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Updated: 39 min 19 sec ago

A Warm and Dry Weekend

Sat, 09/20/2014 - 07:10

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

High pressure off to our northeast has created a bit of a wedge pattern which has ushered in drier air to Alabama. This should provide us with a gorgeous warm weekend for the last of summer with the official start of Fall coming Monday evening. There were some clouds especially in East Central and Southeast Alabama as well as the southern portion of Georgia, but most of those should mix out by late morning Highs today will be in the middle 80s, a tad cooler in the eastern sections where the wedge will be a bit stronger, but warming into the middle and upper 80s on Sunday.

The first really good push of cooler air will come with a cold front passing through the area on Monday morning. Moisture will be somewhat limited with the front plus it will be coming through during the early morning hours of Monday, so showers will be limited but I think we have a chance to see some showers. Rainfall amounts should be less than a quarter of an inch in spots that do see a shower.

After the front comes through on Monday morning, high pressure to our north will bring cooler and drier air to Alabama. Cooler is relative, though, as we will continue to see highs generally in the lower 80s for the week ahead. The biggest change will come in the morning lows that will dip down well into the 60s on Tuesday morning and by Wednesday morning we should see readings in the upper 50s with lower 50s in those cooler spots. As the upper ridge builds strong across the eastern portion of the country into the end of the week, look for high temperatures to again climb into the middle 80s with lows in the 60s.

Headed to Tuscaloosa for the game this afternoon? Looks like a warm day with mostly sunny skies and a kickoff temperature around 85 degrees, falling into the upper 70s by the final whistle.

Beach goers will enjoy plenty of sunshine and dry weather for the weekend. Showers will be widely scattered on Monday but dry weather returns for the rest of the week with highs in the middle 80s. Water temperature along the beaches is coming down a bit with values still in the mid 80s.

The tropics are quiet with just one area of cloudiness being watched well out in the Atlantic south of the Cape Verde Islands. This system is not expected to develop in the short term and will stay well out to sea.

Looking out into voodoo country, the GFS is painting a strong weather system around the first of October with a strong, closed upper low coming across the Plains states. This system has the potential to produce some severe weather possibilities. An upper ridge builds in across the Gulf after that system passes providing another period of dry weather for Alabama.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

I’ll be filling in for Meaghan on ABC 3340 News at 6 and 10 pm today, so be sure to tune in for the latest forecast. I’m going to be assisting with announcing duties at the Birmingham Ride for Kids at Barber Motorsports Park on Sunday morning, so not too sure about the next video. I will try to post some forecast notes even if I can’t get a video done. Enjoy the marvelous warm weather and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Warm Weekend Ahead

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 15:44

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today**

RADAR CHECK: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are in progress this afternoon across Alabama… drifting slowly to the southwest.

These will fade quickly after the sun set this evening.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Tomorrow will be a mostly sunny day to kick off the weekend with a high in the mid 80s for most communities. The day Sunday will be dry and very warm with a high in the upper 80s; some West Alabama towns could touch 90 degrees Sunday afternoon. Then, a cold front will bring the risk of a few scattered showers Sunday night. Moisture will be limited, and the showers will diminish as they move south. Rain amounts will be light and spotty, and showers should be gone by daybreak Monday.

NEXT WEEK: A nice surge of dry, continental air will move into the state Monday, setting up a generally rain-free week with seasonal temperatures. Highs will be mostly in the low 80s, lows in the upper 50s and low 60s.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school football games tonight across Alabama, most stadiums will be dry, but a shower is possible in scattered spots during the first half of the games. Temperatures will fall through the 70s.

Alabama will host Florida at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa tomorrow afternoon (2:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 87 degrees, falling into the upper 70s by the final whistle. It will feel pretty hot if you are sitting in the sun.

TROPICS: Edouard has become post-tropical in the middle of the Atlantic this afternoon far from land, and the rest of the Atlantic is pretty quiet.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days and fair nights from Panama City west to Gulf Shores through the weekend and most of the week with only isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s, sea water temperatures also in the mid 80s. A nice, calm pattern.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the 6th graders at Brookwood Forest Elementary School in Mountain Brook; be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. Monday… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Categories: Weather

Warm Weekend Ahead; Isolated Showers Today

Fri, 09/19/2014 - 06:16

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

AT DAYBREAK: Showers/storms that formed over far West Alabama last night dissipated after midnight, and the radar is quiet this morning. For most of the state, today will be a partly sunny and warm day with a high in the mid to upper 80s. A few isolated showers are possible afternoon and early tonight, but many communities will remain dry.

For those along the Georgia border, clouds could be a little thicker today, with the risk of a shower a little higher due to the cold air damming effect. A cold high is centered over New England, and that colder air will drain down the slopes of the Appalachian Mountains. This could impact far East Alabama, but it is not the classic “wedge” setup.

OUR WEEKEND: Tomorrow will be mostly sunny and warm with a high in the mid 80s. Then, the day Sunday looks mostly warm and dry as well, but a cold front should push a band of showers into North Alabama late in the day Sunday and Sunday night. Moisture will be limited, so this won’t be a big rain event, but some places could see a shower as the weekend wraps up. Sunday will be a bit more like summer with a high in the upper 80s before the front arrives.

NEXT WEEK: Cooler and drier air spreads into Alabama Monday, and much of the week is looking dry and pleasant. Highs mostly in the low 80s, lows in the 50s and low 60s. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school football games tonight across Alabama, most stadiums will be dry, but we will mention a small risk of a shower during the first half. Temperatures will fall through the 70s.

