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The latest information on Alabama weather, tornadoes, hurricanes, winter storms, national weather headlines and the science of meteorology in general.
Updated: 53 min 16 sec ago

Subtle Boundary Triggers Rogue Storms

Sun, 06/22/2014 - 08:12

Scroll down for Brian’s excellent as always morning discussion.

Checking radar trends early on this Sunday morning, a couple of thunderstorms developed on some sort of southward moving boundary that was evident in radar reflectivity this morning. It appears to be the leading edge of an area of slightly drier air that has seeped southwestward into the state thanks to retreating high pressure to our southwest and the circulation around a weak area of low pressure that developed near the North Carolina coast.


One over Marion County dumped heavy rain and caused lots of lightning for a brief time. Moderate rain is all that is left now and it is moving through Fayette and western Walker Counties between Carbon Hill and Fayette and Berry.

Another small storm flared briefly over western Jefferson County near Hueytown, but quickly weakened as it moved toward Ross Bridge. lightning has died down with this cell but some moderate rain will affect I-459 between Hoover and McCalla.

Elsewhere, there is a good bit of cloudiness over Central Alabama. Temperatures are in the 70s. Behind the boundary, dewpoints are in the upper 60s, with lower 70s to the southwest. A little bit of instability was found ahead of the boundary which led to the storms.

If that boundary is for real today, it could do one of two things. It could mean fewer storms north of US-82. Or it could mean any storms that do form will have the potential to produce strong downburst winds due to a little drier air aloft. The HRRR and 4km NAM models side with the former. That is pretty much what the current forecast says: best chances for rain today in places like Tuscaloosa, Demopolist and Montgomery.

Highs will be near 90F.

Categories: Weather

Off and On Storms

Sun, 06/22/2014 - 07:03

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

Moisture levels remain high across Central Alabama and are likely to remain that way for much of the next seven days. Isolated showers were already showing up on radar in Lamar, Marion, and Fayette counties this morning. Precipitable water values were the highest across the area from about Birmingham and Tuscaloosa toward Mobile, so I expect to see storm coverage a little higher over that area. So storms are likely just about every day this week. But everyone won’t get wet every day.

The upper ridge which kept storms in check for the last several days has been suppressed a good deal. This is allowing for our area to be influenced by small disturbances moving through the west-to-east flow. One of those disturbances will be coming across the Ohio River Valley on Monday and Tuesday, and it looks like it will be responsible for increasing storm coverage across our area for those two days. While daily heating will be the main driving force, this disturbance will open us to storms at about any hour of the day.

The overall upper air pattern becomes nearly zonal at mid week and then we settle into a couple of days of lowered pressure over the Lower Mississippi River Valley. This will keep our weather unsettled with the focus primarily on daytime storms from noon to 8 pm or so. Daytime highs will dip back just a tad due to increased clouds and somewhat wider storm coverage with highs in the upper 80s.

By late next weekend, the GFS is building the upper ridge back into the Central US. This should bring a return of summer heat as we edge into voodoo country. But looking into the early days of July, the GFS continued to suggest a substantial trough for early July in the eastern US. But that is eventually replaced by a large upper ridge along the eastern slopes of the Rockies.

Tropics remain quiet. The GFS hints at some some increased storm activity in the western Gulf next Sunday.

FOR THE BEACH: Look for 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day through Monday from Panama City to Gulf Shores with a few scattered showers and storms around. Showers and storms will become a little more numerous into next week. Highs along the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with lower 90s inland.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

James Spann will have the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video on Monday morning. Enjoy your day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Storms On Opposite Sides of the State

Sat, 06/21/2014 - 21:28

Heavy thunderstorms are on opposite sides of Central Alabama tonight.

Storms are heavy in the Gadsden area, covering much of Etowah County and extending southeastwar dinto northern Clahoun and Cleburne Counties. Heavy rain and lightning is occurring in the Jacksonville area.

