enjoy. Fireworks displays tonight should have no problem from the weather, something we usually have to deal with.

    The overall synoptic weather pattern featured a sprawling high pressure system at the surface centered over Chicago with the tight circulation of Hurricane Arthur beginning to move away from the Mid-Atlantic Coast of the US. Aloft a fairly strong trough for early July was moving across the eastern Great Lakes with ridging along the Rockies. The combination of features allowed for a drier and somewhat cooler air mass to settle into Central Alabama with temperatures below our seasonal values for early July. And those humidities are great with dew points falling into the upper 50s.

    So July 4th will be fantastic and the weekend will follow that example with a gradual warm up. With a slight troughiness over the eastern half of the country with the ridge anchored along the eastern slopes of the Rockies, we won’t be seeing any major changes in the weather for Central Alabama. Temperatures will gradually return to season values with lows in the lower 90s by Sunday and into next week. Morning lows will be in the 60s through Tuesday and into the lower 70s for the rest of week. Moisture values increase slowly during the first of the week, so I expect us to stay dry until Wednesday when we re-introduce the possibility of daily showers. Those daily chances will stay in the forecast through the end of next week.

    Beach goers will enjoy a great Fourth weekend, too, with warm weather, lots of sunshine, and no chance of showers until Monday. Highs will be in the upper 80s and morning lows in the lower 70s for the next several days with the Gulf water temperature running in the middle 80s.

    The GFS continues to keep us guessing about the long range. The latest run continues with the idea of strong ridging over the Central US but toys with keeping a slight trough along the eastern coast of the US that should keep extreme heat at bay.

    And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

    James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

    Thanks for staying tuned to the Blog as your weather source. The next Weather Xtreme Video will come Saturday morning. Godspeed.

    -Brian-

    Categories: Weather

    …CENTER OF ARTHUR MAKES LANDFALL…

    Thu, 07/03/2014 - 22:30

    We have a technical landfall I believe on Cape Lookout southeast of Morehead City at 10:14 p.m. CDT tonight.

    Now we will wait to see if the NHC agrees and gives the official word.

    Arthur is the first landfalling category two or greater hurricane in the U.S. since Ike in 2008.

    And it is official…

    HURRICANE ARTHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012014
    1130 PM EDT THU JUL 03 2014

    …CENTER OF ARTHUR MAKES LANDFALL…

    THE CENTER OF ARTHUR MADE LANDFALL AT ABOUT 1115 PM EDT…0315
    UTC…OVER THE SHACKLEFORD BANKS BETWEEN CAPE LOOKOUT AND BEAUFORT
    NORTH CAROLINA. THE NOAA AUTOMATED STATION AT CAPE LOOKOUT RECENTLY
    REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 77 MPH…124 KM/H…AND A WIND GUST OF
    101 MPH…163 KM/H.

    SUMMARY OF 1130 PM EDT…0330 UTC…INFORMATION
    ————————————————–
    LOCATION…34.7N 76.6W
    ABOUT 5 MI…10 KM NW OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA
    ABOUT 65 MI…105 KM WSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…100 MPH…155 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 18 MPH…30 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…976 MB…28.82 INCHES

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN/BLAKE

    Categories: Weather