Alabama will host Florida at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa tomorrow afternoon (2:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 87 degrees, falling into the upper 70s by the final whistle. It will feel pretty hot if you are sitting in the sun.

TROPICS: Tropical Storm Edouard will become post-tropical today over the Atlantic west of the Azores, and it remains far from land. A new wave has come off the coast of Africa, but if anything forms there we have no worries since that one should turn north into the open Atlantic. A low should form off the U.S. East Coast this weekend, but it will stay offshore.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days and fair nights from Panama City west to Gulf Shores through the weekend and most of the week with only isolated showers. Highs in the mid 80s, sea water temperatures also in the mid 80s. A nice, calm pattern.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have a weather program today at Brookwood Forest Elementary School in Mountain Brook… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Showers Remain Isolated

Thu, 09/18/2014 - 15:31

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: A lone storm was over Cullman County near Good Hope at 3:20 this afternoon, and a cluster of strong storms was about to move into Muscle Shoals. Otherwise, it is a dry day across Alabama with filtered sunshine through high clouds and temperatures mostly in the 80s.

We will maintain the risk of a few isolated showers or storms this evening with the northwest flow pattern over Alabama.

TOMORROW: For a good part of Alabama, it will be a partly sunny day with a high in the mid 80s. However, communities near the Georgia border could very well have a cloudy and cooler day with a high in the 70s, and maybe even a touch of light rain or drizzle thanks to a cold air damming (CAD) pattern that will push clouds in from the east. The best chance of seeing a shower tomorrow will be along and east of U.S. 431.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be a mostly sunny and warm day with a high in the mid 80s. Sunday stays warm and dry with a high in the 80s, but an approaching cold front could trigger a few widely spaced showers Sunday night and Monday morning. It sure doesn’t look like a big rain event, and many Alabama cities will see no rain at all.

Drier and cooler air moves into Alabama Tuesday and Wednesday. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For tonight’s Auburn/Kansas State football game in Manhattan, Kansas (6:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly fair, the temperature will fall from around 77 degrees at kickoff, into the low 70s by the final whistle.

For the high school football games tonight and tomorrow night across Alabama, most stadiums will be dry, but we will mention a small risk of a shower during the first half. Temperatures will fall through the 70s.

Alabama will host Florida at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa Saturday afternoon (2:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 85 degrees, falling into the upper 70s by the final whistle.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin is pretty quiet, although Hurricane Edouard is still hanging around with top winds of 80 mph. This system is moving east over the Central Atlantic and will remain far from land. A wave near the Cape Verde Islands in the far East Atlantic is disorganized. We do note computer models develop a surface low east of Florida over the next 36 hours; this might try and become better organized as it moves northeast, off the East Coast of the U.S.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Expect mostly sunny days, fair nights from Panama City over to Gulf Shores through Sunday with only isolated showers. Highs in the mid to upper 80s; sea water temperatures mostly in the mid 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I enjoyed speaking today at Alabama Power’s headquarters in downtown Birmingham… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

Just A Few Isolated Showers Today

Thu, 09/18/2014 - 06:27

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: The high resolution NAM model yesterday hinted at showers over North Alabama early this morning, and sure enough we have a few on radar this morning; they are moving southeast.

We will mention the risk of a few widely scattered showers today, but the most widespread rain should be west of the state over Mississippi/Louisiana/Arkansas, closer to a wave in the northwest flow aloft across the Mid-South. The chance of any one spot seeing a shower today is about one in five across north and central Alabama… otherwise the day will feature a mix of sun and clouds with a high in the mid 80s.

TOMORROW: Most of the state will have a partly sunny and warm day, but for those of you near the Georgia border, a cold air damming (CAD) pattern could bring clouds in for much of the day from the east, and maybe even a shower or two. The best chance of a shower will be near and east of U.S. 431, and even there they will be widely spaced. Tomorrow’s high will be in the 80s for most of the state, but communities near the Georgia border would hold in the 70s through the day.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be a mostly sunny day with a high in the mid 80s; the weather stays dry during the day Sunday, but we will introduce the chance of a shower Sunday night ahead of a cold front approaching from the north.

We will maintain the threat of a shower Monday as the front passes down through the state, then cooler and drier air arrives for Tuesday and Wednesday; it could be the coolest air we have seen so far this fall with highs in the 78-81 degree range, and lows in the 50s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For tonight’s Auburn/Kansas State football game in Manhattan, Kansas (6:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly fair, the temperature will fall from around 77 degrees at kickoff, into the low 70s by the final whistle.

For the high school football games tonight and tomorrow night across Alabama, most stadiums will be dry, but we will mention a slight risk of a shower during the first half. Temperatures will fall through the 70s.

Alabama will host Florida at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa Saturday afternoon (2:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 85 degrees, falling into the upper 70s by the final whistle.