On the western side of the state, heavy storms are in northern Lamar and entering Fayette County, located between Winfield and Fayette.

None of the storms are severe or appear to be threatening to become so, but lightning, gusty winds and very heavy rainfall will accompany them.

Categories: Weather

Storms Dropping Southward

Sat, 06/21/2014 - 19:58

Storms are dropping southward tonight across North Central Alabama. They seem to be getting stronger.

They are not severe but the NWS Birmingham has issued a significant weather alert for Winston County.

The stronger cells were located from east of Hamilton, south of Double Springs, north of Cullman and in Northeast Alabama, which has been a favored location for storms the past couple of days. In Northeast Alabama, stronger cells were over southern Jackson, DeKalb and Cherokee Counties near Cedar Bluff.

Everything is moving southeast at 15 mph.

As they approach, be ready for lots and lots of lightning, strong gusty winds and torrential rain.

In northern Mississippi, there is a tornado warning now for Panola county for a storm southeast of Senatobia.

Categories: Weather

Severe Thunderstorm Warning SE Cherokee County Til 1 p.m

Sat, 06/21/2014 - 12:18

LATE NOTE AT 12:38
The NWS has canceled the warning. The storm has weakened below severe limits, but is causing torrential rains, copious lightning and strong gusty winds now over southern Cherokee County, brushing across northeastern Calhoun County near Piedmont and about to move into northern Cleburne County. Stay alert for these hazards as this storm moves over your location.

Strong storms over Northeast Alabama have become strong this afternoon. One over southeastern Cherokee County is now potentially severe.

The storm approaching Pleasant Gap is capable of producing large hail to the size of quarters and perhaps larger. Winds could reach 60 mph which will produce damage.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
SOUTHEASTERN CHEROKEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 100 PM CDT

* AT 1211 PM CDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL…AND DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES WEST OF
FORNEY. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
FORNEY…PLEASANT GAP AND SPRING GARDEN.

Categories: Weather

Summer Starts

Sat, 06/21/2014 - 07:13

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

Summer is officially off and running as of 5:51 am, so let the fireworks begin. And it looks like we’ll probably be seeing fireworks in the form of thunderstorms today and off and on for the week ahead.

In the short term, the upper ridge has broken down a little with slight troughiness along the eastern seaboard. Together with precipitable water values running close to 2 inches, thunderstorms should be fairly numerous today driven primarily by afternoon heating. Precipitable water values fall slightly Sunday across North and Central Alabama, so I expect to see a reduction in storms especially from Birmingham to the northeast. Storms could still be fairly numerous over South Alabama Sunday where precipitable water values don’t change much. Highs should climb into the lower 90s today.

The week ahead looks unsettled with thunderstorms pretty much a daily occurrence. Precipitable water values stay high across much of the Southeast US plus with the ridge suppressed somewhat, there are various small short wave disturbances that will be moving through the upper atmosphere. While daytime heating is likely to be the primary driving factor in storm production, the timing of these short waves could result in storms even in the morning hours. And the GFS keeps this unsettled pattern with an upper level weakness over the Lower Mississippi Valley for much of the middle and latter part of the week. So it could be wetter than typically seen plus with the increased clouds and rainfall potential, highs should top out in the upper 80s for most places.

FOR THE BEACH: Look for 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day through Monday from Panama City to Gulf Shores with a few scattered showers and storms around. Showers and storms will become a little more numerous into next week. Highs along the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with lower 90s inland. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this afternoon is a toasty 89.6 degrees Fahrenheit.

TROPICS remain quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected across the Atlantic Basin through next week.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

Don’t forget to get fresh vegetables every Saturday through the summer at Helena’s Market Days from 8 am to noon. There are other great items, too, along with cooking demonstrations at Helena’s Amphitheater Park on Buck Creek. I expect to have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted by 8 am or so on Sunday. Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Western Cullman Co til 515pm

Fri, 06/20/2014 - 16:48

A strong storm is over western Cullman County at this hour, moving south southeast in the general direction of Dodge City. It will pass well south of the city of Cullman and just west of Good Hope.

