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Rare July Front

| 6:49 am July 31, 2015

Don’t look now, but the models were right. Whoever said that they would believe it when they saw it is having to believe it this morning. A rare July cool front actually made it through Central Alabama. It is pushing offshore of the northern Gulf Coast this morning. In its wake, dewpoints are in the low 60s in many spots in North Alabama and will fall back into the upper 50s today. That will make for magnificently low humidities across the area today.

MOSTLY DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Precipitable water values that were well over two inches just a couple of days about under 1.5 inches today.

012 PW

Understand the chance of a shower is not zero, but most of North Alabama will be dry through Sunday. Today will actually be fairly pleasant for the last day of July; we project a mostly sunny sky with a high in the low 90s, and lower humidity levels making the heat a little more tolerable. Any showers or storms will be confined mostly to South Alabama.

FALLISH? We are expecting temperatures to drop down into the mid 60s early tomorrow, and some of the normally cooler pockets across North Alabama might be close to 60 for a little hint of fall. Then, for the weekend the sky will stay mostly sunny tomorrow and Sunday with highs up in the mid 90s. Scattered showers and storms will remain over far South Alabama; the chance of any one spot getting wet tomorrow and Sunday over the northern third of the state is only 2 percent.

NEXT WEEK: Not much change Monday and Tuesday, but showers and storms could increase later in the week around Thursday with a surface front approaching from the north. Highs will hold in the 90s.

AT THE BEACH: Not much change; about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily on the Gulf Coast from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores through early next week, with an occasional passing storm a good possibility. Highs on the coast will hold in the upper 80s, with mid 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICS: A weak surface low east of Georgia is moving northeast in the Atlantic, and development is not expected. A tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic, southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, is disorganized, but some slow development is possible over the next few days as it moves to the west. Dry air will hinder things, however.

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Showers/Storms South Of I-20

| 3:19 pm July 30, 2015

DRIER AIR MOVING INTO NORTH ALABAMA: As expected, dew points are falling across the northern part of Alabama this afternoon as drier air moves into the state. Scattered showers and thunderstorms have formed, but they are mostly south of I-20 (Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Anniston).

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Showers and storms across Central and South Alabama will settle down later tonight once the sun goes down.

TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Understand the chance of a shower is not zero, but most of North Alabama will be dry. Tomorrow will actually be fairly pleasant for the last day of July; we project a mostly sunny sky with a high in the low 90s, and lower humidity levels making the heat a little more tolerable. Any showers or storms will be confined mostly to South Alabama.

We are expecting temperatures to drop down into the mid 60s early Saturday, and some of the normally cooler pockets across North Alabama might be close to 60 for a little hint of fall. Then, for the weekend the sky will stay mostly sunny Saturday and Sunday with highs up in the mid 90s. Scattered showers and storms will remain over far South Alabama; the chance of any one spot getting wet Saturday and Sunday over the northern third of the state is only 2 percent.

NEXT WEEK: Not much change Monday and Tuesday, but showers and storms could increase later in the week around Thursday with a surface front approaching from the north. Highs will hold in the 90… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: Not much change; about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily on the Gulf Coast from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores through early next week, with an occasional passing storm a good possibility. Highs on the coast will hold in the upper 80s, with mid 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICS: A weak surface low east of Georgia is moving northeast in the Atlantic, and development is not expected. A tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic, southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, is disorganized, but some slow development is possible over the next few days as it moves to the west. Dry air will hinder things, however.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be taking a few days off… Bill Murray will cover the Weather Xtreme video production through early next week… enjoy tomorrow and the weekend!

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Drier Air Arrives Tonight

| 6:18 am July 30, 2015

SURFACE FRONT ON THE WAY: Note we don’t call them “cold fronts” in late July in Alabama, but a surface boundary will drop into North Alabama today, and accordingly we believe the highest coverage of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon will be south of I-20 (south of a line from Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Anniston). Chance of any one spot getting wet today in that part of the state will be about one in three, but the odds are much lower north of Birmingham, where dew points will begin to fall this afternoon as the drier air arrives. Most communities will see a high up in the mid 90s again today.

TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: The GFS is suggesting dew points will drop into the upper 50s as far south as Birmingham tomorrow, and this dry means showers will be few and far between across the northern half of the state; scattered storms will be primarily over the southern quarter of Alabama. We reach the mid 90s tomorrow, but the lower humidity levels will make the heat a little more tolerable.

Some North Alabama communities could reach the mid 60s early Saturday morning for a little touch of fall.

Then, for the weekend, not much change. Mostly sunny days and fair nights for the northern half of the state with only a very small risk of any one spot seeing a shower or storm. Scattered storms remain possible across South Alabama. Highs stay in the 90s.

NEXT WEEK: Showers remain very isolated over North/Central Alabama Monday and Tuesday, with a slow increase in coverage over the latter half of the week as deeper moisture returns. Highs will stay in the 90s next week, which is what we expect in early August in Alabama. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily through the weekend on the Central Gulf Coast with a passing thunderstorm from time to time. Highs on the coast will be in the upper 80s, with mid 90s just a few miles inland. Sea water temperatures remain in the mid 80s. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICS: A disturbance east of Jacksonville, Florida will move northeast, and no development is expected. And, out in the far East Atlantic, a tropical wave emerged off the coast of Africa yesterday… just a small chance of slow development in coming days as it moves westward. Dry air will be a problem for this wave.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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Big Storms Across Alabama

| 3:51 pm July 29, 2015

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today**

RADAR CHECK: Strong to severe storms have been moving southward across much of Alabama today, with strong gusty winds, very frequent lightning, and torrential rain.

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These showers and storms will die down once the sun goes down later this evening.

TOMORROW: A surface boundary will push into North Alabama, and it could trigger a few storms, but not as many as today, and the more numerous ones will be south of I-20. Where they do form, however, they could be strong, as SPC maintains a “marginal” severe weather threat for much of the state. The high tomorrow afternoon should be in the mid 90s.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Dry air slips into the northern half of the state, meaning these three days will be mostly dry with only a very small risk of any one spot seeing a shower or storm. We expect mostly sunny days, fair nights, and slightly lower humidity values. The best chance of scattered storms over the weekend will be over the southern quarter of the state. Highs will remain in the mid 90s, but the lower dew points will make the heat a little more tolerable.

And, the first part of next week looks mostly rain-free with mostly sunny weather continuing Monday and Tuesday; just a slight risk of any one spot getting a storm.

GULF COAST WEATHER: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily through the weekend from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach, but you will have to deal with a few passing thunderstorms from time to time. Highs on the immediate coast will stay in the upper 80s, with mid 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: A tropical wave has emerged off the coast of Africa in the far East Atlantic; no development expected over the next few days as it moves to the west.

two_atl_5d0

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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Severe Thunderstorm Warning : Pickens County

| 3:46 pm July 29, 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
SOUTHWESTERN PICKENS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 430 PM CDT

7-29-2015 3-45-30 PM

* AT 343 PM CDT…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
ETHELSVILLE…OR 8 MILES NORTH OF PICKENSVILLE…MOVING SOUTH AT 25
MPH.

HAZARD…60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE…RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT…EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS…SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
ALICEVILLE…CARROLLTON…PICKENSVILLE…MCMULLEN…BEVILL LOCK AND
DAM…GARDEN…GAINESVILLE LAKE CAMPGROUND…GEORGE DOWNER
AIRPORT…PINE GROVE…DILLBURG…COCHRANE AND OWENS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

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Severe Thunderstorm Warning : Lamar/Pickens Counties

| 3:19 pm July 29, 2015

The storm over Lamar County is moving south, and capable of producing damaging winds. Also, it is putting out a remarkable amount of cloud to ground lightning…

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THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
SOUTHERN LAMAR COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…
NORTHWESTERN PICKENS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 400 PM CDT

* AT 317 PM CDT…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF VERNON…MOVING SOUTH AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD…60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE…RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT…EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS…SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
VERNON…REFORM…MILLPORT…CARROLLTON…PICKENSVILLE…KENNEDY…
ETHELSVILLE…CODY…PINE GROVE…HIGHTOGY…NORTH PICKENS
AIRPORT…MCSHAN…FOREST…MELBORNE…SHAW…STAR AND OWENS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

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