TROPICS: Hurricane Edouard is moving east through the open Atlantic with winds of 85 mph… it will weaken and dissipate early next week far from land. A few wave has emerged off the coast of Africa, but shows little organization.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Expect mostly sunny days and fair nights on the Gulf Coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores through the weekend with only isolated showers; highs will remain in the mid to upper 80s. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 85 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be doing a severe weather safety program this morning at Alabama Power in downtown Birmingham… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

A Mostly Calm Weather Pattern

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 15:34

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: As expected, there are no showers anywhere in Alabama at mid-afternoon; the sky is partly to mostly sunny, with temperatures generally in the 80s. Muscle Shoals and Haleyville are at 78 degrees at 2:00 p.m. Dew points are low, and the air is dry. Many North Alabama communities will visit the upper 50s early tomorrow morning.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: While it looks like generally calm and dry weather continues, there are a couple of potential issues. One wave coming down in the northwest flow aloft, now producing showers and storms over Missouri and northern Arkansas, and the high resolution NAM brings down a batch of showers into North Alabama very early tomorrow morning, then moving southward through the state during the day. But, that model is an outlier, and with a very dry airmass in place I don’t think we see anything significant. I might insert a slight risk of a shower for North Alabama tomorrow due to this feature, but for now it doesn’t look like a big weather maker.

Then, on Friday, a cold air damming pattern (the wedge) sets up over Georgia and the Carolinas, and it looks like low clouds will push into far East Alabama Friday morning. Some communities near the Georgia border might even see a sprinkle or two. The high along and east of U.S. 431 will be in the 70s, but for the rest of the state Friday should be a partly sunny day with a high in the mid 80s.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Looks nice with ample sunshine Saturday and Sunday with highs holding in the 80s. A few showers could arrive Sunday night ahead of cold front. That front will bring the risk of widely scattered showers Monday, but it looks like moisture will be very limited, and it won’t be a major rain event. Cooler and drier air follows the front for the middle of next week. See the Weather Xtreme video for the latest maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For tomorrow night’s Auburn/Kansas State football game in Manhattan, Kansas (6:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly fair, the temperature will fall from around 77 degrees at kickoff, into the low 70s by the final whistle.

Clear weather for the high school football games in Alabama tomorrow and Friday night; temperatures will be in the upper 70s at kickoff, falling into the low 70s by the fourth quarter. No threat of rain or lightning delays this week.

Alabama will host Florida at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa Saturday afternoon (2:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 85 degrees, falling into the upper 70s by the final whistle.

TROPICS: Hurricane Edouard is packing sustained winds of 90 mph in the Atlantic; it is moving northeast and will remain far from land. A new tropical wave is moving off the coast of Africa, but any development will be slow.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days and fair nights through Sunday from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with only isolated showers over storms; highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, with sea water temperatures mostly in the mid 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I enjoyed seeing everyone at ALAGASCO today in Gadsden… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

JB, NWR, MOOCs, and Why Humans Matter in Higher Education

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 09:30

This guest post was authored by Dr. John Knox, an associate professor in the Geography Department and the Atmospheric Sciences Program at the University of Georgia.

Why am I a meteorologist? Let me tell you a story that is mine, but others’ as well. A story that, in the end, touches on one of the biggest unsolved questions in higher education today: why, in this era of democratized education via sophisticated technology, we still need humans in the loop as teachers and mentors.

As my students know, I became fascinated by the weather at the ripe old age of four, at an Atlanta Braves exhibition game interrupted and ended by a severe thunderstorm. By the age of five, I was reading books about the weather. But such childhood fascinations can wane; my son became enthralled with trains when he was 2, but he’s not majoring in railroads here at UGA. Particularly if you don’t have an adult mentor in the specialty who ushers you to that next level.

That’s what I had in meteorology, courtesy of the U.S. government, starting when I was 11 years old. In the aftermath of the deadly 1974 Tornado Superoutbreak that killed hundreds and disrupted communications from Alabama to Michigan, the National Weather Service realized that it needed its own way to get the word out about tornado warnings. NOAA Weather Radio (NWR) was born.

As national networks go, NWR was and is kind of a rinky-dink affair. The radio console looked like a glorified 8-track tape affair. Meteorologists at National Weather Service stations would record forecasts, weather summaries, hourly weather observations, and watches and warnings and plug them in. The tapes would play sequentially, over and over again, broadcast to the public on high-frequency stations.

It sounds deadly-dull, doesn’t it? Especially to a generation that has not been raised on the radio.

But for an 11-year-old weather nerd in the days before The Weather Channel, it was heaven. Now, instead of trying to learn about the weather from a three-minute TV weather broadcast, or the very, very occasional special on network TV back then, I had a 24/7/365 mentor on the weather radio that I begged my parents to buy.

And when I say “24/7/365,” that wasn’t not too far off the mark in terms of my NWR listening habits. My parents and brother marveled at my ability to listen for hours, absorbing weather information while doing homework, reading, or just lying around. It was my constant companion growing up.

Even better, the voices on NWR were real meteorologists at our local National Weather Service office. Some read the weather information without inflection. Others sounded almost comically Southern. But there was one, with a resonant tenor voice, who was the best of the best.

This sonorous meteorologist’s name, I learned eventually, was JB Elliott. A native of Hale County, Alabama, JB had, in post-WWII America, worked his way into the Weather Service without a college degree. Over time he became the widely known and beloved resident historian of all things Alabama weather. I eventually listened to NWR all over the country, but there was no one like JB for conveying both the history and the excitement of weather. He would get up out of bed and drive to the Weather Service office in the middle of the night just to do NWR broadcasts during severe weather. I told my family that the weather couldn’t be that severe until I heard JB’s voice on NWR.