Here is the radar as of 4:47:

Quarter sized hail and damaging winds are possible. Torrential rains and deadly lightning will accompany the storm as well.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
WESTERN CULLMAN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 515 PM CDT

* AT 446 PM CDT…DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR JONES CHAPEL…
AND MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
DODGE CITY…SARDIS…JONES CHAPEL…CRANE HILL…LOGAN AND SMITH
LAKE.

Categories: Weather

Sun and Storms

Fri, 06/20/2014 - 15:52

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS: Again today the classic case of “scattered afternoon thunderstorms” on a summer day in Alabama. The storms are moving slowly to the southeast, and they will fizzle out as soon as the sun goes down later this evening.

TOMORROW AND SUNDAY: No major changes… we will forecast a mix of sun and clouds both days, with a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. While the best chance of a shower will come during the afternoon and evening hours, we can’t totally rule out the risk of a morning shower, especially tomorrow. Showers and storms could be a little fewer in number Sunday over North and East Alabama thanks to a temporary intrusion of drier air. Highs over the weekend will be at or just over 90 degrees in most spots.

NEXT WEEK: The upper high will move well to the west of Alabama, which will open the door for increased shower/thunderstorm activity across the state Monday through Friday. We will have some decent intervals of sunshine along the way, but it looks like just about every day we will deal with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms. And, with the increased clouds and showers, highs will drop back into the mid to upper 80s on most days. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

AT THE BEACH: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day through Monday from Panama City to Gulf Shores with a few scattered showers and storms around. Showers and storms will become a little more numerous by the middle of next week. Highs along the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with low 90s inland. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this afternoon is a toasty 89.6 degrees (F).

TROPICS: All remains quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected across the Atlantic basin through next week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for my next Weather Xtreme video here Monday morning by 7:00 a.m…. Brian Peters will have the video updates here tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Categories: Weather

Showers and Storms Form

Fri, 06/20/2014 - 12:52

Showers and thunderstorms formed quickly late this morning across the northern half of Alabama, especially for areas east of US-78 and 280.

Click image to enlarge

The heaviest concentration is over Northeast Alabama. Here, a northwesterly low level flow was picking up a bit of a lift from two things: the topography of the Appalachian foothills and a bit of a wedge airmass that has worked down the eastern side of the mountains.

In Northeast Alabama, heavy showers and storms extended from Wellington and Jacksonville to northwest of Piedmont and Forney. They are pushing southeast at 10-15 mph and contain gusty winds, heavy rain and lightning. There could even be some small hail.

To the northwest of Birmingham, storms were forming over eastern Walker County. These cells are not enjoying the same extra lift that the Northeast Alabama storms are, but they will probably hold together. As they push southeast, they will affect parts of the Birmingham Metro area.

The storms shouldn’t become severe, but can’t rule that possibility out completely.

Categories: Weather

A Few Showers/Storms Later Today

Fri, 06/20/2014 - 06:12

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

HIT AND MISS STORMS: The overall weather pattern just won’t change much for Alabama through the weekend. The sun will be out at times, and we will deal with a few scattered showers and thunderstorms. The tricky part of the forecast is handling the placement, timing, and coverage of the scattered storms.

About a one in four risk of any one spot seeing a shower or thunderstorm this afternoon… below is the output from the high resolution HRRR model at 1:00 today.

THE WEEKEND: Tomorrow the upper high will be west of Alabama, and we see evidence in high res models that a wave rotating around the high could kick off a few showers or storms tomorrow morning, and we will just mention a risk of scattered showers/storms at any time tomorrow with a mix of sun and clouds. It certainly won’t rain all day, but a passing shower or thunderstorm will be possible at just about any hour. The high will remain close to 90 degrees.

