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Ana Is That You?

| 1:00 pm May 3, 2015

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There is still consistent evidence that a subtropical storm could form northwest of the Bahamas by midweek. This subtropical storm could affect the Carolinas and Georgia coastline, but top winds should be less than 50 mph. Gusty winds and rough surf will be the main impact. Sill, it serves as a reminder that the Atlantic Hurricane Season is not far away, beginning June 1.

BILL ON DECK: I get a storm named for me this year! The name Bill has been used for three tropical cyclones in the Atlantic. 2009’s Bill was a Cat 4 Hurricane that passed Bermuda and grazed Nova Scotia. 1997’s Bill threatened Bermuda as well. Seems I have a thing for Bermuda. And TS Bill in 2003 made landfall west of New Orleans.

Here is the list of names for 2015 in the Atlantic:

Ana
Bill
Claudette
Danny
Erika
Fred
Grace
Henri
Ida
Joaquin
Kate
Larry
Mindy
Nicholas
Odette
Peter
Rose
Sam
Teresa
Victor
Wanda

It is interesting to note that this is the list of names from the 1979 Atlantic Hurricane Season, which was the first to use male names. The following names have been retired from that list (year of retirement in parentheses).

Bob (1991)
David (1979)
Elena (1985)
Frederic (1979)
Gloria (1985)
Isabel (2003)
Juan (2003)

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April Showers Bring May Flowers

| 11:11 am May 3, 2015

If April showers bring May flowers, Birmingham will be able to open a florist this month. That piece of familiar weather folklore is playing out to be very true this year for us. Birmingham recorded its 6th wettest April ever with 10.24 inches of rain, 3.51 inches below the all time record of 13. 75 recorded in April 1979. It rained on 15 days during the month, against the long term average of 9.1 days. Thunder was reported on 11 days, against the average of 5.0.

Now, as we have turned the page to May, drier and warmer conditions will be the theme over the first fifteen days of the month. Here is a look at the long term climatological averages day by day for May at Birmingham.

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It is a picture perfect early May day across Central Alabama. Scattered cumulus clouds were starting to form after a nearly cloud free morning. A thin arc of clouds was evident along a little convergence zone that has sagged down into Northwest Alabama from a disturbance north of Nashville. The nearest precipitation to Birmingham is a few light showers over Kentucky, accompanying that disturbance.

The mercury was climbing through the middle 70s across the I-20 corridor, heading for highs in the lower 80s. Dewpoints are low, in the upper 40s, so it feels quite nice. But keep the sunscreen handy, as that strong May sun can burn a lot. And stay hydrated too. With the low humidity, you can sweat a lot without realizing it.

Nearly perfect, albeit eventually a bit warm, weather is in store for this week across Central Alabama. This week’s temperature graph looks like an EKG with nearly steady highs around 80F and lows around 60F through midweek. After that, the mercury will get a little more excited, with highs trending into the middle and upper 80s by next weekend with lows in the middle 60s. Dewpoints will be rising as well, from the 50s early in the week, to the muggy 60s by next weekend. A few showers and storms could creep back into the forecast by this weekend, but chances will be small until early the following week, around Tuesday the 12th.

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Another Great May Day

| 6:32 am May 3, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available and you can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme Video on iTunes by clicking here.

Not quite as cool to start the day this morning as we look for the second part of a great May weekend for Central Alabama. With lots of sunshine today we should see highs climb into the lower 80s. As an upper ridge builds into the eastern US, look for temperatures to warm into the 80s for highs during the week ahead with some spots possibly near 90 toward the end of the week.

If you are headed to the big race at Talladega, be sure to take the sunscreen. Plenty of sunshine with a warm afternoon as the highs top out in the lower 80s.

Like yesterday, the QPF forecast continued to show a big empty spot with no rain expected in Central Alabama until the end of the week ahead. The upper air pattern features a substantial ridge for the Southeast US with a closed low and deep trough over the western US. A weaker trough also develops to our east, keeping the Southeast US between systems for much of the week ahead. With the upper ridge in place, should see temperatures warm well into the 80s for highs during the week ahead.

The ridge begins to break down as we head into next weekend and out into voodoo country. But even then, moisture remains primarily west of Central Alabama, so only isolated showers could enter the forecast.

Beach weather continues to look great with sunny days, fair nights for the next week. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 70s for the next five days. Sea water temperatures are in the low to mid 70s.

Looking out into voodoo country, the upper ridge holds for us as the closed low over the western states finally advances eastward around the 12th of May. This is likely to be the focus for a cold front to bring showers to the southeastern US.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray
Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

James Spann will have the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video on Monday. Enjoy this gorgeous May day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

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Awesome Alabama Weather

| 1:58 pm May 2, 2015

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We started the day off chilly with widespread 40s across Central Alabama. As soon as the sun cleared that eastern horizon, temps began their climb. With nothing but blue sky and sunshine, temps have climbed into the 70s this afternoon and it is almost impossible to find a cloud in the Alabama sky. Heading out and about this evening and overnight, once the sun sets the temps will be dropping through the 60s and into the 50s overnight and the sky will remain clear, but overall it will be a excellent evening for anything you may have planned.

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There may be a little race in East Alabama tomorrow. Actually the past several days have been ramping up to the big GEICO 500 tomorrow at the Talladega Superspeedway. Once again, there will be nothing but sunshine and blue sky tomorrow. It will be a cool start once again, with upper 40s and lower 50s expected, but those temps will rapidly climb to the 80s by the afternoon. I am urging everyone to stay hydrated as well as take plenty of sunscreen heading to the race tomorrow. But other than the threat for sunburn, there will be no other weather woes and humidity levels will remain low.