Then there was April 4, 1977. An “F5” tornado—the worst—hit just a few miles away from us in Birmingham, killing 22 people. JB went on NWR live—no tape delay—broadcasting the warnings and making sure listeners knew of the gravity of the situation. When JB went live, you knew it wasn’t just bad weather, it was the worst. The damage was so horrendous, photographs of it ended up in training guides for meteorologists. Some of those photographs were taken by JB.

I didn’t meet JB face-to-face until much, much later, in the early 2000s. I had just published the first edition of an introductory college-level meteorology textbook. And in it, I dedicated the book to two meteorologists: the late chair of the meteorology department of my Ph.D. institution, and JB. It might be the first time that a college textbook has been dedicated to a government employee without a college degree. But I think you can tell why I dedicated the book to JB. Without his voice mentoring me in the weather during my childhood, all the way into college, I would likely have lost interest in the weather somewhere along the way.

Now, what does this have to do with higher education? Today we are grappling with the role and scope of online education at universities. Why keep costly humans in the loop at all? JB Elliott and NWR can speak to these questions.

And that’s because, after about 20 years of live meteorologists on NWR, the Weather Service automated the whole shebang in 1997. This was a time-saving, cost-saving move, designed with good intentions to have meteorologists spend more of their time on science and getting warnings out to the public.

And so JB’s tenor was replaced with Igor the Computer’s automated voice. That wasn’t the official name of the voice; the Weather Service tried to personalize things by calling them “Paul,” and “Donna,” and “Tom,” and “Javier.” They’re all Igor to me.

An important point here: the computerized voices ‘read’ the same type of information that the human meteorologists had for decades: hourly weather summaries, weather forecasts, etc. Most of the time, the only difference is that the words are automated vs. coming from a National Weather Service meteorologist.

But that makes all the difference to me. As Will Smith says in I, Robot: “Robots, [gesturing toward his heart], nothing here, just lights and clockwork. Go ahead, you trust ‘em if you want to.” I tried to listen to NWR’s automated broadcasts. I couldn’t. It wasn’t the same, and in fact it felt like a betrayal to me. I spent many thousands of hours listening to NWR in my youth. From the time of automation in 1997 until now, I have listened to NWR for a grand total of 15 minutes. Other “weather nerds” have said the same thing to me.

And I predict that no one, ever, will dedicate a meteorology textbook to Igor the Computer Voice.

Now, back to the ivory tower. I contend that my experience speaks to some of the deepest issues in higher education with regard to automation.

• The mentor/instructor must be present. That often means physically present. But JB was present for me in his voice, and in his getting out of bed and going on-air at 3 am during severe weather. I’ll write another time about the crucial nature of physical presence, but it isn’t absolutely necessary as long as you are truly present in other ways. And even though ‘he’ is always there, Igor the Computer is not in any human sense “present.”

• The mentor/instructor must be passionate. I do get strange looks from meteorologists of my generation when I talk about good ol’ NWR. They had NWR, too, in other parts of the country, but there it was just a radio that set off an alarm during severe weather. They didn’t have JB, and other Birmingham Weather Service meteorologists who invested time, energy and interest. And nobody had JB’s passion for the weather, clearly conveyed via the radio. It was the same kind of information, yes, but it lacked passion.

• In recent years there has been a big push to use technology to create massively open online courses, or MOOCs. Millions can be reached, but comparatively few students finish such courses, and the grades can be even worse than ‘normal’ classes. However, other instructors report good results with online courses on smaller scales. What’s going on here? Presence and passion. As I know from my own teaching experiences, even a large class can feel small and alive if the instructor is willing to be present in his or her students’ lives, passionate about the subject, and if the students are willing to suspend disbelief and pretend that a large science class can be a community, too. If MOOCs can create that environment on the scale of thousands or millions, then they will succeed. JB created it, on-air, for thousands in the Birmingham area. So it can be done outside of a face-to-face relationship. So the MOOC advocates are right in this sense. But it’s not about information dissemination. Most humans have to be motivated, emotionally, to learn. “Lights and clockwork” don’t do that.

Automation does have its advantages. Igor’s voice will drone on as long as the government keeps the transmitters working. JB retired from the Weather Service back in 1989. Recently, due to health, he has had to step back from participating in the Birmingham-based, world-renowned “Weatherbrains” podcasts. People get old, retire, and eventually die.

No one will shed a tear when Igor finally “signs off.” The same will not be said for JB Elliott, not among his thousands of friends in the flesh in Birmingham, and thousands more around the world online. And certainly not among the not-small contingent of those who became weather fanatics and even degreed meteorologists because of him.

And that is what real education is all about.

The hero in John’s story is our very own J.B. Elliott, who recently retired from his day to day forecasting duties, and someone that several of us called mentor. This photograph was from the Birmingham News article when J.B. retired. – Bill Murray

Categories: Weather

Dry Pattern Setting Up For Alabama

Wed, 09/17/2014 - 06:27

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

NO RAIN FOR A WHILE: A drier airmass pushed into Alabama last night, and it looks like a pretty benign weather pattern ahead for the state through the weekend. Mostly sunny warm days, lower humidity, and clear cool nights. Afternoon highs will be in the 80s; our coolest morning will come early tomorrow when most communities will enjoy a low between 58 and 63 degrees.

The only potential issue comes Friday with a cold air damming pattern sets up east of the state; we will have to keep an eye on clouds and cooler temperatures over Georgia and the Carolinas; that could creep into extreme East Alabama, but for now we will make the assumption the wedge won’t impact our state.