Then, on Sunday, both the GFS and the NAM look relatively dry for North/Central Alabama thanks to mid-level dry air that moves in from the north. We won’t take out the chance of rain, but it looks like afternoon storms Sunday could be few and far between. The sky will be partly sunny with a high at or just over 90 degrees in most locations.

NEXT WEEK: The weather will trend wetter as the upper high retreats to West Texas, and a surface front approaches from the north. Storms Monday will remain scattered, but we expect scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms Tuesday through Friday as the front stalls out north of the state, and the air remains pretty unstable. And, with the increase in clouds and showers, highs should drop back into the upper 80s by mid-week. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: About 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day through Tuesday from Panama City west to Gulf Shores with just a few widely scattered storms around. Showers will increase a bit by Wednesday and Thursday of next week, but there will still be a pretty decent amount of sunshine. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s; lows 90s inland. And, sea water temperatures are up into the mid and upper 80s now.

TROPICS: A weak disturbance east of Daytona Beach will drift north, and development is not expected there, or anywhere else across the Atlantic basin through the weekend.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

Categories: Weather

Storms Fewer In Number So Far

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 15:32

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: The radar across North/Central Alabama as expected is not as active today. There are showers and storms around, but they are widely spaced.

Storms could still form over the next several hours, but after sunset the air will become more stable and the showers fade away. Temperatures are mostly in the 89-92 degree range this afternoon.

TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: The upper ridge over the Deep South will slowly weaken and move west, which will open the door for a slow increase in the number of showers and storms. But, still the activity will be scattered, and mostly during the afternoon and evening hours. Expect a mix of sun and clouds each day with a high around 90 degrees…. very similar to the weather conditions we have seen so far this week.

NEXT WEEK: The upper high moves to northern Mexico, which should open the door for a relatively unsettled week with scattered to numerous showers and storms each day with a limited amount of sun. Highs will drop back into the upper 80s due to the increased clouds and showers.

GULF COAST WEATHER: About 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day for the Gulf Coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores through the weekend, with the usual risk of scattered storms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with low 90s inland. The sea water temperature this afternoon at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 88 degrees, as warm as we have see it all year.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Summer Mix Of Sun And Storms

Thu, 06/19/2014 - 06:12

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

GOOD OLE SUMMER WEATHER: The overall weather pattern won’t change much across Alabama through the weekend. An upper ridge remains in place this morning, and we project a high in the low 90s today with a partly sunny sky. During the peak of the daytime heating process, a few showers and storms will form in random spots. Probably not as many as yesterday; the chance of any one spot getting wet today is about one in five. Most of the storms will come from 2:00 p.m. until 8:00 p.m., and they won’t move much at all because of light winds aloft. This is the HRRR model projection of radar at 2pm CT…

The core of the upper ridge will shift slowly to the southwest in coming days, and the air aloft will be a little colder tomorrow and over the weekend, so we expect a gradual increase in the number of afternoon storms. Not a “rainy weekend”, but no doubt we will have to deal with a few passing showers or storms Saturday and Sunday. Afternoon highs will be around 90 degrees with a mixture of clouds and sun each day.

NEXT WEEK: The trend toward increased shower and thunderstorm activity will continue as the ridge moves away and the air becomes more unstable. We will project scattered to numerous showers and storms, mostly during the afternoon and evening hours, at least through the first half of the week with highs dropping into the upper 80s.

The 00Z GFS tries to move drier air down into North Alabama by Thursday (June 26), but we all know that rarely happens in late June in Alabama. We will believe that when we see it. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days, fair nights along the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores through the weekend with a few widely scattered storms around. Highs will be in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with low 90s inland. Showers and storms will be a little more active on the coast next week, but you will still see a decent amount of sun each day. Sea water temperatures are now up in the low to mid 80s.

TROPICS: The weather is quiet across the Atlantic basin and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Hit and Miss, Slow Moving Storms

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 15:45

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: It is the classic case of scattered thunderstorms on a summer afternoon in Alabama today. Many neighborhoods remain dry, a few have been soaked. Even some small hail reported with the stronger storms today.