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May Starts with a Great Weekend

| 6:43 am May 2, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available and you can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme Video on iTunes by clicking here.

After a cool start to your Saturday, look for a great May weekend for Central Alabama as temperatures climb a bit. Our Skywatcher in Black Creek reported a low of 38 this morning, but with lots of sunshine today we should see highs climb well into the middle 70s. Sunday will be even warmer as the sunshine continues with highs around 80.

The QPF forecast has a big empty spot with no rain expected in Central Alabama until the end of the upcoming week. The upper air pattern features a substantial ridge for the Southeast US with a closed low and deep trough over the western US. A weaker trough also develops to our east, keeping the Southeast US between systems for much of the week ahead. With the upper ridge in place, should see temperatures warm into the lower and middle 80s for highs during the week ahead.

The ridge begins to break down as we head into next weekend and out into voodoo country. But even then, moisture remains primarily west of Central Alabama, so only isolated showers could enter the forecast.

Beach weather: It just doesn’t get much better for beach goers with sunny days, fair nights over the weekend and into next week. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 70s for the next five days. Sea water temperatures are in the low to mid 70s.

Looking out into voodoo country, the upper ridge holds for us as the closed low over the western states finally advances eastward around the 13th of May. This is likely to be the focus for a cold front to bring some unsettled weather to the eastern US.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray
Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

I expect to post the next Weather Xtreme Video first thing on Sunday morning. Enjoy this gorgeous May day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

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Dry Weather Pattern Takes Hold

| 3:32 pm May 1, 2015

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today**

COBALT BLUE SKY: Not a cloud in the Alabama sky today; temperatures are in the 69-73 degree range at most places… the humidity is low, and the visibility is excellent. Tonight will be clear and cool with a low down in the upper 40s.

WONDERFUL WEEKEND AHEAD: The sky will stay sunny tomorrow and Sunday with a warming trend; we reach the upper 70s tomorrow, with low 80s likely Sunday. No moisture, no chance of rain. Perfect for race weekend at Talladega, or anything else you want to do outside.

NEXT WEEK: An upper ridge will build across the eastern U.S… meaning the weather will be noticeably warmer, and still dry. We expect mostly sunny days and fair nights Monday through Friday with afternoon highs up in the low to mid 80s. Active weather will remain well to the northwest of our state.

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AT THE BEACH: Doesn’t get much better… sunny days, fair nights over the weekend and through next week. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 70s, and sea water temperatures are in the low to mid 70s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I enjoyed seeing the kids today at Spring Valley School in Birmingham… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here bright and early Monday morning by 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

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May Begins With A Dry Spell

| 6:10 am May 1, 2015

COOL MORNING: Black Creek is at 37… Fort Payne is reporting 39 degrees at daybreak; it might be sometime in October before another North Alabama low in the 30s. The sky is clear, and the air is dry. We expect sunshine in full supply today with a high generally in the low 70s this afternoon.

SUNNY MAY WEEKEND: The air stays dry, and the sky will stay sunny tomorrow and Sunday with a warming trend. We rise into the 76-79 degree range tomorrow, and Sunday’s high will be very close to 80. You could not ask for better weather for race weekend at Talladega, spring sports, or anything else you want to do outside.

SUMMER PREVIEW NEXT WEEK: An upper ridge will begin to build across the eastern part of the nation, and we expect the warmest week so far this year with highs in the low to mid 80s each day. The ridge will also keep the rain producing systems away, and for now we see no reason to forecast any significant chance of rain through the entire week. Bottom line is that at least the first seven days of May will be rain-free.

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AT THE BEACH: Sunny days, clear nights on the Gulf Coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores over the weekend and through next week. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the mid to upper 70s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 72 degrees.

MAY BY THE NUMBERS: The average high in Birmingham will rise from 78 degrees today to 84 by the end of the month. The average rain for the month is 4.83?, and this is the last month of the spring tornado season. Hottest May temperature on record is 99 degrees, recorded on May 28, 1962, and May 29, 1898.

The hurricane season is now a month away, it begins on June 1. Most are expecting a rather quiet season again in the Atlantic basin due to the current El Nino cycle; the first named storm this year will be called Ana, followed by Bill, Claudette, and Danny.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I have a weather program this morning at Spring Valley School in Birmingham… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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Long Dry Spell Ahead

| 3:30 pm April 30, 2015

RADAR CHECK: So far, no far no showers have shown up across North Alabama today despite the very cold air aloft associated with an upper trough. Closest rain to us is over Tennessee north of Chattanooga…

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An isolated shower or two could still show up around the northeast corner of the state this evening, but it looks like most communities will be dry tonight. We drop down into the 45-49 degree range early tomorrow with a mostly clear sky.

TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: Pretty much a case of severe clear as the month of May begins. We expect sunny days, clear nights, and a slow warming trend. The high tomorrow will be in the low 70s, followed by upper 70s Saturday. Sunday’s high will be very close to 80 degrees. Fantastic weather for race weekend at Talladega, spring sports, or anything else you want to do outside.

NEXT WEEK: An upper ridge should keep our state warm and dry; the high will be in the low to mid 80s each day with partly sunny days and fair nights. Most of the active weather will be well to the west, across parts of the Great Plains and the Upper Midwest. QPF (Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts) charts are showing not a drop of rain for Alabama through next Thursday.

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RAIN UPDATE: Birmingham finished April with 10.24″… the total for the year is 23.17″, and the surplus is 4.33″.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today seeing the first graders at Montevallo Elementary School… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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