LATE IN THE WEEKEND: A cold front will approach, and we will mention the risk of a few widely scattered showers Sunday night as the weekend wraps up, but moisture looks very limited and it sure won’t be a big rain event. We will hang on to the risk of isolated showers Monday, and then a cooler, drier airmass arrives Monday night, setting up some very pleasant fall weather for the middle of next week with highs around 80 and lows in the 50s. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

DRY TIME OF THE YEAR: September-October is our driest two month period of the year in Alabama based on climatological averages; the average rain for September is 4.05″, with an average of just 3.23″ in October (for Birmingham). So long dry periods like this are fairly common this time of the year.

We should mention Birmingham’s rain total for the year is 34.50″, 4.66″ below average.

THURSDAY NIGHT SPECIAL: Looks like we can remove any threat of rain from tomorrow night’s Auburn/Kansas State football game in Manhattan, Kansas (6:30p CT kickoff). The sky will be mostly fair, the temperature will fall from around 77 degrees at kickoff, into the low 70s by the final whistle.

HIGH SCHOOL FOOTBALL: Clear weather for the high school football games in Alabama Thursday and Friday night; temperatures will be in the upper 70s at kickoff, falling into the low 70s by the fourth quarter. No threat of rain or lightning delays this week.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL THIS WEEKEND: Alabama will host Florida at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa Saturday afternoon (2:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 85 degrees, falling into the upper 70s by the final whistle.

TROPICS: Hurricane Edouard is now weakening as it recurves into the open Atlantic… far from land. Top winds are down to 90 mph. Tropical Storm Odile in the northern Gulf of California has the potential to bring flooding rain to Arizona and New Mexico through tomorrow. And, Tropical Storm Polo is in the East Pacific off the Mexican coast, but this one looks like it will miss Cabo San Lucas to the west this weekend thankfully.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days and fair nights on the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores through the weekend with only isolated showers Saturday and Sunday. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 85 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be doing a severe weather safety program this morning at ALAGASCO in Gadsden… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Dry Days Ahead; Cooler Nights

Tue, 09/16/2014 - 15:47

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Most of the showers and storms in Alabama this afternoon are down over the southern half of the state… but within the last few minutes a few storms have fired up along a surface boundary over North Alabama. We will maintain the chance of an isolated shower or storm this evening, but the sky becomes clear late tonight as dry air takes over.We drop down into the mid 60s early tomorrow morning.

REST OF THE WEEK: Looks very nice, with ample sunshine tomorrow, Thursday, and Friday. Highs will be generally in the mid 80s; the coolest morning will come early Thursday with temperatures generally between 58 and 62 degrees. Low clouds and cold air damming over Georgia could try and creep into extreme East Alabama Friday, but for now it looks like the main impact will be east of Alabama.

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: Auburn is off to Manhattan, Kansas, for a Thursday night showdown with the Kansas State Wildcats. Kickoff is at 6:30 CDT. The weather forecast for the game has only a slight chance of a passing shower, but it looks as though by game time it should only be partly cloudy with temps at or just below 80. By the end of the game, expect temps to be in the lower 70s. It should be breezy with winds ranging 10-15 mph out of the southeast.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be another dry day with a sunny sky and a high in the mid 80s. The latest GFS run keeps most of Alabama dry Sunday, although a cold front will be approaching by Sunday night. We will just mention the risk of a few widely scattered showers Sunday night or Monday morning with the front; at the moment it doesn’t look like a major rain producer. However, should some of the moisture from Tropical Storm Odile wrap ahead of the front, that could change. We will keep an eye on the situation.

The first few days of next week look dry and pleasant; see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: Hurricane Edouard achieved “major hurricane” status this morning as winds have reached 115 mph, making it a category three storm on the Saffir Simpson scale. It is in the middle of the Atlantic, and will recurve harmlessly over open water and is no threat to land.

Tropical Storm Odile will dissipate over the northern Gulf of California over the next 48 hours, but moisture will move up into Arizona and New Mexico, bringing a flash flood threat to the Southwest U.S.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Some very active weather today with this waterspout during the late morning hours near Navarre Beach (photo from Jack Burton)…

Drier air reaches the coast tomorrow, and the weather will feature mostly sunny days and fair nights through the weekend from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with only isolated showers. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, and sea water temperatures remain in the mid 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I enjoyed seeing everyone today at the Harvest of Hope banquet to benefit Oak Mountain Missions… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

A Few Lingering Showers; Drier Air Tonight

Tue, 09/16/2014 - 06:18

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

PATCHY FOG TO START THE DAY: A moist airmass is in place across much of Alabama this morning, and fog formed overnight, especially where rain fell yesterday. Some light rain has also moved into Northwest Alabama…

We will maintain the chance of some light rain, or a few showers today with most communities seeing a high in the mid 80s. We do expect a few intervals of sunshine later in the day.

Drier air arrives tonight, and that should set the stage for very nice weather for the rest of the week.

TOMORROW THROUGH FRIDAY: Expect mostly sunny days and fair pleasant nights; highs will be in the mid 80s on most days. The coolest morning will come early Thursday with upper 50s are possible as far south as Birmingham. Some of the cooler pockets over Northeast Alabama could see low to mid 50s.

We will keep an eye on a cold air damming (CAD) setup east of Alabama Friday; that might push some low clouds toward the Alabama/Georgia border, but for now we will keep a mostly sunny forecast statewide.