Storms once again are moving very little, and they will fizzle out later this evening after the sun goes down. Away from the storms, temperatures are mostly in the low 90s.

REST OF THE WEEK: The weather won’t change much through Friday. Storms might be a little fewer in number tomorrow as the air aloft will be slightly warmer. Highs remain in the 90-90 degree range, and most of the scattered storms will come from about 1:00 until 8:00 p.m. The risk of any one spot getting wet tomorrow and Friday is in the 20-30 percent range.

OUR WEEKEND: The classic summer pattern rolls along. Look for a mix of sun and clouds Saturday and Sunday with “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. Highs at or just over 90 degrees both days.

NEXT WEEK: Showers and storms should become more numerous next week as the upper ridge continues to weaken and the air becomes more unstable. Afternoon highs should drop back into the upper 80s by mid-week due to the clouds and showers. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: An isolated shower this morning over Mobile Bay produced a waterspout just north of Fort Morgan… (photo by Becky Overton)

The weather looks great through the weekend on the coast from Panama City over to Gulf Shores. Yes, there will be a few widely scattered storms around, but each day should feature a good supply of sunshine. Highs on the coast in the upper 80s, with low 90s inland.

TROPICS: Tropical storm formation is not expected across the Atlantic basin through the weekend.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

A Few Isolated Storms

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 13:41

Some storms have developed across Central Alabama today. One storm is affecting northern and western portions of the Birmingham Metro. Elsewhere, other showers and storms are impacting parts of Cleburne, Cherokee, Tuscaloosa, Marengo, Perry, and Clay counties. None of the storms are severe, but are producing some heavy rainfall, as well as lightning and thunder. They are ever so slowly moving towards the west-northwest.

These storms will continue to next few hours, and of course we will see additional development through the afternoon hours. This activity will begin to wind down after the sun sets this evening. Most areas will remain dry today.

Categories: Weather

A Few Storms Later Today

Wed, 06/18/2014 - 06:37

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SUN AND STORMS: It is that time of the year when weather changes in Alabama tend to be rather subtle.. we will pretty much see the same kind of weather each day through Friday. Days begin mostly sunny… the you see the towering cumulus clouds by late morning, and a handful of slow moving showers and storms show up by afternoon. The storms will be scattered, like recent days, and many neighborhoods won’t get wet. But, if you get under one of the storms, you could see heavy rain due to the slow movement.

Afternoon highs will remain generally in the 90-93 degree range thanks to an upper high across the Deep South.

OUR WEEKEND: No big changes, although the number of afternoon storms could increase a bit Saturday and Sunday as the ridge begins to weaken slowly. Expect a mix of sun and clouds both days with a high near, or just over 90 degrees in most spots. The chance of any specific point getting wet both days is about one in four.

NEXT WEEK: The air aloft should be a bit cooler, meaning the air will be a little more unstable. This, in turn, should mean a slow increase in the number of scattered showers and storms. Heat levels drop a bit, with highs for the first half of the week in the 88-91 degree range. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

VOODOO LAND: The GEFS ensemble hints temperatures could continue to trend downward later this month and into early July…

GULF COAST WEATHER: Still looking great through the weekend; mostly sunny days, fair nights, and just a few widely scattered storms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with low 90s inland. The sea water temperature this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is a warm 85 degrees.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet and tropical storm formation is not expected through the week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be speaking to a group of Alabama Power retirees in Anniston this morning… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Another Storm, Same Place As Yesterday

Tue, 06/17/2014 - 15:58

WINDS GUST TO 43 MPH AT BHM
Winds gusted to 43 mph at the Birmingham Shuttlesworth International Airport at 3:51. The temperature fell from 88F to 80F.

The storm is now weakening. Heavy rain drifted south over I-59 between the I-20 interchange and Oporto Madrid Blvd.

ORIGINAL POST 3:58
Interestingly, in almost a repeat performance of yesterday, a heavy thunderstorm has developed over northern portion of the Birmingham Metro. The storm was centered near and just east of Tarrant.

A small area just north of the Airport has probably picked up an inch of rain in less than 45 minutes.

The NWS has issued an Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory for this area, including Tarrant City and Center Point as the storm remains stationary or drifts slowly north.

The storm is maintaining intensity for now. A smaller pulse storm to the north already collapsed and weakened, but the outflow from that storm actually caused this one to intensify. Downtown is probably feeling a rush of cool air from the outflow.

More storms are well southeast of Birmingham, in the area generally between Auburn and Columbus GA, with others to the northwest of Tuskegee.

Categories: Weather

Sun And A Few Storms

Tue, 06/17/2014 - 15:54

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

A FEW STORMS OVER EAST ALABAMA: As expected, storms are pretty isolated across Alabama this afternoon. Most of them are east of I-65, and they are moving very little. And, like yesterday, we have a big downpour just northeast of downtown Birmingham.

Under the stronger storms, some localized flooding issues are possible because of the lack of motion. All of the storms will end soon after the sun goes down.

REST OF THE WEEK: The weather just won’t change very much as the upper ridge stays in place, and slowly weakens through Friday. We will probably see a slow increase in the number of afternoon storms late in the week, but they will still be pretty widely spaced. The sky will remain partly sunny each day with afternoon highs near, or just over 90 degrees. Another words, very classic mid-June weather.

THE WEEKEND: The air aloft should be colder, so scattered showers and storms will be a little more numerous Saturday and Sunday. Still, they will be scattered in nature, and there will be a decent amount of sun both days. Look for highs in the 88-91 degree range. Chance of any one spot getting wet both days will be about one in three.

The trend toward wetter conditions will continue early next week, and highs should drop back into the upper 80s Monday and Tuesday with scattered to numerous showers and storms around. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

AT THE BEACH: We still expect a good supply of sunshine each day through the weekend for the stretch of coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores with just a few isolated showers/storms. Highs in the upper 80s along the immediate coast, with low 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are up into the low and mid 80s now.

TROPICS: All remains quiet across the Atlantic basin and tropical storm formation is not expected through the week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
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I enjoyed seeing the kids in the summer program at Covenant Classical School in Shelby County today… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

Typical Mid-June Weather

Tue, 06/17/2014 - 06:13

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SUN AND A FEW STORMS: If you could define a typical mid-June weather day in Alabama, yesterday was it. Lots of sun during the day… a high around 90… and a handful of afternoon storms in widely scattered spots. The storms didn’t move much due to light winds aloft, and we actually had some flooding issues just northeast of downtown Birmingham (in Tarrant) from one of them.

We just don’t see much change in this overall pattern for the rest of the week. An upper high is across the Deep South, and the warm air aloft will limit the number of showers and storms we have every afternoon. The chance of any one spot seeing a storm is about one in five… here is the HRRR model output valid today at 1:00 p.m. CT

Showers will fade away every evening after the sun goes down, and afternoon highs will remain generally in the 89 to 92 degree range. Days will be partly to mostly sunny.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The upper ridge will shift west, and the air aloft here will be a little cooler, making the air a little more unstable. Accordingly, the number of afternoon showers and storms should increase a bit. Not a “rainy” weekend, but just keep in mind you might deal with a passing shower or storm at some point. Expect a mix of sun and clouds both days with a high between 88 and 91 degrees.

The trend toward lower heat levels and increased shower and storm activity will continue into early next week as the heat ridge continues drifting to the west, away from Alabama. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: The weather looks great through the weekend for the stretch of coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. Mostly sunny days, fair nights, with just a few isolated storms along the way. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with low 90s possible inland. The sea water temperature this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 83 degrees.

TROPICS: Tropical storm formation is not expected this week across the Atlantic basin.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be doing a weather program this morning at Covenant Classical School in Shelby County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

WeatherBrains 438: Who Turned On Aubrey?