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: Auburn will play a Thursday night special this week in Manhattan, Kansas against Kansas State (6:30p CT kickoff); we project a temperature of 77 degrees at kickoff with only a small risk (15-20 percent) of a shower during the first half. Temperatures will fall into the low 70s by the fourth quarter.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be a delightful day, with ample sunshine and a high in the mid 80s. Then, as the weekend wraps up, the 00Z GFS brings a cold front into the state Sunday night. This could push a showers into our state late Sunday afternoon or Sunday night… at the moment it doesn’t look like a big rain event, but we will have to keep an eye on the moisture from Tropical Storm Odile, now over Baja California. If by chance some of that gets ahead of the surface front, it might bring more than that we are seeing on models now.

The front should be south of here by midday Monday, and the first half of next week looks dry and pleasant. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICAL WEATHER: Hurricane Edouard in the Central Atlantic is packing sustained winds of 110 mph, but it will recurve into the open Atlantic far from land. And, Odile was downgraded to a tropical storm over the Baja California peninsula last night as it moved northward. It will ultimately dissipate, but moisture from this will bring heavy rain and a significant flooding threat to parts of Arizona and New Mexico in coming days.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Expect a mix of sun and clouds today on the coast from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with scattered showers and storms; then mostly sunny days and fair nights tomorrow through the weekend with only very isolated showers. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 87 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be the emcee today at the annual Harvest of Hope banquet to benefit Oak Mountain Missions… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

WeatherBrains 451: Too Much In My Pocket

Tue, 09/16/2014 - 04:15

WeatherBrains Episode 451 is now online (September 15, 2014). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Tonight, we are honored to have a trio of young meteorologists on the program to talk about their role in weather for their social communities. Karl Schneider is the webmaster for the Huntsville Joint Chapter of the National Weather Association and American Meteorology Society. He is a co-owner of the US Weather Plus website. Lenny Mendola is a senior who is an administrator on Karl’s US Weather Page. He lives in Roseland NJ. And, Steve Hallet is a freshman at Penn State University. He is a website administrator for the Eastern PA Weather Authority.

This week’s guest panelist is Carl Schreck, who works with WeatherBrains alum Jarred Rennie at the NCDC in Asheville NC. He has been working recently on a project called Cyclone Center.

Our email bag officer is continuing to handle the incoming messages from our listeners.

Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

Picks of the Week:

John Scala – Spectacular video of the aurora from last Friday as viewed from Mount Washington

Kevin Selle – OVATION Aurora – Aurora Forecast from NOAA

Rick Smith – Storify

James Spann – iPhone 6 barometer

Aubrey Urbanowicz – Janice Dean’s Freddy the Frogcaster book

SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Dr. John Scala, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

Categories: Weather

Active Storms Moving Across Alabama

Mon, 09/15/2014 - 15:47

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: A number of strong storms are in progress over the North/Central part of Alabama this afternoon… heavier storms are producing heavy rain and lots of lighting as they move from west to east. The storms will die down late tonight.

TOMORROW: A surface front will creep through North Alabama, so we will still mention some risk of a shower or thunderstorm, but the air tomorrow should be drier and more stable, so showers should be pretty widely spaced, and many communities won’t see any rain; the high will be in the mid 80s.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: Fantastic weather Wednesday and Thursday; sunny days, fair cooler nights, and low humidity levels. Highs in the low to mid 80s; we should reach the upper 50s early Thursday morning. Some of the cooler pockets might even see low to mid 50s at daybreak Thursday. Friday should be dry for most of the state; we will keep an eye on a potential CAD setup (cold air damming) that could bring some clouds into East Alabama, but the possibility doesn’t look too high now.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Auburn will play a Thursday night special this week in Manhattan, Kansas against Kansas State (6:30p CT kickoff); we project a temperature of 77 degrees at kickoff with only a small risk (15-20 percent) of a shower during the first half. Temperatures will fall into the low 70s by the fourth quarter.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Looks very nice; dry air will stay in place meaning sunny warm days and fair pleasant highs. Highs will be in the low to mid 80s, with lows in the low to mid 60s. No chance of rain.

NEXT WEEK: A weak cold front might trigger a few showers Monday, but for now it doesn’t look like a big rain event. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICAL WEATHER: Hurricane Edouard, in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean, is packing sustained winds of 105 mph, and will remain far from land as it recurves. Hurricane Odile is moving northward over the Baja California peninsula of Mexico, and will be downgraded to a tropical storm tonight as it continues to weaken. Moisture from Odile could bring flash flooding to parts of Arizona and New Mexico later this week.

GULF COAST WEATHER: About 4 to 6 hours of sunshine tomorrow from Panama City west to Gulf Shores with scattered thunderstorms; then mostly sunny days, fair nights through the weekend with only very isolated showers. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, and sea water temperatures remain mostly in the mid 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

Strong Storms Over Southern Shelby and Northern Chilton

Mon, 09/15/2014 - 15:25

Strong storms are over southern Shleby and northern Chilton Counties where the NWS has posted a Significant Weather Alert for lightning, heavy rain and gusty winds.

Storms are strongest from north of Jemsion to west of Talladega Springs.

They are moving east at 10 mph.

Categories: Weather

Strong Storms over Jefferson, Shelby, St. Clair

Mon, 09/15/2014 - 14:38

UPDATE AT 2:50 PM
The NWS has added an Areal Flood Advisory for parts of Jefferson and St. Clair Counties as well. Communities include Pinson, Center Point, Trussville, Argo and Branchville. A wide area has received at least an inch of rain in a short time between the above communities.

ORIGINAL POST

Strong thunderstorms are occurring at this time over northeastern Jefferson and western St. Clair Counties.  They are centered in the Clay, Argo and CenterPoint areas.

The NWS has issued a Significant Weather Alert for the area inside the polygon on the above graphic.

They are moving southeast at 10 mph and will pass near Trussville, Branchville and Moody.

They contain dangerous lightning, wind gusts to over 40 mph and copious amounts of rain.

Be indoors as these dangerous storms approach.

Categories: Weather

Moist Air Returns To Alabama

Mon, 09/15/2014 - 06:25

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SHOWERS/STORMS LATER TODAY: Nothing on the radar at daybreak across Alabama; temperatures are in the low 60s over the Tennessee Valley, with low to mid 70s over the southern two-thirds of the state. We expect scattered showers and storms to fire up this afternoon and tonight… the chance of any one spot getting wet is in the 40-50 percent category. We will reach the low to mid 80s this afternoon with a mix of sun and clouds.

A drier airmass moves back into the state tomorrow, and there is only a small risk of a stray shower; most places will be dry.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: This three day stretch is looking dry and pleasant. The coolest morning will come early Thursday when many North Alabama communities will drop into the upper 50s; daytime highs will be in the 80s, but humidity levels will be low. The only potential fly in the ointment comes Friday when a cold air damming (CAD) pattern sets up over the eastern states; the “wedge” could creep into East Alabama with cooler temperatures, some clouds, and maybe a touch of light rain or drizzle. We won’t mention this in the forecast just yet… we will keep an eye on future model runs.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Looks very nice with a dry airmass in place. Sunny days, fair nights. Highs in the mid 80s, lows in the low to mid 60s. A weakening cold front might kick off a shower in a few places by Monday of next week, but for now it doesn’t look like a significant rain event. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Auburn will play a Thursday night special this week in Manhattan, Kansas against Kansas State (6:30p CT kickoff); we project a temperature of 77 degrees at kickoff with only a small risk (15-20 percent) of a shower during the first half. Temperatures will fall into the low 70s by the fourth quarter.

TROPICS: Hurricane Edouard is in the middle of the Atlantic with sustained winds of 105 mph; this will remain far from land as it recurves. The big story is over in the East Pacific; Hurricane Odile slammed into Cabo San Lucas and the southern tip of Baja California last night with sustained winds of 125 mph; it will weaken and move up the Baja peninsula today. Moisture from Odile could bring a flooding threat to parts of Arizona and New Mexica later this week.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Not much change this week on the coast; about 3 to 5 hours of sunshine today from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with one or two passing storms, then about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine on a daily basis tomorrow and Wednesday with scattered storms. Then, expect mostly sunny days and fair nights Thursday through the weekend with only a slight risk of a shower. Highs will be in the upper 80s, with sea water temperatures mostly in the mid 80s.

TEN YEARS AGO TODAY: Hurricane Ivan was on the approach to the Alabama Gulf Coast…

It would make landfall near Gulf Shores around 2:00 a.m. September 16, 2004 as a category three storm with sustained winds of near 120 mph. Damage to the Alabama coast was severe, and widespread.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon…. enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Warmer with Showers Monday

Sun, 09/14/2014 - 06:44

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

The northerly flow across Alabama yesterday and overnight resulted in quite a gradient in temperatures and dew points. This morning dew points were in the middle 50s in the Tennessee Valley while they were still in the lower 70s in Southeast Alabama. Slightly drier air aloft managed to erode much of the cloudiness across the state overnight. Look for the best chances for showers to once again be across South Alabama where moisture values remain the highest.

Aloft the elongated upper ridge will be subdued somewhat on Monday with the passage of a fairly strong trough moving across the Great Lakes. The trough should extend its influence far enough south to allow good chances for widespread showers and storms across Central Alabama. High pressure to the northeast of Alabama will allow moisture to return northward on Monday, too, adding to the potential for our best chances for rain in the week ahead.

The fast moving trough will quickly exit across New England by Tuesday as the overall upper flow becomes northwesterly as the long wave trough sets up across the eastern third of the Nation. The development of this trough should begin the drying process with drier air in place for the middle and latter part of the week ahead. By the end of the week, the upper ridge over the western US will migrate eastward allowing our temperatures to warm up into the upper 80s for Friday and Saturday.

At the beach, typical late summer weather continues along the Alabama and Northwest Florida Gulf Coast today and for most of the week ahead. Highs will be in the upper 80s, overnight lows in the upper 70s. There will be a mix of sun and clouds, with scattered showers and storms. You can expect 4 to 6 hours of sun each day with daily chances for scattered showers.

Tropics are a tad active. Edouard is expected to achieve hurricane status sometime today while it churns northwestward in the open Atlantic before turning more northerly on Tuesday. In the Gulf of Mexico, the area of disturbed weather has become quite diffuse as it moves steadily westward across the Central Gulf with little potential for development. An area of disturbed weather west of the Cape Verde Islands shows little signs of development.