Tue, 06/17/2014 - 05:15

WeatherBrains Episode 438 is now online (June 16, 2014). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Tonight’s Guest WeatherBrain is a Professor of Communications in the Department of Communications Studies at the University of California at Pennsylvania. She is one of the leaders in the field of study communicating the weather. Dr. Susan Jasko, welcome to WeatherBrains.

Dr. Jasko taught at several institutions, including Ohio University, Nassau Community College, and Montclair State University before coming to Cal U in 1998. She is the founding president of the New Jersey Communication Association, a past president and officer of the New York State Communication Association, and a frequent unit planner for the Eastern Communication Association. She has been a basic course director, graduate program coordinator, and a department chair. She has served as an assistant to several deans of the College of Liberal Arts. She has served on and chaired numerous committees and regularly presents her work at the National Communication Association conventions. She is on the editorial board of two journals, has published articles, and is the co-author of one book. She has received the Neil Postman Mentoring Award.

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Extremes: 109 at Death Valley, CA, and 26 at Shirley Basin, WY
  • Moderate risk of severe weather centered on Iowa Monday night
  • Numerous tornadoes in Nebraska
  • June 17th is the 16th Anniversary of CoCoRaHS
  • 3-digit heat in the Southwest
  • Closed low over the Northwest with ridge over the eastern US
  • and more!
  • Our email bag officer is continues to shuffle through the incoming messages from our listeners. And does a right fine job of it, too!!

    From The Weather Center:

    WeatherBrains 101: We’re coming up on hurricane season for the Atlantic Basin, so that means hurricane forecasters have had six months off, right? Not exactly. While we might think a job focusing on just six months leaves the rest of the year free, it really doesn’t as we see in this episode of 101.

    TWIWH: Bill Murray looks back at the week of June 16th.

    Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

    Web Sites from Episode 438:

    Cal U

    StormFest at Carnegie Institute, Pittsburgh

    CoCoRaHS web page

    Picks of the Week:

    Susan Jasko – Western Pennsylvania Weather Posse

    Nate Johnson – International Business Times Article

    Bill Murray – Gets The Horn

    Brian Peters – NOAA Wallpaper and Poster

    John Scala – Alaska Weather Radio Get Computer Voices

    Rick Smith – WCM National Conference Notes

    James Spann – Blitzortung.org

    Aubrey Urbanowicz – Tornado Picture from Sean Schoefer

    SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

    The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, John Scala, Rick Smith, Aubrey Urbanowicz, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

    Categories: Weather

    Showers Hard To Find

    Mon, 06/16/2014 - 15:41

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    RADAR CHECK: Basically no showers are in progress over the northern half of the state at mid-afternoon… a few widely scattered storms are in progress over the southern counties. These storms will fade away once the sun goes down later this evening.

    Temperatures are well below the forecast levels by models; the deep soil moisture is making it hard for us to get into the 90… most spots are in the upper 80s…

    REST OF THE WEEK: The upper ridge across the Deep South won’t change much through mid-week, so days will remain mostly sunny through Thursday with only isolated afternoon storms. The chance of any one spot getting wet each day will only in the 10-20 percent range, with most of the isolated showers coming between 2:00 and 8:00 p.m. Highs will be in the 89-92 degree range.

    No serious change on Friday, only isolated afternoon showers with a high at or just over 90.

    THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Still some evidence the ridge could be a little weaker, with a slow increase in the number of scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday. But still much of the weekend should be rain-free with a high between 89 and 92.

    NEXT WEEK: An approaching surface boundary should bring an increase in the number of showers and storms early next week, with highs dropping back into the 80s. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

    AT THE BEACH: Beautiful weather through the weekend from Panama City west to Gulf Shores; mostly sunny days and fair nights with only a few isolated storms along the way. Highs in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with low 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the low 80s.

    TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected this week.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
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    Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

    Categories: Weather