The GFS long range progs continue to keep the idea of general troughiness across the eastern US into late September. But there is also the depiction of some tropical mischief for the Gulf near the end of the month. But you know how this can change that far into voodoo country.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

James Spann will have the next Weather Xtreme Video first thing on Monday morning. Enjoy the day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Most Areas Dry

Sat, 09/13/2014 - 15:18

As expected today, the bulk of the unsettled weather is across southern portions of the state. We continue to see a mix of sun and clouds today, but we are seeing most locations staying dry. The radar returns in Central Alabama are mostly just ground clutter and it is not raining in the areas.  The main shower and storm activity is over the southeastern counties.

There is a wide range of temperatures across the Central Alabama today. Locations to the north are in the lower 70s, while down south, where the front has not pushed through yet, upper 80s and lower 90s are showing up. For the rest of today, we should see the cloud cover continue to thin out, and the sky should be partly cloudy overnight. There is only a slight chance of a shower for locations north of the U.S. 80 corridor.

Categories: Weather

Clouds but Cooler

Sat, 09/13/2014 - 07:45

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

The weak cold front that has been plaguing the Southeast US for the last couple of days continued to sag slowly southward and was situated across southern Alabama this morning. This has allowed slightly cooler and drier air to move into the northern half of Alabama, so I expect to see mostly cloudy skies today with scattered showers possible mainly across South Alabama. The front continued to have little to push it further southward due to an elongated ridge in the upper atmosphere.

If you are headed to Tuscaloosa where Alabama will host Southern Miss this evening with a 5:00 pm kickoff, it looks like the sky will be occasionally cloudy, but the weather should be dry with a kickoff temperature near 80 degrees, falling through the 70s during the second half. UAB hosts Alabama A&M at Legion Field in Birmingham at 2:30 pm; the sky will be generally cloudy with only a small risk for a shower. The temperature will be around 80 degrees at kickoff, falling into the middle 70s by the final whistle.

The forecast for the beaches: about 4 to 6 hours of sunshine along the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores through Sunday with scattered thunderstorms; highs will be in the upper 80s. Sea water temperatures are also in the mid 80s.

Tropics are active as expected during the the heart of tropical storm season. Edouard is forecast to become a hurricane on Monday but it is expected to remain well out in the Atlantic. Two areas of disturbed weather were noted in the Gulf of Mexico. The one near the Mexican coast is not expected to develop much as it moves westward into Mexico. The other one just off the Southwest coast of Florida is forecast to track westward and the upper level wind pattern does not appear to be very favorable for any development in the near term. Because this is in the Gulf of Mexico, it will bear watching and a Hurricane Hunter aircraft may investigate the area today.

The ridge remains in place Sunday so isolated showers remain a possibility though we note that precipitable water values continue to drop slightly. The main moisture remains across South Alabama where the better chances for showers should be. While the westerlies remain well to our north, the GFS continued to show general troughiness over the eastern US for the middle and latter portion of the week. This is likely to keep us dry for the latter part of the week. I did note that the ECMWF was considerably drier with its solution than was the GFS.

Looking out into voodoo, the GFS continues to keep the primary trough across the eastern third of the US, but the trough is forecast to weaken as upper ridging again develops over the Southeast US around the end of September. This could mean some warmer weather for us at the end of the month.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

I expect to have the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video first thing on Sunday morning. Enjoy the cooler weather and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Flash Flood Warning Bibb/Jefferson/Shelby/Tuscaloosa til 7:30PM

Fri, 09/12/2014 - 16:43

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IN…
EAST CENTRAL TUSCALOOSA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…
NORTH CENTRAL BIBB COUNTY IN ALABAMA…
SOUTHWESTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN ALABAMA…
WEST CENTRAL SHELBY COUNTY IN ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 730 PM CDT

*TURN AROUND, DON’T DROWN!!!

* AT 441 PM CDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED SLOW MOVING
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.
RADAR ESTIMATES NEARLY 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN PORTIONS OF
EASTERN TUSCALOOSA COUNTY AND STORMS ARE SLOWLY MOVING EASTWARD.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN
THE WARNED AREA.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE…
ALABASTER…BESSEMER…HELENA…ABERNANT…ALABAMA ADVENTURE…
BLUFF PARK…BROOKWOOD…DEERLICK CREEK CAMPGROUNDS…HOOVER
METROPOLITAN STADIUM…LAKE VIEW…LAKE WILDWOOD…MAYLENE…NORTH
JOHNS…ROSS BRIDGE…TANNEHILL IRONWORKS STATE PARK…VANCE AND
WOODSTOCK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. RAINFALL FROM PERSISTENT RAINBANDS
WILL PRODUCE FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS AND ALONG STREETS. MANY
ROADS WILL BE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER AND DRIVING IS NOT RECOMMENDED
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER…
CALL 1-800-856-0758 OR TWEET YOUR REPORT USING HASHTAG ALWX

Categories: Weather

Flash Flood Warning Jefferson/St. Clair until 7PM

Fri, 09/12/2014 - 15:55

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR…
EAST CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY IN ALABAMA…
WEST CENTRAL ST. CLAIR COUNTY IN ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT

* TURN AROUND, DON’T DROWN!!!

* AT 355 PM CDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED SLOW MOVING
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. RAIN
AMOUNTS MAY EXCEED 3 INCHES IN A FEW LOCATIONS.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE…
IRONDALE…MOODY…TRUSSVILLE…ALTON…ARGO…BALD ROCK…
BIRMINGHAM AIRPORT…BRANCHVILLE…CENTER POINT…CHALKVILLE…
CLAY…MARGARET AND TARRANT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

Categories: Weather